NBA System Plays

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA System Plays
Air1 PM Air1
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Air1
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Posted: 11/8/2012 2:47:15 AM
Continuing from last season in this thread I will post NBA streakers. Had +29 units by the end of the season.
I will also include some other plays from systems that i have researched. 1Q ML plays and some Overs/Unders.

Current Streakers
Knicks W3
Bos L4
akell09 PM akell09
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Posted: 11/8/2012 9:57:14 AM
Glad to see you back.  I want to see how these systems do over a full regular season. 
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/8/2012 11:56:14 AM
Any chance you can explain the system?

Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/8/2012 1:09:07 PM
@Jaime Systems can be found in this thread
There are like 6/7 of them. I may have done some minor adjustments, but find the other thread and they are in the first post.

Over/Under is still being researched, will post if I have something there.

1Q plays I am currently talking with another member about and will post here if we find any plays.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/8/2012 1:10:03 PM
In this section of the forums*
not this thread, but on i made the previous season
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/8/2012 2:39:10 PM
First Over under System -
Dating back to start of 05-06 Season. At the beginning of the season only. Go the opp way of the first Over/Under result. Do so chasing for 4 games.

losers:
jazz 5 games
okc 5 games
phil 5 games
mil 5 games
gsw 5 games
gsw 07-7
lal 11 - 6 games
Kings  5 games
Mavericks CURRENT 5 games

in a 4 game chase you lose A game 1.1 units, B game 2.31 units, C game 4.85 units, D game 10.2 units.
Total is 18.4 units
so result of system: 30* 8 = 240 - 9= 231 -(18.4*9)= +65.4 units
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/10/2012 12:36:26 AM
Mavericks Under hit. I chased the first 2 games and forgot to chase tonight. Wow, I screwed myself again.

I did not say in the thread to take them, so I will not count it to the record in this thread.
I hope some people jumped on it though
akell09 PM akell09
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Posted: 11/10/2012 10:13:51 AM
When I made my plays yesterday morning, the Dallas total was 197.  I thought about it, but laid off.  I was surprised to see the total closed at 198.5, but I would have lost if I played it.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/10/2012 2:15:24 PM
Glad you laid off akell.
Nice to see you are still around

ALL my plays are using Covers closing lines! ANyone who follows, please keep that in mind.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/11/2012 10:38:28 AM
Current Streakers
NY 4
Min 4
Den 5
Chi 4

Experimental Plays:
(won't count to total record)
1Q ML or ATS chase today with
LAC as A game, OKC as B game and LAL as C game

Also
Start a separate chase on LAC game 1 of 3 on 1Q ML
Start a separate chase on OKC game 1 of 3 1Q ML..
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/14/2012 5:46:53 PM
Still early guys, yet to have any streakers, but with 5 teams up there will definitely be one soon!!!
Current Streakers
NY 5
Min 5
Mem 5
Den 5
Chi 5 (L)

Experimental Plays:
(won't count to total record)
ML +2 Units,
ATS +2 Units
Pending (B game) on LAC. -185 A game.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/16/2012 2:59:44 AM
Current Streakers
NY 6 W's
waiting on a loss!
Mem 6 W's waiting on a loss!


System Records: Ordered from best to worst, added a few.
System #1: 88-1 + 79.74 Units
System #2: 75-11 +37.5 Units
System #3: 35-1 +26.74 Units
System #4: 32-1 +23.74 Units
System #5: 77-44 +21 Units
System #6: 24-1 +15.74 Units
System #7: 123-9 +58.74 Units
System #8: trying to find again
System #9: just a mess of other potential systems combined.

System 1-7 +263.2 units through 6 seasons
averaging 43.87 Units a season.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/17/2012 12:39:34 AM
Current Streakers
Sac 7 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 6 W's waiting on a loss!

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

Finally got some
1 Unit on Ind to win on 11/18.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/17/2012 10:47:26 AM
Found missing system #8: 44-5 +25.85 Units
Brings the season Average up to 48.1 units per each of the last 6 seasons.

Also 1Q plays
+ 2 units on ML if playing ats +2 units.
Game 2 on LAC to win lost -185 plus 1 unit.
Game 1 on SA
Game 1 on Bos.

And a 1Q ML chase on Bos to SA to the LAC
stickbit PM stickbit
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Posted: 11/17/2012 4:52:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:

Current Streakers
NY 6 W's
waiting on a loss!
Mem 6 W's waiting on a loss!


System Records: Ordered from best to worst, added a few.
System #1: 88-1 + 79.74 Units
System #2: 75-11 +37.5 Units
System #3: 35-1 +26.74 Units
System #4: 32-1 +23.74 Units
System #5: 77-44 +21 Units
System #6: 24-1 +15.74 Units
System #7: 123-9 +58.74 Units
System #8: trying to find again
System #9: just a mess of other potential systems combined.

System 1-7 +263.2 units through 6 seasons
averaging 43.87 Units a season.

GL this season Air. Can you help explain these records? For ex System #2 is 75-11 for +37.5 units? How so? I know I am missing something obvious here but help me out if you can. thanks!
SuperHappyTime PM SuperHappyTime
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Posted: 11/17/2012 7:49:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit:


GL this season Air. Can you help explain these records? For ex System #2 is 75-11 for +37.5 units? How so? I know I am missing something obvious here but help me out if you can. thanks!

Each System involves a series of plays

Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/18/2012 12:36:03 AM
Welcome back stickbit.
Nice to have you abroad SuperHappyTime (wanted to use the acronym SHT, but people might misread it.)

Nice day today. won all 4 1Q ML plays.
THIS IS AN EXPERIMENT! I do not play them myself. A ML chase has devastating effects on a bankroll and your wallet - be wary!


@SB - Each system varies. They are either a 1 game play or a 2/3 game chase.
So 77-44 +21 units is a 1 game play. (minus 1.1 units a loss)
88-1 + 79.74 Units is a 3 game chase. (minus 8.26 units a loss)
75-11 +37.5 Units is a 2 game chase (Answer to your Q: minus 3.46 units a loss and 75 wins would be - 75- (11*3.41=37.51) ==> 75-37.51= +37.49 units.

Any other questions I'll try to answer as best I can.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/18/2012 12:40:07 AM
HOW THE HELL WAS DAL A DOG VS. CLE??????

I just saw they lost 6 in a row ats so dallas will be a play starting the 19th.

Current Streakers
Sac 7 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 8 W's waiting on a loss!
LAC 5 W's in a row

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

1 Unit on Ind to win on 11/18.
Dal
gbpackman PM gbpackman
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Posted: 11/18/2012 1:37:20 AM

Hey Air1!

Why is IND a play?

gbpackman PM gbpackman
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Posted: 11/18/2012 12:37:43 PM
garbage! Never mind! It was late and I didn't look at the rules! Now IND will win SU! Lost my avitar again!
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/18/2012 9:32:01 PM
Here is where things get a little weird we are currently on the B game of the chase fading the NYK. However! at the same time another system is to play them!
so on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK.

@ Packman- Avatars on covers keep going off and on.
Plays are ats NOT SU

Current Streakers
Sac 8 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 8 W's waiting on a loss!
LAC 5 W's in a row

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK
Dal TBD
1/2 a unit on SAC to win ats - 4 game chase.

SuperHappyTime PM SuperHappyTime
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Posted: 11/19/2012 12:52:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Air1:

Welcome back stickbit.
Nice to have you abroad SuperHappyTime (wanted to use the acronym SHT, but people might misread it.)

Feel free to use the acronym anytime I make a bad post (like above) or a bad pick.  I'm not use to a site that doesn't allow post edits in the forums, although I completely understand why it's done here.

[Quote: Originally Posted by Air1] Here is where things get a little weird we are currently on the B game of the chase fading the NYK. However! at the same time another system is to play them!
so on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK.

Yea, this seems a little weird, but couldn't there be a system here? Systems 1 and 2 will conflict for winning streak teams on Game B if there's a win for Game A. So what about a chase starting with Game C hoping for the opposite result of Game B?

I don't have access to a database (or know how to use one), but I'm pretty certain might be a bad system. On the System 1 continuation it probably has a 50-50 or so chance of winning if it makes it to Game C, and there's little connection to hitting on Games D & E (Otherwise, System 1 would be worth going to more than 3 games). System 2 on the other hand points to good fortune, since it's nearly undefeated, but again, it could strike well on the first game more often than the last.

I am pretty much theorycrafting that we should double down on System 2 if Game B is a NOLA ATS win, but I have no data to back it up

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 11/19/2012 7:05:15 PM
Air - so systems 1-6 are your 6=6 systems but what about systems 7 and 8?
Posted using a mobile device.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/20/2012 2:32:16 AM
@Degen check your mailbox

@SHT - I thought of maybe doubling down on system #1 if the a game was lost, but then if system 1 loses you lost BIG. its a 4 game chase - game 1 -1.1 units. then you switch to win 2 units and chasing 3 games the other way SO game 2 is - 3.41 units game 3 is 7.16 units game 4 is 12.87 units for a total of 24.54 units.
If one system hits and the other misses you lost 8.26 units, but still win 1 unit for a net loss of 7.26 units.

I have been thinking of playing these systems for different amounts. To win from.5 units to 2/3 units.

I have either work or college 7 days a week and that leaves me with a minimal amount of time to spend on researching. Still looking more into streakers and will look into what you said about these contradicting systems SHT.
Also I am about half done with the overs/unders streakers and will look into what happens to the team that snaps a streak as well as others.
Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/20/2012 2:40:32 AM
Current Streakers
Sac 8 L's
with a PUSH, waiting on a win!
Mem 8 W's waiting on a loss!
LAC 6 W's waiting on a loss!

PLAYS!!!!!!!!!!

on 11/20 I am playing to win 2.1 units on NO and 1 unit on NYK
Dal TBD
1/2 a unit chase on SAC to win ats starts vs LAL - 4 game chase. I don't like it when a team Pushes during a streak!
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