mlb underdog experiment

Forum: Systems & Strategies
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: mlb underdog experiment
coolspot PM coolspot
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coolspot
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Posted: 4/29/2013 4:42:10 PM
I only went back one year on this one but it looks promising. I'm not actually playing these just going to track them so tail if you want this is a 3 game underdog chase. I will give details if this profits. first bet 1.5 percent  second bet 3 percent  and third bet 4.5 percent.


starting bankroll 2000






coolspot PM coolspot
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coolspot
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Posted: 4/29/2013 5:05:48 PM
plays 4/29   bankroll 2000

A bet  mn 102    bet  30   payout 30.60

A  bet   pit  119    bet 30  payout  35.70
Air1 PM Air1
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Air1
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Posted: 4/30/2013 1:17:17 AM
if your third bet is 4.5 % of your bankroll and you lost 4.5% from gm 1 + gm 2 combined, then you will only make minimal profit on that gm 3 dog.
A true chase is trying to win a unit while going after what you have lost. Your gm 3 should be at least 5.5 % of bankroll.
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 4/30/2013 1:29:48 AM
good luck
coolspot PM coolspot
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coolspot
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Posted: 4/30/2013 10:38:36 AM
plays 4/30    bankroll   2000.60

B bet pit   128    bet 60   pay out  76.80
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 4/30/2013 12:43:41 PM
Minnesota lost yesterday. Unless of course you are playing the RL, which you should indicate. If so, why play the RL on Minn and not Pitt? That 119 on Pitt yesterday was the ml.
canovsp PM canovsp
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Posted: 4/30/2013 12:50:57 PM
It seems like numerous dogs have been winning this year.

Chasing dogs may be a bit risky though.

I don't know if you've done the math but just picking +150 dogs straight up may have netted a profit. Have you kept track?
coolspot PM coolspot
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coolspot
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Posted: 4/30/2013 2:55:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Minnesota lost yesterday. Unless of course you are playing the RL, which you should indicate. If so, why play the RL on Minn and not Pitt? That 119 on Pitt yesterday was the ml.

I played rl on mn cause it was a dog and is part of the system
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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Posted: 4/30/2013 2:59:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by coolspot:


I played rl on mn cause it was a dog and is part of the system

Figured as much. You might want to note either RL or ML on your picks you post. Good luck with this trial.

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