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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: The Magna Carta - (632-0) Since 2011
budhatouch send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bally's Las Vegas |
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#76
Posted: 8/20/2013 6:43:33 PM
So let's say I jump in today and take atl ml (-155), cws rl (-130), and dbacks rl (-175) and I put 1 unit ($50) on each. What would my (b) wager be if I lose today (or c for Arizona)?
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puppetm716 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#77
Posted: 8/20/2013 6:55:58 PM

If you lose all bets today

Atl (B) would be (155) + (50) to make $205

CWS (B) would be (130) + (50) to make $180

Ariz (C)  would be (175) + (50) to make $225

The goal is to cover your previous game loss plus profit in your case $50.

Best of Luck

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budhatouch send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Bally's Las Vegas |
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#78
Posted: 8/20/2013 8:24:11 PM
Makes sense. But i think Atl b would $77.5+50 to make it 127.5 right? And so on with the other teams right?
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TheBeefMan send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#79
Posted: 8/20/2013 8:37:40 PM
Did you finish the 7 year backtest yet bD? Would really like to see the numbers.

However, I like this because it's intuitive and easy to follow. I'm only going to play the series that involve fading teams with a losing record and stick with a 4 game chase. Best of luck to everyone else. 
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puppetm716 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#80
Posted: 8/20/2013 9:03:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by budhatouch:

Makes sense. But i think Atl b would $77.5+50 to make it 127.5 right? And so on with the other teams right?

yes

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stickbit send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#81
Posted: 8/21/2013 12:31:52 PM
So we have Braves.gm2 today...anything else?
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bDnews
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#82
Posted: 8/22/2013 12:04:02 AM
8/22 Plays

Atlanta - A


8/23 Plays

Minnesota - A
Toronto - A
Texas - A
LA Angels - A
Boston - A
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robe983 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
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#83
Posted: 8/22/2013 10:57:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bDnews:

8/22 Plays

Atlanta - A


8/23 Plays

Minnesota - A
Toronto - A
Texas - A
LA Angels - A
Boston - A

Correct me if I'm wrong but in your rules you state:
1) The has to be 5 home games in a row to complete the chase.

Well... the Astros or the Twins don't play at home for 5 games... they play at home for 3... so MIN and TOR would not be plays.
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robe983 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetOnline.ag |
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#84
Posted: 8/22/2013 11:19:59 AM
My bad astros or the *indians dont play at home for 5 games.  Only 3.
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GhostNL
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#85
Posted: 8/22/2013 12:22:11 PM
ATL +1.5 right? -185
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bDnews
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#86
Posted: 8/22/2013 1:16:54 PM
robe983 - Thanks for the catch. When I looked at future series, it was displayed incorrectly for those games for some strange reason. But you're right.

Ghost - ATL +1.5
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stickbit send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#87
Posted: 8/22/2013 1:18:03 PM
Atl already cleared their chase yesterday
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#88
Posted: 8/22/2013 1:50:46 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by stickbit:

Atl already cleared their chase yesterday

No, you are betting against STL, who just returned home from a road trip. STL starts a homestand today, so the play is Atlanta.

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bDnews
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#89
Posted: 8/22/2013 1:52:24 PM
stickbit - ATL starts a new chase today going against St Louis. This is separate from the win over the Mets yesterday.
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#90
Posted: 8/22/2013 5:53:36 PM
Ahh gotcha thx!
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#91
Posted: 8/23/2013 6:21:21 PM
is ATL a game B today?
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bDnews
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#92
Posted: 8/24/2013 11:04:28 AM
Atlanta - C
Boston - B

Texas and LAA complete.
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NoSoLucky send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mirage |
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#93
Posted: 8/24/2013 10:48:45 PM
I'm new to this system so correct me if I'm wrong. Fading STL starting 7/5 after an 8 game road trip, they win 5 straight at home. They were the favs every time. This is a loss, no? Or does the system start later than that date?

Who the hell would take STL to lose to MIA and HOU anyway.
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NoSoLucky send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mirage |
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#94
Posted: 8/24/2013 10:49:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

I'm new to this system so correct me if I'm wrong. Fading STL starting 7/5 after an 8 game road trip, they win 5 straight at home. They were the favs every time. This is a loss, no? Or does the system start later than that date?

Who the hell would take STL to lose to MIA and HOU anyway.

Nevermind, found my own error. Runline runline runline
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NoSoLucky send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mirage |
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#95
Posted: 8/24/2013 11:50:37 PM
I would consider paying the extra $$$ on an alternate runline on the D and E bets when the team is super shitty just for peace of mind. That would have kept the Mets loss this year from occurring.

Maybe a rule for any series involving an RPI difference of more than 32 on the D and E bet should use the highest possible alternate runline your book allows as a stop loss. The odds would be horrific but losing is always worse. Just a thought.
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GhostNL
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#96
Posted: 8/25/2013 9:04:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bDnews:

Atlanta - C
Boston - B

Texas and LAA complete.

Atlanta is a D game, no?
Again the +1.5 or take the +112 ML?
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puppetm716 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#97
Posted: 8/25/2013 11:49:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GhostNL:


Atlanta is a D game, no?
Again the +1.5 or take the +112 ML?

Your answer is in the rules of the system which is in post #1 on the 1st page.

If playing a dog wager the +1.5 RL.

 

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bDnews
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#98
Posted: 8/25/2013 12:15:20 PM
Atlanta - D

Boston completed


Interesting Fact - Since '99 the Braves have not lost 4 in a row on the road vs the run line as a dog in all 4 games.
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JEFFTHEHAT
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#99
Posted: 8/25/2013 12:45:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bDnews:

Atlanta - D

Boston completed


Interesting Fact - Since '99 the Braves have not lost 4 in a row on the road vs the run line as a dog in all 4 games.

Nice feel good stat, ATL to good of a team to get swept 4 games. Let's bring this home.  
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#100
Posted: 8/25/2013 5:01:24 PM
Braves win easily 5-2. 

Great job.
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