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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2013 Automated Buddah system spreadsheet
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#26
Posted: 5/26/2013 6:54:54 PM
5/26: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 8-3 +4.22u
2-0 2u
Det Win +100
Tb  Win +100

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#27
Posted: 5/27/2013 10:14:05 AM
5/27: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 8-3 +4.22u
Det (1)...(Yes, again)


*Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

**In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

Units are based on Covers closing Line.

All information on the system is located on the system tab.

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#28
Posted: 5/27/2013 5:11:52 PM
5/27: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 9-3 +5.22u
Det Win
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#29
Posted: 5/28/2013 6:16:17 PM
5/28: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 9-3 +5.22u
Nym (2)
Lad (2)


*Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

**In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

Units are based on Covers closing Line.

All information on the system is located on the system tab.

quote
King Creole42 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
King Creole42
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#30
Posted: 5/28/2013 7:17:26 PM
thanks for the system!
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#31
Posted: 5/29/2013 4:44:46 PM
5/28: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 11-3 +7.22u
2-0 +2.00u
Nym Win
Lad Win
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#32
Posted: 5/29/2013 4:47:11 PM
5/27: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 11-3 +7.22u
Phi (1)

*Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

**In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

Units are based on Covers closing Line.

All information on the system is located on the system tab.

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#33
Posted: 5/30/2013 6:52:25 AM
5/29: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
Phi WIN

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#34
Posted: 5/30/2013 6:54:32 AM
5/30: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
Laa (1)
Det (1)
Stl (1)

*Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

**In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

Units are based on Covers closing Line.

All information on the system is located on the system tab.

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#35
Posted: 5/30/2013 6:55:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

5/29: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 12-3 +8.48u
Phi WIN

Philly was a +1.26 unit win
quote
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
DegenGamble
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#36
Posted: 5/30/2013 10:05:03 AM
Very promising on unofficial plays - hitting at 80% - we just need more data to get official plays - imagine if we had 5 years worth? 

So that got me to thinking on how we could replicate it - we can't calculate NPERA - but we could use ERA and rank the pitchers that way - after further examination you can calculate MOB and RICKEY.

I'll look into it further.
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#37
Posted: 5/30/2013 1:30:54 PM
What about WHIP?
quote
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#38
Posted: 5/30/2013 3:26:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

What about WHIP?

Yeah - I could rank by WHIP rather than ERA.

It "appears" that pitchers are ranked in each TIER in Sagarin's Rankings by NPERA.  If you look at the players ERA right next to it can be way out of whack - so I have to figure out a way to rank the players that mirrors normalized ERA
quote
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#39
Posted: 5/30/2013 3:45:40 PM
Any ideas?
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#40
Posted: 5/31/2013 6:56:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

Any ideas?
Not at the moment, just woke up,lol!  I've never followed baseball like I have this year, from a bettor perspective.  Before this year, I was more of a casual fan, so while Saragin, RPI, WHIP etc. I knew, I didn't bother with. 
As far as with Excel, I'm still learning about Macros and formulas etc.  Could you copy into a sheet, and then do the sort function from lowest to highest?
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#41
Posted: 5/31/2013 7:01:31 AM
5/30: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 13-5  +6.55u
1-2  -1.93
Laa WIN  +100
Det LOSS  -123
Stl LOSS  -170
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#42
Posted: 5/31/2013 1:40:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

Not at the moment, just woke up,lol!  I've never followed baseball like I have this year, from a bettor perspective.  Before this year, I was more of a casual fan, so while Saragin, RPI, WHIP etc. I knew, I didn't bother with. 
As far as with Excel, I'm still learning about Macros and formulas etc.  Could you copy into a sheet, and then do the sort function from lowest to highest?
What I meant to say is....Is it possible to copy then sort?
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#43
Posted: 5/31/2013 5:23:56 PM
5/31: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 13-5  +6.55u
Oak (1)
Cin (1)


*Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

**In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

Units are based on Covers closing Line.

All information on the system is located on the system tab.

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#44
Posted: 6/1/2013 6:52:47 AM
I have to work, so I won't have any possible 1pm games for you, maybe even the 4pm games.

5/31: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: YTD 15-5  +8.55u
2-0 2u
Oak WIN
Cin WIN
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#45
Posted: 6/1/2013 6:57:49 AM
6/1: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: 15-5  +8.55u
Chc (1)



*Unofficial plays are any play that comes up on the spreadsheet that does not have the required 5 similar game situations (W+L) and 80% winning percentage.  Bet the unofficial plays at your own risk!

**In the parenthesis will be the number of situations to date for that play.

Units are based on Covers closing Line.

All information on the system is located on the system tab.

quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#46
Posted: 6/1/2013 6:58:45 AM
Pitchers and odds were available.  That's your game
GL
quote
RommiRommi
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RommiRommi
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#47
Posted: 6/1/2013 9:24:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

Pitchers and odds were available.  That's your game
GL
can you share MLB DB please?
quote
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#48
Posted: 6/1/2013 1:31:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

can you share MLB DB please?

https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bynr1eDtdk5Zd2thUGhibEhuRWM/edit?usp=sharing

Up to date through yesterday's games and today's play.
quote
RommiRommi
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#49
Posted: 6/1/2013 2:09:58 PM
thank you
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BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
BuckeyeKaptn
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#50
Posted: 6/2/2013 12:42:58 PM
6/1: 0-0 0units

No Official Plays

Unofficial Plays*: 15-6  +7.13u

Chc LOSS -1.42

quote
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