1st Inning Score Chase System

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 1st Inning Score Chase System
coleon PM coleon
Joined: Mar 2003
Posts: 143
 
coleon
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Posted: 7/2/2013 1:58:59 PM
Forgot to say thanks for the Cin@Tex (SCR N) play on Sunday!!!  Started my day off in the right direction!
cofo04 PM cofo04
Joined: Mar 2013
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cofo04
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Posted: 7/2/2013 11:10:26 PM
I come up with an official record of 15-0. Could be wrong though
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/3/2013 10:26:05 AM
YTD 27-1 (have not back tested yet)

7/2/13 Results 

OFFICIAL

DET / TOR (SCR Y) - B Bet - W
ARI / NYM (SCR N) - B Bet - W
SEA / TEX (SCR N) - A Bet - L
LAD / COL (SCR Y) - A Bet - L


UNOFFICIAL

NYY / MIN (SCR N) - B Bet - W
MIL / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet - W
BAL / CWS (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
CLE / KC (SCR N) - A Bet - L
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/3/2013 10:27:21 AM
YTD 27-1 (have not back tested yet)

7/3/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

SEA / TEX (SCR N) - B Bet
LAD / COL (SCR Y) - B Bet


UNOFFICIAL

BAL / CWS (SCR Y) - B Bet
CLE / KC (SCR N) - B Bet
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/4/2013 12:12:42 PM
YTD 29-1 (have not back tested yet)

7/3/13 Results

OFFICIAL

SEA / TEX (SCR N) - B Bet - L
LAD / COL (SCR Y) - B Bet - W


UNOFFICIAL

BAL / CWS (SCR Y) - B Bet - W
CLE / KC (SCR N) - B Bet - L
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/4/2013 12:13:42 PM
YTD 29-1 (have not back tested yet)

7/4/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

SEA / TEX (SCR N) - C Bet

UNOFFICIAL

CLE / KC (SCR N) - C Bet
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/5/2013 11:26:40 AM
YTD 30-2 (have not back tested yet)

7/4/13 Results

OFFICIAL

SEA / TEX (SCR N) - C Bet - W

UNOFFICIAL

CLE / KC (SCR N) - C Bet - L
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/5/2013 11:38:05 AM
YTD 30-2 (have not back tested yet)

7/5/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

HOU / TEX (SCR N) - A Bet
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - A Bet
COL / ARI (SCR Y) - A Bet


UNOFFICIAL

MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - A Bet
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - A Bet
BAL / NYY (SCR N) - A Bet
OAK / KC (SCR N) - A Bet
SDG / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/6/2013 12:36:04 PM
YTD 33-2 (have not back tested yet)

7/5/13 Results

OFFICIAL

HOU / TEX (SCR N) - A Bet - L
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - A Bet - L
COL / ARI (SCR Y) - A Bet - W


UNOFFICIAL

MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
BAL / NYY (SCR N) - A Bet - W
OAK / KC (SCR N) - A Bet - W
SDG / WAS (SCR N) - A Bet - L
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/6/2013 12:37:20 PM
YTD 33-2 (have not back tested yet)

7/6/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

HOU / TEX (SCR N) - B Bet
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - B Bet


UNOFFICIAL

MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - B Bet
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - B Bet
SDG / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet
stayeduptolate PM stayeduptolate
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 17
 
stayeduptolate
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Posted: 7/6/2013 12:46:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

YTD 33-2 (have not back tested yet)

7/6/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

HOU / TEX (SCR N) - B Bet
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - B Bet


UNOFFICIAL

MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - B Bet
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - B Bet
SDG / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet


quick question so scr n means no score in first inning and scr y means a score correct?
730champ PM 730champ
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730champ
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Posted: 7/6/2013 12:57:07 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by stayeduptolate:



quick question so scr n means no score in first inning and scr y means a score correct?

 

 

yes

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2013 11:29:07 AM
YTD 35-2 (have not back tested yet)

7/6/13 Results

OFFICIAL

HOU / TEX (SCR N) - B Bet - W
NYM / MIL (SCR N) - B Bet - L


UNOFFICIAL

MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - B Bet - L
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - B Bet - L
SDG / WAS (SCR N) - B Bet - W
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posts: 1070
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2013 11:29:55 AM
YTD 35-2 (have not back tested yet)

7/7/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

NYM / MIL (SCR N) - C Bet


UNOFFICIAL

MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - C Bet
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - C Bet
flwareagle PM flwareagle
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 298
 
flwareagle
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Posted: 7/7/2013 5:02:42 PM
Might should stay away from the unofficial plays.  I am 10-0 since I started playing these and only play the official plays.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/8/2013 11:53:55 AM
YTD 37-3 (have not back tested yet)

7/7/13 Results

OFFICIAL

NYM / MIL (SCR N) - C Bet - W


UNOFFICIAL

MIN / TOR (SCR Y) - C Bet - L
CWS / TB (SCR Y) - C Bet - W


UnOfficial Plays not doing so hot - gonna track unofficial plays for one more week before killing them - on the bright side the Official plays are undefeated.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/8/2013 11:56:27 AM
YTD 37-3 (have not back tested yet)

7/8/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

KC / NYY (SCR N) - A Bet


UNOFFICIAL

TEX / BAL (SCR N) - A Bet
NYM / SF (SCR N) - A Bet
LAD / ARI (SCR Y) - A Bet
COL / SDG (SCR Y) - A Bet
flwareagle PM flwareagle
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 298
 
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Posted: 7/8/2013 12:16:57 PM
I really enjoy this chase...let's hope it turns out to be continually successful.
karunuppal PM karunuppal
Joined: Mar 2008
Posts: 1
 
karunuppal
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Posted: 7/8/2013 1:17:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

In a quest to find other angles for systems - I had a thought on chasing 1st inning scores (by either team)

So I created a preliminary spreadsheet to test things out and to solicit feedback - if it does well for a week or so - I'll see if I can backtest and as always hopefully we can think of things to make it better.

You can download the automated spreadsheet from here:

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B5dydT9Oe6JbNV9tQ0wyamFUMlE/edit?usp=sharing

I basically pull the 1st inning score % for each team for 2013, last 3 and Home/Away from teamrankings.com

I then look for a total of 64% or greater for all 3 categories to initiate a 3 game chase (no 2 game series)

This will be a test for a week or so - and if it works out - I may be looking for volunteers to run the thread while I work on improvements - lol - you guys know my track record for threads. 



Just downloaded your excel sheet and trying to update it.  Are you still supporting/updating it?
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/9/2013 11:24:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by karunuppal:


Just downloaded your excel sheet and trying to update it.  Are you still supporting/updating it?

Just uploaded the latest version - still needs some tweaks - but this is the most recent
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/9/2013 3:00:15 PM
YTD 40-3 (have not back tested yet)

7/8/13 Results

OFFICIAL

KC / NYY (SCR N) - A Bet - W


UNOFFICIAL

TEX / BAL (SCR N) - A Bet - W
NYM / SF (SCR N) - A Bet - L
LAD / ARI (SCR Y) - A Bet - L
COL / SDG (SCR Y) - A Bet - W
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1070
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/9/2013 3:04:32 PM
YTD 40-3 (have not back tested yet)

7/9/13 Plays

OFFICIAL

None

UNOFFICIAL

NYM / SF (SCR N) - B Bet
LAD / ARI (SCR Y) - B Bet
smitler PM smitler
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 2387
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Posted: 7/9/2013 6:36:36 PM
Looks promising. Good job DG. 

My system involved more of a money management focus on taking the biggest dog in every time slot. Had a long losing streak midway through the second season and took up too much time.

Gonna get on board today.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/10/2013 10:24:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by smitler:

Looks promising. Good job DG. 

My system involved more of a money management focus on taking the biggest dog in every time slot. Had a long losing streak midway through the second season and took up too much time.

Gonna get on board today.

Thanks Smitler - yeah I like how your system chased dog plays - too bad it had a losing streak in the middle of the season

I still need to back test this system to make sure it's just not a short run winning streak - hoping to find some filters that will allow more "OFFICIAL" plays and verify it's profitable in the long run  Luckily the "OFFICIAL" plays seem to be holding up.  It's the UNOFFICIAL plays that seem to be less desirable

But I am horrible at backtesting - 
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
Joined: Oct 2011
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DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/10/2013 10:25:27 AM
YTD 41-3 (have not back tested yet)

7/9/13 Results

OFFICIAL

None

UNOFFICIAL

NYM / SF (SCR N) - B Bet - W
LAD / ARI (SCR Y) - B Bet - L
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