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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: The Prime Time Chase
bDnews
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#1
Posted: 9/1/2013 6:42:52 PM
It's that time of the year again for the Prime Time Chase. I did this last year with a good deal of success, but there were lessons to be learned.

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FYI - I don't take loses, I learn lessons.
**************************************************

This system applies to the NBA, NFL, NCAAB, and NCAAF

Here's the rules:

1) Find a major network playing whatever sport you're looking at for that day.. (ESPN, ESPN2, NBC, ABC, CBS, TNT, TBS, FOX)
2) See if that network is playing the same sport in b2b games.
3) Chase the home team for 4 halves until you win.

****The teams MUST be at home. Neutral site games do NOT qualify****

If you use any other network than the ones listed above, it's on you.

And that's it. Let's have a good NFL/NBA/NCAAF/NCAAB season...


GLTA 


bD
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#2
Posted: 9/1/2013 6:54:41 PM
Examples - 


8/31 Plays

Texas A&M/VTECH - ESPN - VTECH (W) - 4Half
Ohio St/Syracuse - ESPN2 - Syracuse (W) - 3Half


Once all the effected sports are in full swing, you'll have your hands full...


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#3
Posted: 9/1/2013 9:16:06 PM

I am confused where you have 4Half? Was that the last leg of the chase?

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#4
Posted: 9/1/2013 10:04:37 PM
Any back tests beyond last year?
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#5
Posted: 9/1/2013 10:38:03 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Red_Soxxxxxxxx:

I am confused where you have 4Half? Was that the last leg of the chase?


Yes, the series won in the 4th half. 
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#6
Posted: 9/2/2013 1:17:48 AM
So your chase would be 4 bet max.  1st. Half, 2nd half, 1st half, 2nd half.  What would be the betting progressions?  Like one unit and if you lose next half 2, then 4 and probably 8?  With juice you are risking a lot if you ever get to the 4th half.  IMO .
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#7
Posted: 9/2/2013 10:07:57 AM
Since you are betting ATS, the juice will be fairly low for each game.
If you lose the first bet at -110, your second bet would be the 110 you lost plus 100 profit. Assuming a line of -110 again, you would risk 231 for the second game, and so on.
The juice and units risked for a 4 game ATS football chase is much lower then other sports like baseball or hockey.
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#8
Posted: 9/2/2013 8:18:52 PM
Here's the one thing to remember:

The entire chase happens in ONE day. Not starting on Tuesday and ending on Saturday. The chase ends the same day you start it.

So it is unique in that way...
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#9
Posted: 9/2/2013 8:22:28 PM
Something else to consider is you could just wait out the 1st game to cut out early loses. But of course you also cut out early wins.
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#10
Posted: 9/2/2013 10:20:40 PM
Hey bD I was very impressed with hoops last year...but not sure how this will go in football. in fact, I did a little backtesting over the summer on past seasons and it was hit and miss. 2nd game might be the way to go...might be less profit but maybe safer. I might labby halves 3 & 4 and see how it goes. thanks 
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#11
Posted: 9/3/2013 12:19:06 AM
stickbit from my info things went very well. If you have your info online I'd love to see it to compare notes.
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#12
Posted: 9/3/2013 12:41:15 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ShadowWarrior:

So your chase would be 4 bet max.  1st. Half, 2nd half, 1st half, 2nd half.  What would be the betting progressions?  Like one unit and if you lose next half 2, then 4 and probably 8?  With juice you are risking a lot if you ever get to the 4th half.  IMO .

 

When chasing, most people will bet to win what they lost on previous games, plus one unit.

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#13
Posted: 9/3/2013 1:29:14 AM
Sooooo.. No back tests?
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#14
Posted: 9/3/2013 2:35:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bDnews:

Examples - 


8/31 Plays

Texas A&M/VTECH - ESPN - VTECH (W) - 4Half
Ohio St/Syracuse - ESPN2 - Syracuse (W) - 3Half

VT and SY games were neutral sites. What am I missing here?

Thanks.

GL
Once all the effected sports are in full swing, you'll have your hands full...


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#15
Posted: 9/3/2013 2:35:53 PM
but va tech WAS a neutral site
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#16
Posted: 9/3/2013 4:54:29 PM
Thanks for the info. That's what makes some of these games so hard to back check. 

This system was played last year with neutral site games included. They accounted for nearly all the loses.

One last thing I forgot to mention:

Any time 2 teams SHARE the same stadium and come up, they are NOT a play. Example - Lakers/Clippers

The only thing I can tell you is check this area whenever you think there's a play. Not sure how this got screwed up by some in my absence, but it happens.

Having said that, lets have a good multi sport season. Prime Time style...
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#17
Posted: 9/3/2013 5:09:24 PM
This can be backtested and really should be but its very time consuming..i looked quickly one night using old network schedules and 1H 2H lines from sbr. If someone has time and wants to look i will post the sites later tonight
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#18
Posted: 9/4/2013 9:31:28 PM
this is the site i was talking about that has old espn network listings for  the games from past seasons... n a t i o n a l c h a m p s dot n e t ...hopefully the site name came out. so you can pull up the games here and see if teams covered one of the halves.
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#19
Posted: 9/4/2013 9:33:56 PM
bDNews my kingdom for a date with the woman in your avatar!  
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#20
Posted: 9/6/2013 10:30:04 PM
hi bdnews,

this should be great.

Would you mine post the plays because I never know wich team too pick when there is 2 team playing at the same time frame.

Thanks for your work and GL

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#21
Posted: 9/7/2013 12:57:01 AM
NCAAF

(Miami/Georgia)


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#22
Posted: 9/7/2013 12:59:32 AM
Sorry Jeff, she's all mine! LOL
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#23
Posted: 9/7/2013 10:14:18 AM
It seems that there would be way too many plays to keep up. Basketball season we got multiple games on the major networks every day it seems like. Too many plays if you ask me! Maybe weed them down a bit for super prime-time games? Great idea though! I'll definitely be checking in to see the progress.
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#24
Posted: 9/7/2013 12:02:06 PM
It won't be too many plays, but it will be enough. You'll see...
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#25
Posted: 9/7/2013 2:41:28 PM
Miami winner 1st half
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