1st Inning Score Chase System

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 1st Inning Score Chase System
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#101
Posted: 7/21/2013 11:57:29 AM
7/21/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (23-0 YTD)

CHC / COL (SCR Y) - C  Bet
OAK / LAA (SCR N) - C  Bet

UNOFFICIAL (30-4 YTD)

PHI / NYM (SCR N) - C Bet
smitler PM smitler
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quote#102
Posted: 7/21/2013 12:17:00 PM
DG have you looked back at the 23-0 official record to see what would have happened if you chased the opposite essentially taking the +money?
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#103
Posted: 7/21/2013 6:37:22 PM

Degen with your two official play wins today I show you are at 25-0.

  • A: 11-14
  • B: 7-7
  • C: 7-0

Breakdown by Yes or No:

YES: 11-0

  • A: 4-7
  • B: 5-2
  • C: 2-0

NO: 14-0

  • A: 7-7
  • B: 2-5
  • C: 5-0
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#104
Posted: 7/22/2013 12:25:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by smitler:

DG have you looked back at the 23-0 official record to see what would have happened if you chased the opposite essentially taking the +money?

I have not - but if I have time i'll take a look - maybe something there.  Thanks for the heads up
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#105
Posted: 7/22/2013 12:26:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Degen with your two official play wins today I show you are at 25-0.

  • A: 11-14
  • B: 7-7
  • C: 7-0

Breakdown by Yes or No:

YES: 11-0

  • A: 4-7
  • B: 5-2
  • C: 2-0

NO: 14-0

  • A: 7-7
  • B: 2-5
  • C: 5-0

Thanks for the help DanRules - as always - you RULE!!! 
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#106
Posted: 7/22/2013 12:27:03 PM
7/21/13 Results

OFFICIAL (25-0 YTD)

CHC / COL (SCR Y) - C  Bet - W
OAK / LAA (SCR N) - C  Bet - W

UNOFFICIAL (30-5 YTD)

PHI / NYM (SCR N) - C Bet - L


Looks like it's time to shut down the unofficial plays
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#107
Posted: 7/22/2013 12:29:29 PM
7/22/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (25-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - A  Bet
OAK / HOU (SCR N) - A  Bet
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - A  Bet
TB / BOS (SCR Y) - A  Bet

DobisPR PM DobisPR
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quote#108
Posted: 7/23/2013 9:53:50 AM
Is there a data base available where the system can be back-tested? I never see old 1st inning lines.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#109
Posted: 7/23/2013 2:38:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DobisPR:

Is there a data base available where the system can be back-tested? I never see old 1st inning lines.

Donbest has 1st inning logs - I have a DB of 1st inning score results but have not had time to backtest - if you're offering to backtest - i can post it here
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#110
Posted: 7/23/2013 2:40:12 PM
7/22/13 Results

OFFICIAL (27-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - A  Bet - L
OAK / HOU (SCR N) - A  Bet - W
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - A  Bet - L
TB / BOS (SCR Y) - A  Bet - W


7/23/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (27-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - B  Bet
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - B  Bet
DobisPR PM DobisPR
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quote#111
Posted: 7/23/2013 4:13:50 PM
Sure, I'll help out. Lemme know.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#112
Posted: 7/24/2013 10:59:05 AM
7/23/13 Results

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYY / TEX (SCR N) - B  Bet - W
PIT / WAS (SCR N) - B  Bet - W

No plays for 7/24
730champ PM 730champ
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quote#113
Posted: 7/24/2013 11:40:59 AM
29 units in six weeks is sick
NoSoLucky PM NoSoLucky
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quote#114
Posted: 7/24/2013 2:11:03 PM
looks like a few good plays for the 25th
Posted using a mobile device.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#115
Posted: 7/25/2013 11:15:46 AM
7/25/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

No official plays for 7/25

For you action junkies you could play LAA/OAK (N SCR) and CIN / LAD (Y SCR) - but their Last 3 numbers take them out of the Official play category
flwareagle PM flwareagle
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quote#116
Posted: 7/25/2013 1:42:40 PM
When would you start this system next year...how far into the season would you wait before starting?
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#117
Posted: 7/25/2013 3:08:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flwareagle:

When would you start this system next year...how far into the season would you wait before starting?

Would probably start end of May timeframe.  Hopefully some backtesting would show the optimal time to start and stop the system.
NoSoLucky PM NoSoLucky
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quote#118
Posted: 7/26/2013 4:11:41 AM
does NYM/WAS qualify for the NO? Officially?

one of the teams has its last 3 at 33.33%

I believe for it to be a NO pick no individual stat can be above 33%, but only 0% is lower than 33.33% in that particular column.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#119
Posted: 7/26/2013 10:27:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

does NYM/WAS qualify for the NO? Officially?

one of the teams has its last 3 at 33.33%

I believe for it to be a NO pick no individual stat can be above 33%, but only 0% is lower than 33.33% in that particular column.

Yes that is correct
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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quote#120
Posted: 7/26/2013 10:30:46 AM
7/26/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet

*Note it's a double header so if you lose the 1st game - bet the 2nd game.


On a side note - both action junkie plays won yesterday 
730champ PM 730champ
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quote#121
Posted: 7/26/2013 3:32:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

7/26/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet

*Note it's a double header so if you lose the 1st game - bet the 2nd game.


On a side note - both action junkie plays won yesterday 


those would of been unofficial plays?   so this the only official for the weekend?  

any unofficial for the junkies? lol
flwareagle PM flwareagle
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quote#122
Posted: 7/26/2013 5:33:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

7/26/13 Plays

OFFICIAL (29-0 YTD)

NYM / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet

*Note it's a double header so if you lose the 1st game - bet the 2nd game.


On a side note - both action junkie plays won yesterday 

Why is this an official play?  WAS last 3 were 33.3% and last 1 was 100%.  What am I missing?
NoSoLucky PM NoSoLucky
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quote#123
Posted: 7/26/2013 6:26:21 PM
"Last 1" is not a factor, ignore it.

"Last 3" is rounded down seeing as there is nothing between 0% and 33.33% for that stat. Essentially they scored in the first inning only once in their last 3 games. If doing that made it a no play there would be VERY FEW plays.
flwareagle PM flwareagle
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quote#124
Posted: 7/26/2013 7:08:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NoSoLucky:

"Last 1" is not a factor, ignore it.

"Last 3" is rounded down seeing as there is nothing between 0% and 33.33% for that stat. Essentially they scored in the first inning only once in their last 3 games. If doing that made it a no play there would be VERY FEW plays.

In that case, the system has a loss.  I lost a series this past weekend (TB/HOU) playing it that way.
flwareagle PM flwareagle
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quote#125
Posted: 7/26/2013 7:14:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by flwareagle:


In that case, the system has a loss.  I lost a series this past weekend (TB/HOU) playing it that way.

That was actually the weekend before the All-Star break.
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