The Magna Carta - (632-0) Since 2011

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: The Magna Carta - (632-0) Since 2011
budhatouch PM budhatouch
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Posted: 8/20/2013 6:43:33 PM
So let's say I jump in today and take atl ml (-155), cws rl (-130), and dbacks rl (-175) and I put 1 unit ($50) on each. What would my (b) wager be if I lose today (or c for Arizona)?
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puppetm716 PM puppetm716
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Posted: 8/20/2013 6:55:58 PM

If you lose all bets today

Atl (B) would be (155) + (50) to make $205

CWS (B) would be (130) + (50) to make $180

Ariz (C)  would be (175) + (50) to make $225

The goal is to cover your previous game loss plus profit in your case $50.

Best of Luck

budhatouch PM budhatouch
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Posted: 8/20/2013 8:24:11 PM
Makes sense. But i think Atl b would $77.5+50 to make it 127.5 right? And so on with the other teams right?
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TheBeefMan PM TheBeefMan
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Posted: 8/20/2013 8:37:40 PM
Did you finish the 7 year backtest yet bD? Would really like to see the numbers.

However, I like this because it's intuitive and easy to follow. I'm only going to play the series that involve fading teams with a losing record and stick with a 4 game chase. Best of luck to everyone else. 
puppetm716 PM puppetm716
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Posted: 8/20/2013 9:03:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by budhatouch:

Makes sense. But i think Atl b would $77.5+50 to make it 127.5 right? And so on with the other teams right?

yes

stickbit PM stickbit
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Posted: 8/21/2013 12:31:52 PM
So we have Braves.gm2 today...anything else?
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bDnews PM bDnews
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Posted: 8/22/2013 12:04:02 AM
8/22 Plays

Atlanta - A


8/23 Plays

Minnesota - A
Toronto - A
Texas - A
LA Angels - A
Boston - A
robe983 PM robe983
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Posted: 8/22/2013 10:57:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bDnews:

8/22 Plays

Atlanta - A


8/23 Plays

Minnesota - A
Toronto - A
Texas - A
LA Angels - A
Boston - A

Correct me if I'm wrong but in your rules you state:
1) The has to be 5 home games in a row to complete the chase.

Well... the Astros or the Twins don't play at home for 5 games... they play at home for 3... so MIN and TOR would not be plays.
robe983 PM robe983
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Posted: 8/22/2013 11:19:59 AM
My bad astros or the *indians dont play at home for 5 games.  Only 3.
GhostNL PM GhostNL
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Posted: 8/22/2013 12:22:11 PM
ATL +1.5 right? -185
bDnews PM bDnews
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Posted: 8/22/2013 1:16:54 PM
robe983 - Thanks for the catch. When I looked at future series, it was displayed incorrectly for those games for some strange reason. But you're right.

Ghost - ATL +1.5
stickbit PM stickbit
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Posted: 8/22/2013 1:18:03 PM
Atl already cleared their chase yesterday
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Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 8/22/2013 1:50:46 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by stickbit:

Atl already cleared their chase yesterday

No, you are betting against STL, who just returned home from a road trip. STL starts a homestand today, so the play is Atlanta.

bDnews PM bDnews
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Posted: 8/22/2013 1:52:24 PM
stickbit - ATL starts a new chase today going against St Louis. This is separate from the win over the Mets yesterday.
stickbit PM stickbit
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Posted: 8/22/2013 5:53:36 PM
Ahh gotcha thx!
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dallasm PM dallasm
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Posted: 8/23/2013 6:21:21 PM
is ATL a game B today?
bDnews PM bDnews
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Posted: 8/24/2013 11:04:28 AM
Atlanta - C
Boston - B

Texas and LAA complete.
NoSoLucky PM NoSoLucky
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Posted: 8/24/2013 10:48:45 PM
I'm new to this system so correct me if I'm wrong. Fading STL starting 7/5 after an 8 game road trip, they win 5 straight at home. They were the favs every time. This is a loss, no? Or does the system start later than that date?

Who the hell would take STL to lose to MIA and HOU anyway.
NoSoLucky PM NoSoLucky
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Posted: 8/24/2013 10:49:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

I'm new to this system so correct me if I'm wrong. Fading STL starting 7/5 after an 8 game road trip, they win 5 straight at home. They were the favs every time. This is a loss, no? Or does the system start later than that date?

Who the hell would take STL to lose to MIA and HOU anyway.

Nevermind, found my own error. Runline runline runline
NoSoLucky PM NoSoLucky
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Posted: 8/24/2013 11:50:37 PM
I would consider paying the extra $$$ on an alternate runline on the D and E bets when the team is super shitty just for peace of mind. That would have kept the Mets loss this year from occurring.

Maybe a rule for any series involving an RPI difference of more than 32 on the D and E bet should use the highest possible alternate runline your book allows as a stop loss. The odds would be horrific but losing is always worse. Just a thought.
GhostNL PM GhostNL
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Posted: 8/25/2013 9:04:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bDnews:

Atlanta - C
Boston - B

Texas and LAA complete.

Atlanta is a D game, no?
Again the +1.5 or take the +112 ML?
puppetm716 PM puppetm716
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Posted: 8/25/2013 11:49:50 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GhostNL:


Atlanta is a D game, no?
Again the +1.5 or take the +112 ML?

Your answer is in the rules of the system which is in post #1 on the 1st page.

If playing a dog wager the +1.5 RL.

 

bDnews PM bDnews
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Posted: 8/25/2013 12:15:20 PM
Atlanta - D

Boston completed


Interesting Fact - Since '99 the Braves have not lost 4 in a row on the road vs the run line as a dog in all 4 games.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/25/2013 12:45:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bDnews:

Atlanta - D

Boston completed


Interesting Fact - Since '99 the Braves have not lost 4 in a row on the road vs the run line as a dog in all 4 games.

Nice feel good stat, ATL to good of a team to get swept 4 games. Let's bring this home.  
lovethedough PM lovethedough
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quote#100
Posted: 8/25/2013 5:01:24 PM
Braves win easily 5-2. 

Great job.
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