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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: O/U Park Factor system 2013
Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#76
Posted: 6/10/2013 12:28:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:


Nice Dan - are you playing these or just testing it out?  Are you going to track it separately or use as a filter for the original system?

Just tracking for now. I'm in Mexico for another week and we'll see when I get back. I can post the resukts here as well.

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#77
Posted: 6/10/2013 3:23:47 PM

Monday 6/10:

No games qualify for the O/U Park factor system.

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-7

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

 

For the new method based on series that go O/U I'm starting to post plays as of today. This is for tracking only, not recommending betting on these as I have not back tested at all prior to this year.

Chase to win 1 game

LAA/Balt Over

Bos/TB Over

Tor/ChiSox Under

Det/KC Under

Cle/Tex Under

AZ/LAD Over

Atl/SD Over

Record: 0-0 (61-4 before posting)

A:

B:

C:

D:

quote
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#78
Posted: 6/11/2013 1:04:48 AM

Monday 6/10 results:

No games qualify for the O/U Park factor system.

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-7

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

LAA/Balt Over Loss - B game Tuesday

Bos/TB Over WIN

Tor/ChiSox Under Loss - B game Tuesday

Det/KC Under WIN

Cle/Tex Under WIN

AZ/LAD Over WIN

Atl/SD Over WIN

Record: 5-0 (61-4 before posting)

A: 5-2

B:

C:

D:

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#79
Posted: 6/11/2013 3:14:53 PM
DanRules - just an FYI - I was on teamrankings.com website today and noticed the way the calculate O/U % - they don't factor in pushes.  So if a team is 5-5-2 - their O/U % is 50%
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#80
Posted: 6/11/2013 4:04:54 PM

Tuesday 6/11

No games qualify for the O/U Park factor system.

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-7

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

LAA/Balt Over  B game

Tor/ChiSox Under B game

Was/Colo Over A game

STL/Mets Over A game

Record: 5-0 (61-4 before posting)

A: 5-2

B:

C:

D:

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#81
Posted: 6/11/2013 4:26:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

DanRules - just an FYI - I was on teamrankings.com website today and noticed the way the calculate O/U % - they don't factor in pushes.  So if a team is 5-5-2 - their O/U % is 50%
That's the one I use, and have on the spreadsheet I made
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#82
Posted: 6/12/2013 1:04:29 AM

Tuesday 6/11 results:

 

No games qualify for the O/U Park factor system.

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-7

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

LAA/Balt Over B game Loss - C game Wednesday

Tor/ChiSox Under B game  Loss - C game Wednesday

Was/Colo Over A game WIN

STL/Mets Over A game WIN

Record: 7-0 (61-4 before posting)

A: 7-2

B: 0-2

C:

D:

quote
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#83
Posted: 6/12/2013 10:29:20 PM

Wednesday 6/12 results:

No games qualify for the O/U Park factor system.

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-7

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

LAA/Balt Over C game WIN

Tor/ChiSox Under C game ppd (counts as 2 game loss, 3.41 units)

Record: 8-1 (61-4 before posting)

A: 7-2

B: 0-2

C: 1-0

D:

quote
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#84
Posted: 6/12/2013 10:41:30 PM

Thursday 6/13 plays:

No games qualify for the O/U Park factor system.

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-7

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Boston/Balt Over A game

KC/Tam Over A game

Tor/Tex Under A game

Record: 8-1 (61-4 before posting)

A: 7-2

B: 0-2

C: 1-0

D:

quote
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#85
Posted: 6/13/2013 11:50:16 PM

Thursday 6/13 results:

No games qualify for the O/U Park factor system.

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-7

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Boston/Balt Over A game Loss - B game Friday

KC/Tam Over A game WIN

Tor/Tex Under A game WIN

Record: 10-1 (61-4 before posting)

A: 9-3

B: 0-2

C: 1-0

D:

quote
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#86
Posted: 6/14/2013 12:01:03 AM

For Friday 6/14:

O/U Park factor system

Looks like we have:

Mil/Cincy Over A game

AZ/SD Over A game

O/U Series record system

Boston/Balt Over  B game

ChiSox/Hou Over A game

Sea/Oak Over A game

SF/Atl Over A game

Mil/Cincy Over A game

Phil/Colo Under A game

Cubs/Mets Under A game

LAD/Pitt Under A game

AZ/SD Over A game

 

quote
ALTABLOCK
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#87
Posted: 6/15/2013 12:16:16 AM
are you actually bettting these?
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#88
Posted: 6/15/2013 1:15:28 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ALTABLOCK:

are you actually bettting these?

Nope, just tracking to see if this would be a viable O/U system.

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#89
Posted: 6/15/2013 1:51:38 AM

Friday 6/14 results

O/U Park factor system

Mil/Cincy Over A game Loss - B game Sat

AZ/SD Over A game Loss - B game Sat

Record: 10-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-9

B: 4-3

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Boston/Balt Over B game Loss - C game Sat

ChiSox/Hou Over A game Loss - B game Sat

Sea/Oak Over A game Loss - B game Sat

SF/Atl Over A game Loss - B game Sat

Mil/Cincy Over A game Loss - B game Sat

Phil/Colo Under A game Loss - B game Sat

Cubs/Mets Under A game Loss - B game Sat

LAD/Pitt Under A game WIN

AZ/SD Over A game Loss - B game Sat

Record: 11-1 (61-4 before posting)

A: 10-10

B: 0-3

C: 1-0

D:

quote
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#90
Posted: 6/15/2013 11:30:15 PM

Saturday 6/15 results

O/U Park factor system

Mil/Cincy Over B game Loss - C game Sunday

AZ/SD Over B game WIN

Record: 11-0 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-9

B: 5-4

C: 2-1

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Boston/Balt Over C game Loss - D game Sun

ChiSox/Hou Over B game Loss - C game Sunday

Sea/Oak Over B game Loss - C game Sunday

SF/Atl Over B game WIN

Mil/Cincy Over B game Loss - C game Sunday

Phil/Colo Under  B game Loss - C game Sunday

Cubs/Mets Under B game WIN

AZ/SD Over B game WIN

Record: 14-1 (61-4 before posting)

A: 10-10

B: 3-7

C: 1-2

D:

quote
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#91
Posted: 6/17/2013 3:14:32 AM

Sunday 6/16 results

O/U Park factor system

Mil/Cincy Over C game Loss

Record: 11-1 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-9

B: 5-4

C: 2-2

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Boston/Balt Over D game Push (3 game loss)

ChiSox/Hou Over C game WIN

Sea/Oak Over C game WIN

Mil/Cincy Over C game Loss

Phil/Colo Under C game WIN

 

Record: 17-3 (61-4 before posting)

A: 10-10

B: 3-7

C: 4-3

D:

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#92
Posted: 6/17/2013 2:59:28 PM
so if a series loss is basically 7 units seems like the park factor you are at least in the plus.
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#93
Posted: 6/17/2013 3:03:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 730champ:

so if a series loss is basically 7 units seems like the park factor you are at least in the plus.

Yes. Overall 27-3 on the Park factor system, so a few units profit. The series system is 58-7 overall, so a little profit there too. The Park factor system got a little stronger last year as the season went on so I'm hoping for some improvement. The series factor is new for me to track this year, so just testing to see if it could lead to something.

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#94
Posted: 6/17/2013 3:07:18 PM
nice.. yeah hopefully it improves like last last year.. anything for today?
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#95
Posted: 6/17/2013 3:27:56 PM

Monday 6/17 plays:

O/U Park factor system

Col/Tor OVER A game

Bal/Det OVER A game

Pitt/Cin OVER A game

Record: 11-1 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-9

B: 5-4

C: 2-2

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Col/Tor OVER A game

Bal/Det OVER A game

Sea/LAA OVER A game

Oak/Tex UNDER A game

Mets/Atl OVER A game

Miami/AZ UNDER A game

Was/Philly OVER A game

SD/SF OVER A game

Record: 17-3 (61-4 before posting)

A: 10-10

B: 3-7

C: 4-3

D:

quote
Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#96
Posted: 6/18/2013 2:54:23 AM

Monday 6/17 results:

O/U Park factor system

Col/Tor OVER A game Loss - B game Tues

Bal/Det OVER A game Loss - B game Tues

Pitt/Cin OVER A game Loss - B game Tues

Record: 11-1 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-12

B: 5-4

C: 2-2

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Col/Tor OVER A game Loss - B game Tues

Bal/Det OVER A game Loss - B game Tues

Sea/LAA OVER A game WIN

Oak/Tex UNDER A game Loss - B game Tues

Mets/Atl OVER A game Loss - B game Tues

Miami/AZ UNDER A game WIN

Was/Philly OVER A game WIN

SD/SF OVER A game Push, ends chase.

Record: 20-3 (61-4 before posting)

A: 13-14

B: 3-7

C: 4-3

D:

quote
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#97
Posted: 6/18/2013 11:38:28 AM

Tuesday plays:

O/U Park factor system

Col/Tor OVER B game

Bal/Det OVER B game

Pitt/Cin OVER B game

ChiSox/Minn Under A game

Record: 11-1 (16-2 before posting)

A: 3-12

B: 5-4

C: 2-2

D: 1-0

O/U Series record system

Col/Tor OVER B game

Bal/Det OVER B game

Oak/Tex UNDER B game

Mets/Atl OVER B game (double header today so game 2 could be in play)

ChiSox/Minn Under A game

Mil/Hou Over A game

Record: 20-3 (61-4 before posting)

A: 13-14

B: 3-7

C: 4-3

D:

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#98
Posted: 6/18/2013 12:41:53 PM
dan quick question up above you said the series system is 58-7 overall but here you in the tally you have 61-4 and 20-3 so is it 81-7?
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#99
Posted: 6/18/2013 1:04:06 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 730champ:

dan quick question up above you said the series system is 58-7 overall but here you in the tally you have 61-4 and 20-3 so is it 81-7?

In post 93 I was referring to the overall record of both systems  (seperately) included what I tracked before posting. I did make a mistake on the series system as that overall record should have read 78-7 (17-3 posted and 61-4 before posting). Many of the plays are duplicated so it wouldn't be accusrate to add them together.

 

As of today the park factor is 27-3 (11-1 posted and 16-2 pre-post) while the series system is 81-7 (20-3 posted and 61-4 pre-post).

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#100
Posted: 6/18/2013 2:40:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

In post 93 I was referring to the overall record of both systems  (seperately) included what I tracked before posting. I did make a mistake on the series system as that overall record should have read 78-7 (17-3 posted and 61-4 before posting). Many of the plays are duplicated so it wouldn't be accusrate to add them together.

 

As of today the park factor is 27-3 (11-1 posted and 16-2 pre-post) while the series system is 81-7 (20-3 posted and 61-4 pre-post).



got it thanks..  series system up some good numbers and since most of the park factors plays are in the series system plays they might be worth a look
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