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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?
BuckeyeKaptn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#551
Posted: 6/5/2013 1:36:42 PM
What's Sagarin plays again?  I was working on automating a spreadsheet when it came up and missed it.
NP on RPI.  Already posted the possibles.
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#552
Posted: 6/5/2013 1:44:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

What's Sagarin plays again?  I was working on automating a spreadsheet when it came up and missed it.
NP on RPI.  Already posted the possibles.

I'm looking for A Tier Starting pitchers only and for a dog to have a rating of 11 or more better than the fave. For today, look at Pitt/Atl for an example that qualifies. I'm not counting any game that has a B or C tier pitcher.

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#553
Posted: 6/6/2013 12:55:11 AM

Wednesday 6/5 results

Note: I posted before the SD/LAD game was complete. If LAD win, I will adjust totals Thursday evening.

Sagarin plays

0-1, -2 units

YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

All 2 Units

Pitt 125 Loss

Dog EFF Score

0-1, -1 unit

YTD 28-28, +5.04 units

Minn 135 Loss

Dog EFF

1-1, +.52 units

YTD 56-47, +41.82 units

All 2 units

Minn 135 Loss

AZ 126 WIN

System Plays

6-3, +4.92 units

YTD 162-192 +12.74 units

Minn 135 Loss

AZ 126 WIN

Hou 147 WIN

Mia 183 Loss

Tor 105 WIN

Mets 130 WIN

SD 199 WIN

ChiSox/Sea Under 7 -115 Loss  (scoreless game in extras and it still goes over. Unreal)

TB/Det Under 8 -105 WIN

 

For Thursday - Buckeye will be posting the plays (RPI system too). Thanks!

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#554
Posted: 6/6/2013 7:03:00 AM
I will refresh and update when I come home at 130pm

Sagarin plays
Sd

Dog EFF Score
Min
Phi




Dog EFF
Tex
Min
Phi
Sd



System Plays

TB
Tex
Min
NyM
Cws
Phi
Sd

UND:
Tex/Bos


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RommiRommi
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#555
Posted: 6/6/2013 7:58:46 AM
SD not a Dog EFF only 20% using odds
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#556
Posted: 6/6/2013 10:22:55 AM

tracking data: Wednesday 06/05/13 DogEFF/RRL system results

AZ [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN

HOU [-1.5] +278 RRL WIN

NY Mets [-1.5] +265 RRL WIN

SD [-1.5] +305 RRL WIN

TOR [-1.5] +212 RRL WIN

updated assessment:

DG, the Sheet consistency continues to gain momentum on the RRL (5-0 yesterday) HOU is phenominally "on fire" leading MLB in RRL WINS. take note: to date, the Sheet has brought all Astros RRL WINS (9-0) to the forefront of action, with advance notice to the capper, they are all their daily as yesterdays results indicate. well done; as the season progresses, so do the stats, which gives the Sheet "consistent momentum"  with aprx 100 games left to play (per-team) it only gets 'more' consistent on RRL play....

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#557
Posted: 6/6/2013 12:04:03 PM
I missed yesterday's (6-5) numbers from the sheet. Does anyone have a copy they could share? 
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#558
Posted: 6/6/2013 12:39:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

tracking data: Wednesday 06/05/13 DogEFF/RRL system results

AZ [-1.5] +235 RRL WIN

HOU [-1.5] +278 RRL WIN

NY Mets [-1.5] +265 RRL WIN

SD [-1.5] +305 RRL WIN

TOR [-1.5] +212 RRL WIN

updated assessment:

DG, the Sheet consistency continues to gain momentum on the RRL (5-0 yesterday) HOU is phenominally "on fire" leading MLB in RRL WINS. take note: to date, the Sheet has brought all Astros RRL WINS (9-0) to the forefront of action, with advance notice to the capper, they are all their daily as yesterdays results indicate. well done; as the season progresses, so do the stats, which gives the Sheet "consistent momentum"  with aprx 100 games left to play (per-team) it only gets 'more' consistent on RRL play....

What are the RRL plays today?  Or how do I figure it out on the sheet?
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#559
Posted: 6/6/2013 1:30:41 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LaChupacabraj:

What are the RRL plays today?  Or how do I figure it out on the sheet?

DogEFF/RRL  Thursday (06/06/13) Sheet handicaps

TEX [-1.5] +195 RRL

MIN [-1.5] +205 RRL

PHI [-1.5] +208 RRL

DG, the creator of the Sheet, gives all the details at the beginning of the thread, on it's use, and, "how to figure it out"

 

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#560
Posted: 6/6/2013 1:45:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RommiRommi:

SD not a Dog EFF only 20% using odds
You're right. I must have glanced at Phillies numbers while I was typing. 
Update coming
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#561
Posted: 6/6/2013 2:03:39 PM
Final Update:  Changes are add Hou and remove Sd from Dog Eff


Sagarin plays
Sd

Dog EFF Score
Min
Phi




Dog EFF
Tex
Min
Phi




System Plays

TB
Tex
Min
NyM
Cws
Phi
Sd
Hou

UND:
Tex/Bos

quote
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#562
Posted: 6/6/2013 2:05:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoodlesWeaver:

I missed yesterday's (6-5) numbers from the sheet. Does anyone have a copy they could share? 
What numbers?  Dog Eff and Dog Eff Score?  I think I have them but ya gotta wait until about 430
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#563
Posted: 6/6/2013 3:03:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn:

Final Update:  Changes are add Hou and remove Sd from Dog Eff


Sagarin plays
Sd

Dog EFF Score
Min
Phi




Dog EFF
Tex
Min
Phi




System Plays

TB
Tex
Min
NyM
Cws
Phi
Sd
Hou

UND:
Tex/Bos

no ML connected to the plays? TEX/BOS UNDER what?

Buckeye, I understand your doing Danrules, and the thread itself a sound service by stepping up and posting while he's on vacation, however, those that are seriously tracking, must look up all the MoneyLines, and UNDER denominations? this is your responsibility, that you accepted, I also recommend you re-evaluate the Final Update, it's not in true form, it's lazy; if you know what I mean...please confer with DG by PM for further details, and any assistance you may need in your effort, if you bit off more than you can handle, and you have time restraints, that is understandable, if this is the best you can do, it simply cannot be accepted, or even tolerated until DR return. appreciate your contribution, and effort

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RommiRommi
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#564
Posted: 6/6/2013 3:39:00 PM
ATL now DOG EFF
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#565
Posted: 6/6/2013 3:41:18 PM
and Dog EFF Score
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#566
Posted: 6/6/2013 4:02:49 PM

Rommi, yes, <ATL +105 ML> qualifies for both DogEFF/Score

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#567
Posted: 6/6/2013 4:06:55 PM
BOS | TEX  UNDER-9  -105
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#568
Posted: 6/6/2013 4:44:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by sports_Network:

no ML connected to the plays? TEX/BOS UNDER what?

Buckeye, I understand your doing Danrules, and the thread itself a sound service by stepping up and posting while he's on vacation, however, those that are seriously tracking, must look up all the MoneyLines, and UNDER denominations? this is your responsibility, that you accepted, I also recommend you re-evaluate the Final Update, it's not in true form, it's lazy; if you know what I mean...please confer with DG by PM for further details, and any assistance you may need in your effort, if you bit off more than you can handle, and you have time restraints, that is understandable, if this is the best you can do, it simply cannot be accepted, or even tolerated until DR return. appreciate your contribution, and effort

I had 20 mins early this morning, and did the afternoon post while eating my lunch, to which I had to go back to work.  It's not lazy, it was the plays as requested within MY timeframe.  Does the MLs and Und line really matter?  No, as people are going to play what they are able to get.***(below)  People won't avoid (or shouldn't avoid) a play because Dan early this morning got Team A at +120, and now it's down to +110.  I posted them early as people as used to having them early. I didn't have time to go through one of my 2 wagering sites to get lines that will most likely be different as the day goes by.  As it is Rommi found a mistake I made.  NO ONE else volunteered, so please don't criticize the work.  I admire your work but not all of us are professional sports guys.  
As far as it's not in proper form, I copied and pasted his last post, removed the plays and then added today's.  And then went to work,  I came home for lunch, updated the sheet, posted the additional play and the correction....and went back to work.  I'm a mailman...it rained all d m day and I'm already irritated...I didn't need this.  It would have been easier if you would just reposted it with your lines.

Fine, I've vented.  I resign, I didn't do the correct job, got no time to do it.

***The lines really only matter for tracking.  I'm sure Dan already has his lines or will have them when he gets home.  For my tracking, I use Covers final lines, as it's a consistent time period...the start of the game.  Dan doesn't do it, he uses his casino when he gets there, and that's fine.  The closet casino I have is in Cleveland, 25 miles away, and it doesn't take bets.

Anyone know this?  Movie Quote: 

We use words like honor, code, loyalty...we use these words as the backbone to a life spent defending something. You use 'em as a punchline. I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man who rises and sleeps under the blanket of the very freedom I provide, then questions the manner in which I provide it! I'd rather you just said thank you and went on your way. Otherwise, I suggest you pick up a weapon and stand a post. Either way, I don't give a damn what you think you're entitled to!

Now I'm done!! (dumb jock quote...idk who)

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#569
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:03:40 PM
Your doing fine buddy.Don't let the little garbage bother you.GL
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#570
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:11:57 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by Danrules24] Buckeye - Would it be possible for you to post the plays on Thursday?
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#571
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:14:19 PM
[Quote: Originally Posted by BuckeyeKaptn]
Sure, no problem.  Since there's 2 afternoon games and I have to work, I'll run it at 630 am, and then again when I get home after at 4pm....EST
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#572
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:31:19 PM
I have neither the time nor the inclination to explain myself to a man .... then questions the manner in which I provide it! I'd rather you just said thank you and went on your way.

Sorry, one of my all time favorite quotes.

And you're right, SN, I did what Dan asked, I posted the plays....not the YTD, unit stats or the money lines...but the plays...as asked.  I did do it at lunch instead of after work as I had to fix a spreadsheet.  But thank you for pointing out that your complaint to me was unwarranted.

My last word on it
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#573
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:38:23 PM
Hey guys, I just got to my destination after an 8 hour drive. Buckeye, thanks for posting the plays (appreciate the backup), people knew who the system plays where. I will reformat in a few with additional data.
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#574
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:48:15 PM
Glad to have you back, sorry about my rant, I was P.O.d at the time, I was still drying out.  I should have just rolled my eyes like I usually do whenever I'm on some of them SBR forums.  No hard feelings here.

I still love that quote by Jack Nicholson!!!
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#575
Posted: 6/6/2013 5:50:53 PM

Thursday 6/6 plays (reformatted)

Sagarin plays

YTD 1-4, -5.8 units

All 2 Units

No plays (SD does not qualify)

Dog EFF Score

YTD 28-28, +5.04 units

Minn 137

Phil 136

Atl 101

Dog EFF

YTD 56-47, +41.82 units

All 2 units

Tex 120

Minn 137

Phil 136

Atl 101

System Plays

YTD 162-192 +12.74 units

Tex 120

Minn 137

Phil 136

Atl 101

TB 180

Hou 144

ChiSox 120

Mets 156

AZ 165

SD 126

Tex/Bos Under 9 -105

Looks like a couple of games switched from Buckeye's update. Atl, now a dog. I'm considering this post as official plays.

 

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