Official (?) RPI 2013 system

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Official (?) RPI 2013 system
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/5/2013 1:53:07 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by hansivonmueller:



That is Atl playing a B game Sunday correct?

Someone has to ask.

Yes, because of the rainout it's only a 2 game series with the B game being the final game Sunday.

Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 5/5/2013 2:15:32 AM
Anyone have the final season record for last season?
cytdemasi08 PM cytdemasi08
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Posted: 5/5/2013 9:36:26 AM
I was not confident in the Bo's chase from game one. Like I mentioned on Friday the system is all about good teams beating bad teams and this was a case were two good teams were playing each other but it was an official play. If you look back on previous b2w post he explains that he sometimes uses a higher unit value for some series and lower in others an it helps make up the difference. This was a perfect example. Last year was the mets year in the year. What would be surprising is if the braves lose to the mets today (if the line opens) and we lose a two game chase to the mets with the braves that might be the most ridiculous rpi chase loss of the season.
cytdemasi08 PM cytdemasi08
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Posted: 5/5/2013 9:38:51 AM
Also 4 win differential filter would have kept us off of the Bo's chase
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/5/2013 1:15:25 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by cytdemasi08:

Also 4 win differential filter would have kept us off of the Bo's chase

I personally played this for 1/2 of what I normally would. Not sure if I will even chase it today, I'll just take the small loss and move on.

If last year was a 4 game differencial chase, not sure why Degen has it set at 3. I'll wait for him to chime in.

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 5/5/2013 4:04:18 PM
Darn! I pulled off on the braves since i saw there was not a resked for a c game but it turned out i was wrong. I just hope bosox pulls through or I ALONE have suffered 2 loss this season.
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 5/5/2013 4:05:54 PM
Dan, you pulled off on bosox?
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 5/5/2013 4:59:09 PM
Pulled out rather
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/5/2013 5:01:39 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

Dan, you pulled off on bosox?

I ended up doing a small wager on Boston.

Atlanta -

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 5/5/2013 5:16:39 PM
Seems like bosox..... 
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/5/2013 8:29:20 PM

Sunday 5/5 results:

Atlanta wins on the B game and Boston loses on the C game.

If you bet Boston all the way through that would have been a 6 unit loss since they were a dog each game. So with 7 wins at a unit each and the Boston loss, we are still profitable (trying to find a bright side).

Record: 7-1

A: 4-4

B: 3-1

C: 0-1

Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 5/5/2013 8:40:48 PM
dan - bos was a 7 units loss. 1 unit in gm 2. 2 units in gm 2 and 4 units in gm 3. We are still up though because a couple of games were for plus $
System is starting out same as last year. I hope it ends with at least the same + unit size.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/5/2013 8:48:13 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Air1:

dan - bos was a 7 units loss. 1 unit in gm 2. 2 units in gm 2 and 4 units in gm 3. We are still up though because a couple of games were for plus $
System is starting out same as last year. I hope it ends with at least the same + unit size.

Yep, you are correct, 7 units. Still a small profit overall. Let's get after it this week. I personally started playing this on 4/29, so I'm doing a little better. Picked up an additional 4 wins.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/6/2013 12:13:24 PM

Monday 5/6:

SF A game

AZ A game - Note only a 3 game win edge for AZ and if it goes to game 3 they face Kershaw.

TB and SD have the RPI edge but both are under .500 so do not qualify.

SweetDickWormy PM SweetDickWormy
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Posted: 5/6/2013 12:56:40 PM

Dan:

Thanks for taking over the reigns with this.  Hope things go as well with this as the hockey system you ran this year.  Enjoyed following that very much.

You're an upstanding citizen and a credit to gambler's everywhere!  Let's take that money! 

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 5/6/2013 3:39:15 PM
I already lost 4.5 units thanks to BoSox and alao for not chasing the Braves and O's and Tigers since i opted out to double dip
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/6/2013 3:53:06 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

I already lost 4.5 units thanks to BoSox and alao for not chasing the Braves and O's and Tigers since i opted out to double dip

Long seaon BC. Nothing you can do about past games/series. 4.5 loss on Boston isn't too bad, you should still be in the black which I consider good with a series loss this early in the season.

Maybe we should have gone with that 4 game win difference filter instead of 3. I'm just going by the spreadhseet Degen made.

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 5/6/2013 4:35:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Long seaon BC. Nothing you can do about past games/series. 4.5 loss on Boston isn't too bad, you should still be in the black which I consider good with a series loss this early in the season.

Maybe we should have gone with that 4 game win difference filter instead of 3. I'm just going by the spreadhseet Degen made.

I'm just going by the rules B2W posted - I will see if i can find them, may have them saved somewhere and built it into the spreadsheet - you can change the filters - just enter a 4 instead of a 3 in the yellow box.

hardyvault PM hardyvault
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Posted: 5/6/2013 5:15:23 PM
Even though TB is under .500, they're 14-4 V TOR @ home over the last two seasons. They've owned the Jays of late, and are an un-official play for me. Good luck, boys
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/7/2013 1:12:49 AM

Monday 5/6 results:

Arizona wins on the A game

SF loses on the A game, B game on Tuesday

 

Record: 8-1

A: 5-5

B: 3-1 (SF pending)

C: 0-1

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 5/7/2013 8:57:15 AM
There are new series to be played right? Just forgot what teams. Im buzzed
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/7/2013 12:35:05 PM

Tuesday 5/7 plays:

SF B game

 

STL does not qualify because it's only a 2 game series.

Pitt does not qualify as there is only a 2 game win difference, plus a 2 game series. 

Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 5/7/2013 12:57:50 PM
Hey Dan, are you going to also track the rpi continuation here?
If so I believe Ari is an A game on there.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/7/2013 1:20:32 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Air1:

Hey Dan, are you going to also track the rpi continuation here?
If so I believe Ari is an A game on there.

Air, are you referring to AZ still having 2 games left with LAD and then they start with Philly and would qualify for the RPI for that series? I don't think this qualifies. I thought it was either if a team wins game 1 of a 4 game series, you start a new series in game 2 OR back to back 2 games series in which both qualify. Since this is a 3 game series I think we just take our money and wait until AZ starts their 4 game series with Philly.

AZ is a dog today and Kershaw goes tomorrow. I think we wait and play it safe. Thoughts?

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 5/8/2013 12:46:10 AM

Tuesday 5/7 results:

SF loses on the B game, C game on Wednesday.

Record: 8-1

A: 5-5

B: 3-2

C: 0-1 (SF Pending)

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