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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: T/R Home/Away Power Rankings
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#51
Posted: 6/9/2013 12:36:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

Buckeye:

One filter that I already established for myself is that if a team qualifies they have to have a record above .500.  Thus, I didn't bet the Houston/KC series.  The whole idea to me is to bet on superior teams against crap teams.

I am however on the C game today with Texas.  I will be playing Texas +1.5 today as they are a dog.  As I mentioned before, I play all dogs +1.5.  Is it more expensive up front...of course it is. However, it saves your behind more often then not, prevents losses and avoids many C plays.  

For example; Atlanta won last night 2-1 in a nail biter on the C game.  If you had played it the night before taking Atlanta +1.5 you had already won on the B game and weren't sweating it.

Hope this is of help.  I am still working on more filters and back testing myself.  Good luck to you and everyone else trying this system!   



Nice Call, Thanx
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#52
Posted: 6/9/2013 12:37:26 PM
New Version 3 is uploaded, same link.
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#53
Posted: 6/9/2013 4:01:28 PM
Seems like the best ideas for sports betting are the ones that take the least complicated route, and this looks like another one. BK, I sent you a friend request, I may have some helpful intel for you.
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#54
Posted: 6/9/2013 4:09:34 PM
Accepted, excellent

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#55
Posted: 6/9/2013 4:31:49 PM
I think I'm going to put the RFs on the backburner...I really didn't think it through. I'm going to look at filters and stuff.
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#56
Posted: 6/10/2013 6:36:37 AM
6/9 Plays  YTD:  11-1

Tex WIN
Hou LOSS



Link to current spreadsheet:  Version 2

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing


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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#57
Posted: 6/10/2013 6:49:16 AM
6/10 Plays  YTD:  11-1

Mil
Bos
Tex
Cin
Det
Az
Atl

6/11 Plays

Pit
Stl
Col
Nyy



Link to current spreadsheet:  Version 2

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing

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730champ send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#58
Posted: 6/10/2013 4:50:34 PM
so you wont use the over .500 filter?
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#59
Posted: 6/10/2013 8:02:50 PM
I've just logged all the plays for this year, but I haven't logged W/L records and all that , so I posted all the plays on the sheet.  I have time tomorrow, to see if being under .500 makes a diff.  Mil has won 3 in a row and 6 of 10.
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#60
Posted: 6/10/2013 8:14:02 PM
cool thanks buckeye
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#61
Posted: 6/10/2013 8:16:14 PM
I did a quick check.  Earlier in the year, Boston who was #1 on the away list and 20-8 overall was swept, while Phi was #21 on the home list and under .500 overall, and at home (under .500 as a matter of fact), won the first game by over 3 runs.  
I'll be doing a more thorough check tomorrow
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#62
Posted: 6/11/2013 1:19:36 AM
6/10 Plays  YTD:  16-1

Mil Win
Bos Win
Tex Win
Cin  Win
Det Loss B 6/11
Az Win
Atl Loss B 6/11

6/11 Plays

Det  B 
Atl  B 
Pit
Stl
Col
Nyy



Link to current spreadsheet:  Version 2

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing

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730champ send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#63
Posted: 6/11/2013 1:28:36 AM
wow what a day.. of course i waited to see if i could jump in on like 3 or 4 b plays but it ends up going 5-2
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Tmazeratti send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#64
Posted: 6/11/2013 4:39:35 AM
Good luck brother
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#65
Posted: 6/11/2013 9:34:52 AM
I'm going to backtrack and put the ML in, using Covers closing line to track units won.

6/6  
Atl  -114
Col  -109
Nyy  +100
Oak  +100
Phi  +137

Day:   3-0 +1.14u  2 pending
GTD:  3-0 +1.14u  2 pending
YTD:  3-0 +1.14u  2 pending
OYTD:  

6/7
Az +100
Atl B -243 ((114+1u)x-107
Col B +209 (109+1u)
Det +100
Hou -100
Pit +100
Stl +100
Tex -100

Day:  5-0 +1.66u  3 pending
GTD:  8-0 +2.8u
YTD: 8-0 +2.8u
OYTD:  

6/8
Atl C +457 (114+243+1u)
Bos A -160
Bos B +260
Hou B -200 (100+1u)
Tex B -259 (100+1u)x-159

Day:  2-3 +.98u  2 pending
GTD:  10-0 +3.78u
YTD: 10-0 +3.78u
OYTD:  

6/9
Hou C -400 (100+200+1u)
Tex C +652 (100+259+1u)x126

Day:  1-1 +2.52u  
GTD:  11-1 +6.3u
YTD: 11-1 +6.3u
OYTD:  


Day:  That date's W/L and units won.
GTD:  Group to date.  MLB tend to start/end series within a day of each other, before starting new series.
YTD:  Year to date of posting the thread
OYTD:  My count since Apr 29th.
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#66
Posted: 6/11/2013 9:41:27 AM
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing
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#67
Posted: 6/11/2013 9:43:04 AM
6/11 Plays
Det B
Atl B
Pit
Stl
Col
Nyy


6/10 Plays 5-0 +3.23u 2 pending

Mil Win +100
Bos Win +129
Tex Win +100
Cin  Win +100
Det Loss B 6/11 -138
Az Win +165
Atl Loss B 6/11 -133


Group 6/10.11
5-0 +3.23u 2 pending
Year to Date on thread
16-1  9.53u  2 pending
Overall, since Apr 29th:
113-7  +59.32u  2 pending

*Using Covers closing lines

Link to current spreadsheet:  Version 3

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing

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#68
Posted: 6/12/2013 6:53:25 AM
6/12 Plays

Atl C 
Nyy B


6/11 Plays 4-0 +1.79u 2 pending

Det B Win +100, +138
Atl B Loss -126,-133
Pit Win +100
Stl Win +100
Col  Win +100
Nyy  Loss -100


Group 6/10.11
9-0 +5.02u 2 pending
Year to Date on thread
20-1  11.32u  2 pending
Overall, since Apr 29th:
117-7  +61.11u  2 pending

*Using Covers closing lines

Link to current spreadsheet:  Version 3

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing

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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#69
Posted: 6/13/2013 6:49:30 AM
6/13 plays
Nyy C
Bos A
Tb A
Tex A
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#70
Posted: 6/13/2013 4:36:10 PM
6/13 Plays 
Nyy  C 

New Group:
Bos
Tb
Tex

6/12 Plays 0-2 -580u 1 pending

Atl C Loss -126,-133, -121  Series Loss
Nyy B Loss -100 -100



Group 6/10.11
9-1 -.78u 1 pending
Year to Date on thread
20-2  +5.52u  1 pending
Overall, since Apr 29th:
117-8  +55.31u  1 pending

*Using Covers closing lines

Link to current spreadsheet:  Version 3

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#71
Posted: 6/14/2013 6:48:18 AM
Nice fricking night last night.

Plays for 6/14
Bos B
Tb B
Tex B
Cle
Pit
Cin
Chc
Stl
Atl
Det
Cws
Col
Nyy
Oak
Az

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#72
Posted: 6/14/2013 8:42:45 PM
I have to go back, I've been adding wrong on the plays.  Might be a few days.
I'm also looking at a few filters too.  Unfortunately, this past Atl C Loss and the Bos C loss early May wouldn't have been filtered.
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#73
Posted: 6/15/2013 6:42:26 AM
Bos B  loss
Tb B  loss
Tex B  loss
Cle  won
Pit  won
Cin  won
Chc  won
Stl  loss
Atl  loss
Det  won
Cws  loss
Col  loss
Nyy  loss 
Oak  loss
Az  loss

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#74
Posted: 6/15/2013 6:43:44 AM
Plays for 6/15

Bos C
Tb C
Tex C
Stl  B
Atl B
Cws B
Col B
Nyy B
Oak B
Az  B

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#75
Posted: 6/16/2013 11:49:07 AM
Plays for 6/15

Bos C  won
Tb C  won
Tex C  loss
Stl  B  won
Atl B  won
Cws B  loss
Col B  won
Nyy B  loss
Oak B  loss
Az  B  loss
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