OVER/ UNDER chase system!

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: OVER/ UNDER chase system!
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/7/2013 9:00:41 PM
Ok guys another system:

I will have plenty for next season

This is an O/U system 5 game chase

This year alone is 288-0 

Just beginning  to back check, expect at least 400 plays a year? If you bet $50 a unit that $20k. 
The beauty is, if it goes to game 5 which it did 4 times this year it's a 31 unit roughly play, compared to 82 units on a -150 system 

Not going to post rules now but if there is interest I will post plays 
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/7/2013 9:02:57 PM
P.S. I have a system similar to this which works on the NBA totals! 
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 8/7/2013 10:06:12 PM
Interested in any system that goes 288-0. You said only 4 game 5's. How many game 4's?
chound PM chound
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Posted: 8/7/2013 10:11:11 PM
Of course we'd like to see the plays.....as grandma use to say...the proof is in the pudding
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Bart_ PM Bart_
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Posted: 8/7/2013 10:12:53 PM

Let's see this thing
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/7/2013 10:31:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Interested in any system that goes 288-0. You said only 4 game 5's. How many game 4's?


A-268
B-72
C-27
D-17
E-10

Sorry it's 10 game 5 missed a page
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/7/2013 10:33:32 PM
Darn it! 

162 A wins typo
grecycle99 PM grecycle99
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Posted: 8/8/2013 10:11:18 AM

Hi jeff

Thanks for your work.

Would be interested in knowing about this system and all your system and follow you.

 

Thanks

pd_ PM pd_
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Posted: 8/8/2013 10:24:15 AM
interested. lets see some plays for this year. would like to see how it goes for the remainder of the season

thanks!!
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 8/8/2013 10:45:36 AM
kkirby99 PM kkirby99
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Posted: 8/8/2013 12:52:05 PM
If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/8/2013 12:56:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pd_:

interested. lets see some plays for this year. would like to see how it goes for the remainder of the season

thanks!!


I had PM`d Riceboi with 3 of the 5 "A" winners yesterday LAA over, NYY over, BOS over and the 2 he didnt get were SEA over and NYM under. there are not plays everyday so next time any come up I will post. This system works on NBA also I`M going to check it on NHL also.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/8/2013 1:04:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kkirby99:

If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.


My problem is I`m a perfectionist if it doesnt have almost flawless results I can it. My goal is to obliterate the books. On a couple previous posts on different threads I have stated I have roughly a dozen or so systems for baseball to unleash which if played them all would probably net you 750 units on the very conservative side. I dont know how I`m going to present them yet as it is extremely time consuming. Good luck to all!!
kkirby99 PM kkirby99
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Posted: 8/8/2013 1:22:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:



My problem is I`m a perfectionist if it doesnt have almost flawless results I can it. My goal is to obliterate the books. On a couple previous posts on different threads I have stated I have roughly a dozen or so systems for baseball to unleash which if played them all would probably net you 750 units on the very conservative side. I dont know how I`m going to present them yet as it is extremely time consuming. Good luck to all!!

Dude, it's not about perfection. If you have something that hits over 60% with -110 juice, you can retire. There is no perfection in sports wagering, even in chases. The one chase that goes 0-5 especially with juice is going to wipe out an entire year or more not to mention the agony of sitting through even the winners of game 4 or 5 with a ton of money on the line. Post the plays, please or give us the rules. I for one would be very content with 67% winners.
pd_ PM pd_
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Posted: 8/8/2013 1:55:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:



I had PM`d Riceboi with 3 of the 5 "A" winners yesterday LAA over, NYY over, BOS over and the 2 he didnt get were SEA over and NYM under. there are not plays everyday so next time any come up I will post. This system works on NBA also I`M going to check it on NHL also.

good stuff. looking forward to it
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 8/8/2013 3:39:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kkirby99:

If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.


I think the same
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 8/8/2013 4:04:48 PM
Please post the plays Jeff. You rock
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Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 8/8/2013 4:23:50 PM
A 2 game chase is up roughly 72 units. You could go very large per unit on a 2 game chase. If your numbers hold up on back tests this could make us very rich with a 2 game chase.
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Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 8/8/2013 4:26:35 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by kkirby99:

If your numbers are accurate, why even bother with a chase? 162 A wins and 45 B wins against 72 A losses and 27 B losses is 207-99. Bet them straight up for the two games and forget 'em after that. 67% wins? Who can't make money with that and you don't have to sweat out the huge bets with C,Dand E.

Your numbers are off here. Total of 288 series. A game would be 162-126, B game 72-54. Total A&B record combined is 234-180, 56.5 %.  Flat betting at -110 odds would be a 36 unit profit.

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 8/8/2013 4:48:31 PM
5 game chase is rough - are you sure an E bet is 82 units though?

without the juice

A game  -1 unit
B game  -2 units
C game  -4 units
D game  -8 units
E game  -16 units

total units lost on a 5 game chase ~31 units.  i over simplified and didn't factor in the juice but with over unders your getting somewhere between -110 to -150
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 8/8/2013 5:13:38 PM
Dan see my post
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Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 8/8/2013 5:43:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Riceboi:

A 2 game chase is up roughly 72 units. You could go very large per unit on a 2 game chase. If your numbers hold up on back tests this could make us very rich with a 2 game chase.

Looks like you didn't figure in any juice (72 units). I show a 2 game chase record of 234-54. If we get odds at a -120 a 2 game loss would be 3.84 units. This would result in a 27 unit profit, 234 - (54 x 3.84). If we got -110 in both games we have a 50 unit profit.

Don't get me wrong, I'll take a 27-50 unit profit anythime, but I think if Jeff ran this as a 5 game chase, I'd probably use a labby line. The 3-5 games had a record of 27-27 for game 3, 17-10 for game 4 and 10-0 for game 5, combined 54-37. At low juice compared to other chases I'd be able to get over 200 unit profit on the labby line without risking too much.

Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 8/8/2013 6:10:42 PM
Dan I'm not sure how big your lab by line units are but for a 2 game chase my unit size could be 20 to 30 times bigger than a 5 game chase unit size.
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JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/8/2013 6:13:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

5 game chase is rough - are you sure an E bet is 82 units though?

without the juice

A game  -1 unit
B game  -2 units
C game  -4 units
D game  -8 units
E game  -16 units

total units lost on a 5 game chase ~31 units.  i over simplified and didn't factor in the juice but with over unders your getting somewhere between -110 to -150

Degen, I think you misread my first post. You are correct about 31 units for game loss, I was comparing it to a -150 ave system which is roughly 82 units.
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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Posted: 8/8/2013 6:17:45 PM
Wow, isn't expect all the attention. By the way guys early returns on using a hybrid of this system in NHL are looking good, should have last years back check this evening. As far as baseball plays I know for ure we have a CINC under starting tomorrow.
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