Messages

Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 10  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: T/R Home/Away Power Rankings
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#1
Posted: 6/5/2013 9:40:44 PM
This system is taking the home power ranking on Teamrankings.com and compare that number to the opponent's away power rankings.  If the difference is 1 or more, play the higher team.
This is a 3g chase, starting on the A game of at least a 3g series.

Here's the websites:
 http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/ranking/away-power-ranking-by-team
http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/ranking/home-power-ranking-by-team

Since Apr 29th to Jun 4th, this system has gone 97-6 for +49.79 using Covers final money line. 

Another part of this is playing the -1.5 and -2.5 as part of the chase explained further.

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#2
Posted: 6/5/2013 9:50:34 PM
Here is an automated spreadsheet that I adjusted from DegenGamble's RPI 2013 sheet.  It still has the RPI play on it, but I added the TR power rankings and the TR over/under percentages on the Summary tab.  
I have left on there my year's backtest for RPI and this system on the Covers Data 2 tab.  When you update, the spreadsheet will post the previous day's plays on Covers Data 2 , Columns A to I (eye!!!). So don't put anything you might wish to keep on those columns. 

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5ZblZxaktiYXNIelE/edit?usp=sharing
quote
730champ send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
730champ
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 16050
Location:
#3
Posted: 6/5/2013 9:52:14 PM
will u be posting plays buckeye?
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#4
Posted: 6/5/2013 10:01:11 PM
About the RL plays.  On the RRL tab, I have the percentage of RL -1.5 & -2.5 wins compared to a team's overall wins.  JEFFTHEHAT figured out that doing these two plays, along with the ML has generated a lot of units.  
On the Covers Data 2 tab, you can see in Columns O-R on the RPI section, and X-AA on the TR section, the amount of wins to losses.  If you figure that each play is a + ML (in most cases) and stand to lose only 1 unit for a loss....well, the stats are right there.
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#5
Posted: 6/5/2013 10:01:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 730champ:

will u be posting plays buckeye?
Yep, you beat me to it!!  One more post to go.
quote
730champ send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
730champ
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: May 2007
Posts: 16050
Location:
#6
Posted: 6/5/2013 10:02:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

Yep, you beat me to it!!  One more post to go.


lets get it
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#7
Posted: 6/5/2013 10:19:00 PM
In case anyone is unable to do the spreadsheet, I will be posting the plays.  Teamrankings updates their website like it seems within minutes of a game finishing, so I should be able to post the games before I go to work in the morning.  Also, the spreadsheet doesn't tell you the TR plays, just the RPI plays.  Using T/R Dif, will let you know the plays (1 or larger).  

Also, me personally, I don't chase the RL plays.  If the play wins on the A game, but loses on the 2 RL lines, I won't chase. If the play losses game A, I will chase the RLs on game B too, same for game C.  

I won't be posting the lines of the games, just the plays and the game of the series (A,B,or C).  Because of the way I have my spreadsheet set up, consider 97-6 the new 0-0, as that's what my sheet currently stands at.  -1.5 is 66-35 and -2.5 is 57-44.


quote
JEFFTHEHAT
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
JEFFTHEHAT
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 3843
Location: California
#8
Posted: 6/5/2013 10:34:56 PM
Buckeye sent friend request , need to ask your question please accept.
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#9
Posted: 6/5/2013 10:34:59 PM
The way it stands right now Oak, Phi, Col, Nyy, and Atl are the plays...game A.  Not official yet.  Not sure how long it takes TR.com to update.


This is a reference for me in the morning: Tb 100.7, Det 102.5. To see if the site is updated at 6am!!
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#10
Posted: 6/5/2013 10:37:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEFFTHEHAT:

Buckeye sent friend request , need to ask your question please accept.
Done.  I'll be up another half hour.
quote
SweetDickWormy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
SweetDickWormy
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 257
Location: Illinois
#11
Posted: 6/5/2013 11:26:08 PM
Buckeye:

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.  I have been working diligently over the past week when time presented itself to back test and try to identify appropriate filters to develop a system such as yours.

Just today I finished back testing to the start of this season.  Then tonight as I am about to embark on the 2012 season I read this post.  I had to laugh out loud.  

Thank you for posting.  My spreadsheet is still in the works, so I appreciate viewing your work.  I am still trying to identify filters that might eliminate some or hopefully all of the losses.  It seems that utilizing the RL when the play is a dog has helped.  Interleague seems to be an issue as well as it has caused more than a few of the losses.

Friend request on the way and I would love to share thoughts with you as I really believe in what I have seen so far.  Best of luck to you!  
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#12
Posted: 6/5/2013 11:48:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

Buckeye:

I don't know whether to laugh or cry.  I have been working diligently over the past week when time presented itself to back test and try to identify appropriate filters to develop a system such as yours.

Just today I finished back testing to the start of this season.  Then tonight as I am about to embark on the 2012 season I read this post.  I had to laugh out loud.  

Thank you for posting.  My spreadsheet is still in the works, so I appreciate viewing your work.  I am still trying to identify filters that might eliminate some or hopefully all of the losses.  It seems that utilizing the RL when the play is a dog has helped.  Interleague seems to be an issue as well as it has caused more than a few of the losses.

Friend request on the way and I would love to share thoughts with you as I really believe in what I have seen so far.  Best of luck to you!  
Accepted
I read about it somewhere, but the poster said 3 or 5pts diff. I did a quick backtest on 2 teams last year and it did really good, so I started following it this year and started playing them 2, 3 weeks ago.  As far as the RLs, that was Jeff's.  Jun 4th, there were 4 plays, 3 won all three plays (ML, -1.5, and -2.5) and the fourth won just the ML.  Thanx to Jeff, instead of winning 4u, it was 14 or 17u, and cleared the chases on the A game.
quote
SweetDickWormy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
SweetDickWormy
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 257
Location: Illinois
#13
Posted: 6/6/2013 12:16:10 AM
Thanks again Buckeye!  As I am not nearly as far in my efforts as yourself may I ask another question.  If it is a four game series and you hit on the A game do you play again and try to "double dip" if you will and hopefully win again on games 2, 3 or 4?  

Something else I was going to look into that you might have already.  Appreciate the help, and thanks in advance.
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#14
Posted: 6/6/2013 6:34:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

Thanks again Buckeye!  As I am not nearly as far in my efforts as yourself may I ask another question.  If it is a four game series and you hit on the A game do you play again and try to "double dip" if you will and hopefully win again on games 2, 3 or 4?  

Something else I was going to look into that you might have already.  Appreciate the help, and thanks in advance.
No, I haven't.  I'm one and done.  I haven't looked that far.  I don't even check if it's a 4 game series, just not a 2g series. It's more that I've been too busy than not wanting to risk.  Something to think about sure.
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#15
Posted: 6/6/2013 6:50:36 AM
Our first plays:
For 6/6 
All "A" plays
Oak
Phi
Col
Nyy
Atl


quote
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DegenGamble
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1052
Location: New Jersey
#16
Posted: 6/6/2013 10:56:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

Our first plays:
For 6/6 
All "A" plays
Oak
Phi
Col
Nyy
Atl



So how are you playing these Buckey - ML, -1.5 RL, or -2.5 RL - or a combination?  like 1 unit ML and .5 units -1.5 RL and -2.5 RL?
quote
SweetDickWormy send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
SweetDickWormy
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 257
Location: Illinois
#17
Posted: 6/6/2013 11:47:13 AM
I can only speak for myself, but if a team qualifies as a dog I play them on the ML +1.5.  Through my back testing for this season that has eliminated some losses.  

I believe Buckeye and Jeff play it a little differently based on some of their data analyses.  I am still very much in the infancy of trying to establish filters and such for how I envisioned this working when I began studying the numbers.

Good luck to all, and I hope by sharing idea's we can all come up with another very profitable system.  This looks very promising so far!
quote
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DegenGamble
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 1052
Location: New Jersey
#18
Posted: 6/6/2013 11:53:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

I can only speak for myself, but if a team qualifies as a dog I play them on the ML +1.5.  Through my back testing for this season that has eliminated some losses.  

I believe Buckeye and Jeff play it a little differently based on some of their data analyses.  I am still very much in the infancy of trying to establish filters and such for how I envisioned this working when I began studying the numbers.

Good luck to all, and I hope by sharing idea's we can all come up with another very profitable system.  This looks very promising so far!

Interesting Sweet- +1.5 would have some hefty juice - but if it eliminates losses than I can understand the angle.
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#19
Posted: 6/6/2013 1:47:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

I can only speak for myself, but if a team qualifies as a dog I play them on the ML +1.5.  Through my back testing for this season that has eliminated some losses.  

I believe Buckeye and Jeff play it a little differently based on some of their data analyses.  I am still very much in the infancy of trying to establish filters and such for how I envisioned this working when I began studying the numbers.

Good luck to all, and I hope by sharing idea's we can all come up with another very profitable system.  This looks very promising so far!
Exactly what DeGen said...hefty juice.  The beauty of the RL system, especially for dogs is, well, it's basically a dog play.  If you lose, you lose one unit.  If you're 2-2 on the day, you should be up.  If you go +1.5, you would lose more.  As to that thought about Dogs, see post #12.  One of those plays was Min.  They won 3-0, and covered all 3 plays.  They were a +122 dog for me.
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#20
Posted: 6/6/2013 1:57:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:


So how are you playing these Buckey - ML, -1.5 RL, or -2.5 RL - or a combination?  like 1 unit ML and .5 units -1.5 RL and -2.5 RL?
I'm playing all 3.  Like I said in other threads, it's more for fun and if it does really well, during the offseason, research it more, and play higher wagers and more filters.
So one unit on each.  If I was playing more serious, and to those that do, I would probably go 1 unit on ML and -1.5 and maybe .5u on the -2.5., plus check the percentages on the spreadsheet for each team.

Also, I screwed up a number on a macro for Covers Data 2.  You'll notice that Was plays are at the bottom.  Shouldn't be like that.  I'll have a fix after I get home from work at 4pm EST
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#21
Posted: 6/6/2013 2:06:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

I can only speak for myself, but if a team qualifies as a dog I play them on the ML +1.5.  Through my back testing for this season that has eliminated some losses.  

I believe Buckeye and Jeff play it a little differently based on some of their data analyses.  I am still very much in the infancy of trying to establish filters and such for how I envisioned this working when I began studying the numbers.

Good luck to all, and I hope by sharing idea's we can all come up with another very profitable system.  This looks very promising so far!

quote
JoeyGladstone send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
JoeyGladstone
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2013
Posts: 202
Location: United States
#22
Posted: 6/6/2013 2:28:22 PM
Now will the TR Rankings update each day with Excel, or should we go about inserting the Rankings each day?

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#23
Posted: 6/6/2013 4:55:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JoeyGladstone:

Now will the TR Rankings update each day with Excel, or should we go about inserting the Rankings each day?


No, the rankings part on the summary tab is fine, what the problem is matters to the Covers Data 2 tab only.  I have it set up that it takes the info from the "Covers Data" tab and sorts it by date instead of by team.  This makes it easier to track.  I just didn't take the sort far enough down.  Gonna fix now
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#24
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:04:54 PM
QUOTE
Version 2 is available, fixed the problem I found in post #20/#23

Originally Posted by JoeyGladstone:

Now will the TR Rankings update each day with Excel, or should we go about inserting the Rankings each day?

I think I missed understood your question.  Hit update every morning and it will update.  I did it this morning at 630am (est) and compared it with the websites and it was fine.
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2013
Posts: 577
Location: Ohio
#25
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:20:15 PM
For those of you who use the Covers Data 2 tab to track, and you're sick of scrolling down to the current date every day, here's the fix:

On the sheet, any tab click on VIEW, Click on View Macros (on right in 2013 version of Excel), Click on Covers (macro name) and then Edit.

You should have opened up a new window.  On the right pane you should see Covers Macro under Sub Covers ().  Go down to the 5th "End With". Below that should be Rows "("3:3") . Select"

3 rows below that is "Rows ("3:702")

Change the 702 to whatever row you want to hide to.  Click the Run button (arrow pointing to the right) and it will do it for you without updating the whole page.  Click the to right X to get out of that window.  Done.
quote
Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 10  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.