ncaaf correlated parlays

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: ncaaf correlated parlays
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/2/2013 6:17:38 AM
monitor move me here - my past forum on correlsted parlays (cps) can be viewed in college football forum - there are 5 cps this week - 317/324/345/371/392/ - 404 is pending @ 39% - free money 
breezeyo PM breezeyo
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Posted: 10/2/2013 8:01:44 AM
I'm there with you.   I went 6-2 last week on these.  
breezeyo PM breezeyo
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Posted: 10/2/2013 9:29:46 AM

A couple more pendings...Michigan/Minnesota & Kentucky/So Carolina

Total of 8 potential plays this week.

clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/2/2013 10:46:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by breezeyo:

A couple more pendings...Michigan/Minnesota & Kentucky/So Carolina

Total of 8 potential plays this week.

gl it's great if you can play these 404 baylor 27.5/68.5 added as it just crossed the 40% line
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 10/2/2013 11:38:13 AM
What book lets you play those? Has to be a local?
ross33 PM ross33
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Posted: 10/2/2013 12:44:30 PM

I have been using an online book, they wont take anything over 33%, sometimes less, they can be stubborn, but I have done well there.

I 'tease' it down , sometimes to 27% depending on what I think I know about the teams (ha!), and have a profit to show for the last 2 years.

Occasionally I will do the first half, again 'depending'.

clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/2/2013 1:15:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ross33:

I have been using an online book, they wont take anything over 33%, sometimes less, they can be stubborn, but I have done well there.

I 'tease' it down , sometimes to 27% depending on what I think I know about the teams (ha!), and have a profit to show for the last 2 years.

Occasionally I will do the first half, again 'depending'.

must bet with local - no sportsbook will take these - they average 70%
breezeyo PM breezeyo
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Posted: 10/2/2013 2:15:33 PM

Hat -

I bet with a local who accepts these plays.   And, have also found that betting the 1H tends to have better results and will generate a few more plays, usually the borderline ones. 

ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 10/2/2013 3:49:25 PM
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/3/2013 9:13:59 PM

1. Alabama/Georgia state is at 94%, with such a high percentage wouldn't it be better to play this game big instead of playing the other games in this time slot? Or would you just play all plays that are 40% equally?

2. Is it more beneficial to play these plays for 1h or game?
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 5:55:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:


1. Alabama/Georgia state is at 94%, with such a high percentage wouldn't it be better to play this game big instead of playing the other games in this time slot? Or would you just play all plays that are 40% equally?

2. Is it more beneficial to play these plays for 1h or game?
must play all games over 40% for consistent winners-i play game total only - however 1h works - don't want to disturb local too much
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 6:00:59 AM
at 1st glance it would appear 94% can't lose but believe me it can - i've seen it happen - i just play them all over 40% and collect - there will be losing weeks - but long range winner guaranteed 
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/4/2013 12:16:37 PM
Thanks.

Do you think it is more profitable to play 1h or game?
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 2:38:07 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:

Thanks.

Do you think it is more profitable to play 1h or game?
haven't really checked due to fact i play the game and not the 1h - trying not to upset my local - but i would think long range it would be about the same 70% - gl
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 10/4/2013 3:22:46 PM
1h is better
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 3:25:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

1h is better
i can stat that out - but don't really want to take the time - have you friend? 
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/4/2013 3:33:34 PM

Does anyone know when 1h lines come out in Vegas? Is it at midnight today for 1h lines for tomm?
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 3:46:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:


Does anyone know when 1h lines come out in Vegas? Is it at midnight today for 1h lines for tomm?
i have them already friend but you can't bet them in vegas
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/4/2013 4:01:20 PM
So there are 6 plays this weekend, if you go 3 wins and 3 losses wouldn't that be losing overall? I assume 2 game parlays pay about 2.5.
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 4:04:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:

So there are 6 plays this weekend, if you go 3 wins and 3 losses wouldn't that be losing overall? I assume 2 game parlays pay about 2.5.
i have no intention of going 3-3 looking for 70% or better - hopefully 5-2 - a 2 team parlay pays 13-5 sir everywhere
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/4/2013 4:07:26 PM
If you were to play 100 on each fav/over and dog/under, a win is about 350 and a loss is -200. 3 wins would be 1050 - 3 losses of 600 for a total of 450 but you started with 1200. Is my math not correct?

Or would it hit at a higher rate?
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 4:27:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MakeThatCasH:

If you were to play 100 on each fav/over and dog/under, a win is about 350 and a loss is -200. 3 wins would be 1050 - 3 losses of 600 for a total of 450 but you started with 1200. Is my math not correct?

Or would it hit at a higher rate?
my mistake above - expect to go 4-2 or better - 6 teams @ 100 would be a 1200 lay - 3-3 would result in a -120 loss / 3 losses -600 /3 wins @ 160 = 480 - difference -120 - this correct sir
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 10/4/2013 4:47:14 PM
1h -7.5 and up   63-32 so ytd ,  week 6  14 to 17 games i cant play them but im keeping track
wk1 12-7
wk2 17-5
wk3 11-7
wk4 11-6
wk5 12-7
clem1 PM clem1
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Posted: 10/4/2013 4:50:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

1h -7.5 and up   63-32 so ytd ,  week 6  14 to 17 games i cant play them but im keeping track
wk1 12-7
wk2 17-5
wk3 11-7
wk4 11-6
wk5 12-7
i can - wish i was - wow
MakeThatCasH PM MakeThatCasH
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Posted: 10/4/2013 5:10:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by clem1:

my mistake above - expect to go 4-2 or better - 6 teams @ 100 would be a 1200 lay - 3-3 would result in a -120 loss / 3 losses -600 /3 wins @ 160 = 480 - difference -120 - this correct sir

According to my calculations, you have to hit at least 5 out of 6 plays to turn a profit. Is this correct? New to this, sorry for the strange questions
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