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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?
Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#576
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:52:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

Glad to have you back, sorry about my rant, I was P.O.d at the time, I was still drying out.  I should have just rolled my eyes like I usually do whenever I'm on some of them SBR forums.  No hard feelings here.

I still love that quote by Jack Nicholson!!!

No worries. I'm safely at the beach, did the update, now it's time for a cerveza or 12.

quote
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#577
Posted: 6/7/2013 12:48:27 AM

After reviewing the spreadsheet, I made an error. AZ should not have been a play. They showed up on the Under 6 hit system, but they didn't qualify (that system requires some manual input and I missed it). Sorry guys.

Thursday results:

Sagarin plays

YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays (SD does not qualify)

Dog EFF Score

1-2, -.64 units

YTD 29-30, +4.4 units

Minn 137 Loss

Phil 136 WIN

Atl 101 Loss

Dog EFF

1-3, -3.28

YTD 56-47, +38.54 units

All 2 units

Tex 120 Loss

Minn 137 Loss

Phil 136 WIN

Atl 101 Loss

System Plays

2-6, -3.37 units

YTD 164-198 +9.37 units

Tex 120 Loss

Minn 137 WIN

Phil 136 Loss

Atl 101 Loss

TB 180 Loss

Hou 144 Loss

ChiSox 120 Loss

Mets 156 RAIN

SD 126 WIN

Tex/Bos Under 9 -105 PUSH

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oilcountry99 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#578
Posted: 6/7/2013 8:24:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

tracking data: Wednesday 06/05/13 DogEFF/RRL system results

AZ [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN

HOU [-1.5] +278 RRL WIN

NY Mets [-1.5] +265 RRL WIN

SD [-1.5] +305 RRL WIN

TOR [-1.5] +212 RRL WIN

updated assessment:

DG, the Sheet consistency continues to gain momentum on the RRL (5-0 yesterday) HOU is phenominally "on fire" leading MLB in RRL WINS. take note: to date, the Sheet has brought all Astros RRL WINS (9-0) to the forefront of action, with advance notice to the capper, they are all their daily as yesterdays results indicate. well done; as the season progresses, so do the stats, which gives the Sheet "consistent momentum"  with aprx 100 games left to play (per-team) it only gets 'more' consistent on RRL play....

 

s_N

I have a question regarding this quote.  There were only 2 Dog Eff. plays listed MIN and ARI, how did you come up with the 5 listed above?

Yesterday the 3 games you stated as Dog Eff RRL plays match the Dog Eff plays posted by Dan. 

Just a little confused here as to what I'm missing.

Continued success to you as always

Oil

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sports_Network
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#579
Posted: 6/7/2013 9:16:15 AM
oil, they are the results of the DogEFF/RRL "system" plays (combined) as published. if you comprehend the Sheet, you'll understand it's association to the RRL immediately, as you are ad versed in your approach to MLB wagering...
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powerade send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#580
Posted: 6/7/2013 10:55:34 AM

dont shoot me please, but I can't shift through 24 pages right now lol

is there any past records of the systems? the dog one seems best.

also, maybe I'm just not seeing it but in the spreadsheet there is no real explanation of the systems.?

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#581
Posted: 6/7/2013 1:19:52 PM

Friday 6/7 system plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

YTD 29-30, +4.4 units

Atl 101

Dog EFF

YTD 56-47, +38.54 units

All 2 units

Cincy 107

SF 119

System Plays

YTD 164-198 +9.37 units

Cincy 107

SF 119

Clev 186

LAA 135

Cubs 108

Miami 198

SD 139

Mia/Mets Under 6.5 -110

 

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#582
Posted: 6/7/2013 1:22:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by powerade:

dont shoot me please, but I can't shift through 24 pages right now lol

is there any past records of the systems? the dog one seems best.

also, maybe I'm just not seeing it but in the spreadsheet there is no real explanation of the systems.?

This will explain the systems - http://www.betfirm.com/baseball-betting-systems-for-underdogs/

We ave added some filters to try and strengthen plays through the Dog Eff and Eff Scores. They section under System plays includes all games that qualify under the 5 systems in that link I posted. The sections above that weed out plays with filters.

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#583
Posted: 6/7/2013 3:05:50 PM
Thanks. 

So no real prior results info though? 
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#584
Posted: 6/7/2013 3:36:15 PM
Hi there,

Aren't SD and BAL DOG EFF plays for tonight?

Nice thread BTW and congrats on the excel spreadsheet. :)
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#585
Posted: 6/8/2013 2:29:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jayrhum:

Hi there,

Aren't SD and BAL DOG EFF plays for tonight?

Nice thread BTW and congrats on the excel spreadsheet. :)

Balt did not qualify for a systemj play, so they do not qualify for the Dog Eff.

SD only had above .400 on one of the 2 columns so not a play under Dogg EFF. They had .250 under Using Odds.

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#586
Posted: 6/8/2013 2:30:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by powerade:

Thanks. 

So no real prior results info though? 

I have nothing from prior years, this is the first year we have tested this.

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#587
Posted: 6/8/2013 2:41:14 AM

Friday 6/7 system plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

0-1, -1 unit

YTD 29-31, +3.4 units

Atl 101 Loss

Dog EFF

0-2, -4 units

YTD 56-49, +34.54 units

All 2 units

Cincy 107 Loss

SF 119 Loss

System Plays

0-5, -5 units

YTD 164-203 +4.37 units

Cincy 107 Loss

SF 119 Loss

Clev 186 Loss

LAA 135 Rain

Cubs 108 Loss

Miami 198 Rain

SD 139 Loss

Mia/Mets Under 6.5 -110 Rain

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#588
Posted: 6/8/2013 11:38:53 AM

Saturday 6/8 system plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

All 2 Units

SF 100

Dog EFF Score

YTD 29-31, +3.4 units

Philly 111

Pitts 108

Dog EFF

YTD 56-49, +34.54 units

All 2 units

Balt 105

Pitts 108

STL 142

Philly 111

SF 100

System Plays

YTD 164-203 +4.37 units

Balt 105

Pitts 108

STL 142

Philly 111

SF 100

LAA 136

Clev 126

Sea 118

Mia 196

SD 120

LAD 126

Pitt/Cubs Under 7 Even

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barrelrider send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#589
Posted: 6/8/2013 12:36:33 PM
Rough day yesterday... Is the LAA bet game one of the doubleheader?
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#590
Posted: 6/8/2013 1:26:02 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by barrelrider:

Rough day yesterday... Is the LAA bet game one of the doubleheader?

Sorry just saw this, yes it was game 1.

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#591
Posted: 6/9/2013 4:34:00 AM

Saturday 6/8 results

Sagarin plays

1-0, +2 units

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

SF 100 WIN

Dog EFF Score

1-1, +.08 units

YTD 30-32, +3.48 units

Philly 111 Loss

Pitts 108 WIN

Dog EFF

2-3, -1.84

YTD 58-52, +32.7 units

All 2 units

Balt 105 Loss

Pitts 108 WIN

STL 142 Loss

Philly 111 Loss

SF 100 WIN

System Plays

5-7, -.4 units

YTD 169-210 +43.97 units

Balt 105 Loss

Pitts 108 Win

STL 142 Loss

Philly 111 Loss

SF 100 Win

LAA 136 WIN

Clev 126 Loss

Sea 118 Loss

Mia 196 WIN

SD 120 WIN

LAD 126 Loss

Pitt/Cubs Under 7 Even Loss

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#592
Posted: 6/9/2013 12:14:43 PM

Sunday 6/9 plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

YTD 30-32, +3.48 units

Texas 126

NYY 136

Minn 171 (game 1; game 2 may get added later)

Phil 123

 

Dog EFF

YTD 58-52, +32.7 units

All 2 units

Balt 126

Philly 123

SD 156

Cincy 100

 

System Plays

YTD 169-210 +43.97 units

Balt 126

Philly 123

SD 156

Cincy 100

Clev 114

ChiSox 115

NYY 136

Mia 174

Cubs 111

SF 126

 

 

 

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#593
Posted: 6/9/2013 6:41:12 PM
Is Minn a play in game 2?
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#594
Posted: 6/9/2013 7:07:57 PM
Minn should be a system play in game 2, when i ran the update the odds didn't change, it still showed game 1 odds. I manually entered current odds and it changed Minn to a play.
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#595
Posted: 6/10/2013 12:48:30 AM

Sunday 6/9 results

Sagarin plays

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

2-3, -.38 units

YTD 32-35, +3.1 units

Texas 126  WIN

NYY 136 WIN

Minn 171 (game 1) Loss

Minn 110 (game 2) Loss

Phil 123 Loss

Dog EFF

1-3, -3.48 units

YTD 59-55, +29.22 units

All 2 units

Balt 126 WIN

Philly 123 Loss

SD 156 Loss

Cincy 100 Loss

System Plays

6-4, +3.88 units

YTD 175-214 +47.85 units

Balt 126 WIN

Philly 123 Loss

SD 156 Loss

Cincy 100 Loss

Clev 114 Loss

ChiSox 115 WIN

NYY 136 WIN

Mia 174 WIN

Cubs 111 WIN

SF 126 WIN

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#596
Posted: 6/10/2013 4:02:41 PM

Monday 6/10 plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

YTD 32-35, +3.1 units

Balt 115

AZ 165

Dog EFF

YTD 59-55, +29.22 units

All 2 units

Balt 115

Bos 127

 

System Plays

YTD 175-214 +47.85 units

Balt 115

Bos 127

ChiSox 112

KC 124

Hou 220

Cubs 104

AZ 165

SD 122

Cincy/Cubs Under 7.5 -110

 

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#597
Posted: 6/11/2013 3:24:49 PM

Monday 6/10 results

Sagarin plays

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

2-0, +2.8 units

YTD 34-35, +5.9 units

Balt 115 WIN

AZ 165 WIN

Dog EFF

2-0, +4.84 units

YTD 61-55, +34.06 units

All 2 units

Balt 115 WIN

Bos 127 WIN

System Plays

6-3, +4.55 units

YTD 181-217 +52.4 units

Balt 115 WIN

Bos 127WIN

ChiSox 112 WIN

KC 124 WIN

Hou 220 Loss

Cubs 104 Loss

AZ 165 WIN

SD 122 WIN

Cincy/Cubs Under 7.5 -110 Loss

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#598
Posted: 6/11/2013 4:35:33 PM

Tuesday 6/11 plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

YTD 34-35, +5.9 units

Minn 111

AZ 124

Dog EFF

YTD 61-55, +34.06 units

All 2 units

NYY 106

SF 114

AZ 124

SD 109

KC 150

System Plays

YTD 181-217 +52.4 units

NYY 106

SF 114

AZ 124

SD 109

KC 150

TB 115

Minn 111

Mets 118

Cubs 121

Wash 141

 

 

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#599
Posted: 6/12/2013 1:16:21 AM

Tuesday 6/11 results

Sagarin plays

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

1-1, +.11 units

YTD 35-36, +6.01 units

Minn 111 WIN

AZ 124 Loss

Dog EFF

1-4, -5.82 units

YTD 61-55, +28.24 units

All 2 units

NYY 106 Loss

SF 114 Loss

AZ 124 Loss

SD 109 WIN

KC 150 Loss

System Plays

3-7, -3.65 units

YTD 184-224 +48.75 units

NYY 106 Loss

SF 114 Loss

AZ 124 Loss

SD 109 WIN

KC 150 Loss

TB 115 WIN

Minn 111 WIN

Mets 118 Loss

Cubs 121 Loss

Wash 141 Loss

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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: South Point |
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#600
Posted: 6/12/2013 12:45:09 PM

Wednesday 6/12 plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 2-4, -3.8 units

All 2 Units

Cubs 107

Dog EFF Score

YTD 35-36, +6.01 units

Clev 122

Philly 109

AZ 105

Dog EFF

YTD 61-55, +28.24 units

All 2 units

KC 113

Bos 104

NYY 112

SD 117

 

System Plays

YTD 184-224 +48.75 units

KC 113

Bos 104

NYY 112

SD 117

Clev 122

Cubs 107

Det/KC Under 7.5 -110

AZ/LAD Under 6.5 -120

 

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