NBA Homestand system

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA Homestand system
Kalmerandy1582 PM Kalmerandy1582
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Posted: 11/2/2012 9:16:55 PM
#7
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:14:36 PM
I developed a system that went undefeated last year. It's a chase system....anytime a teams plays 3 or more games in a row at home, you bet that during that home stand, they will cover at least one of the halves...


2-0 spurs yesterday and thunder tonight 

Kalmerandy1582 PM Kalmerandy1582
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Posted: 11/3/2012 12:21:35 AM
YTD 2-0

Saturday 
A bet Miami 1st half
A bet bulls 1st half
A bet Dallas 1st half
A bet Clippers 1st half


If any of these teams fail to cover 1st half, proceed to bet B for second half
jv040 PM jv040
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Posted: 11/3/2012 11:10:50 AM
how many bets went past D bet last year?

;;

there's a road system  for halves bet against the road team that work pretty well.


jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/3/2012 5:07:02 PM
Whats the road system? 

Sounds interesting if it works. I know you say undefeated but what was the record break down? If the majority are within c games this may be nice. Im going to check.

Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 11/3/2012 6:00:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Kalmerandy1582:

#7
Posted: 11/2/2012 9:14:36 PM
I developed a system that went undefeated last year. It's a chase system....anytime a teams plays 3 or more games in a row at home, you bet that during that home stand, they will cover at least one of the halves...


2-0 spurs yesterday and thunder tonight 

Do you only play teams that are considered good? I wouldn't feel comfortable chasing bobcats or another crappy team.
jv040 PM jv040
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Posted: 11/3/2012 6:01:03 PM
take rd teams of 2 games or more.  bet the 1st and 2nd half of the of the first game on the home side if those don't come in then bet the 1st half against the 2nd game on rd on home side.  this is one way to play and there will be a few C bet losses.

2nd way to play is to wait till first half loses then take second half of the road game and make that the A bet. bet on the home team to win if that loses then bet B bet 2nd game 1st half on home side if that loses then C bet would be the 2nd half of of the 2nd game on home team.

third way to play is to wait till first and second half lose on at home then bet the first half of the second game. bet A and bet the second half of home team second game. there's around 50 plays this way.

theres very few home teams that don't cover. all 4 halfs this way
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/3/2012 7:41:02 PM
I was just checking a few teams from last year and even teams like detroit won in this homestand system. Ill be done with full season by tonight, but I like the results so far.
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jv040 PM jv040
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Posted: 11/3/2012 8:09:23 PM
I picked the road system a few years ago. haven't played it much but I do know the first 2 home games win about 85% of the time. I will post and keep track of it in another thread.
jv040 PM jv040
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Posted: 11/3/2012 8:10:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309:

I was just checking a few teams from last year and even teams like detroit won in this homestand system. Ill be done with full season by tonight, but I like the results so far.


witch one are you checking on his or mine.
jv040 PM jv040
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Posted: 11/3/2012 10:13:51 PM
for your system your talking a six game chase. I would never chase 6 games.
Kalmerandy1582 PM Kalmerandy1582
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Posted: 11/4/2012 3:22:14 AM
3-0 YTD

C bet Miami 
C bet Lac
C bet bulls

I play ALL teams... Good and bad
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/4/2012 1:07:33 PM
6 games is too much in my opinion as well. So far last night from last years results. Havent finished yet, saturday and sunday with the family. This is what I have so far after checking the below teams:

boston
nets
knicks
philly 
toronto
chicago
cleveland 
detroit
pacers milwaukee

game a:  24-14 63%
game b: 8-5 62 %
game c: 3-2 60%
game d: 2-0 100 %

So far no games after d which is good because it would only be  a four game chase.

stickbit PM stickbit
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Posted: 11/4/2012 1:19:24 PM
or you can start on the 'c' bet and do a 3 gm chase?  less games and profits but safer?
Kalmerandy1582 PM Kalmerandy1582
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Posted: 11/4/2012 5:03:22 PM
I have done the road system and it was profitable, and from that system I developed this Homestand system....I do 6 game chase (3 full games)
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/4/2012 5:21:36 PM
If you start at the c game, you miss a lot of the first two game winners. Im starting to see that maybe only playing top teams. Charlotte last year had a game that went to game D. Im not sure I would be willing to lay that much on a team like the cats.
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jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/5/2012 2:08:32 AM
allright guys, im not taking over this thread but i was intrigued by this system and this is what i came up with from last years season....

game a: 66-57 54%
game b: 30-27 53%
game c: 20-10 67%
game d: 6-4 60%

Chasing after a D game loss is not a profitable way IMO. If you were only laying $10 a unit you would have profited $ 527 counting juice. Pretty good. I'm going to give it a go as well.
jv040 PM jv040
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Posted: 11/5/2012 7:41:08 AM
I'm playing against rd teams this year playing  all 4 halfs till a win but playing a one line labby. it's working out ok.
Kalmerandy1582 PM Kalmerandy1582
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Posted: 11/5/2012 10:34:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jaime2309:

allright guys, im not taking over this thread but i was intrigued by this system and this is what i came up with from last years season....

game a: 66-57 54%
game b: 30-27 53%
game c: 20-10 67%
game d: 6-4 60%

Chasing after a D game loss is not a profitable way IMO. If you were only laying $10 a unit you would have profited $ 527 counting juice. Pretty good. I'm going to give it a go as well.


That is why I posted my system... To get feedback. So you are suggesting doing a 4 game chase as opposed to my 6 game chase and we will still generate a nice return correct?
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/5/2012 11:44:01 AM

I'm sticking with a 4 game chase. I think post-all star break we should minimize the teams and be a bit more selective to avoid the c & d games.

 

This is what I'm playing today:

 

Miami (This is a c game from the first posts, but since I did not bet this first two games, this will be "A" game for me.)

Sacramento : (A )

Clippers : (This is a C game as well, but "a" game for me for the same reason).

 

jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/5/2012 11:59:15 AM
*Miami -7, If this line moves, it wont go down, so I'm taking it now at 7.
*Sacramento -1.
*Clippers -6.

All "A" games for me.

2012 YTD

A game: 0-0
B game: 0-0
C game: 0-0
D game: 0-0
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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Posted: 11/5/2012 12:26:23 PM
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/5/2012 4:57:47 PM

I started looking back at another season and so far not so good. The A and B games were under 50%, but the C & D games were over 60%. The plays i took tonight are in, so thats that. I think I may keep track of just the C & D games. It's like the post above said there may be less money made but less risk involved as well. I dont know about you guys but I rather risk my roll on a system that is 60% and up then something in the 50% range.

Tonight Miami and Clippers would fall into that C range category anyway, so I will chase if they lose the first half. As for the Kings, I will have to see how it goes. More research is needed with this sytem.

Also, two years ago a team like the Celtics who were a top ten team two years ago, were horrible in the first A&B game sets. They would rebound in C & D well. Like I said before, more research before I fully jump into this. Good luck everyone.

Air1 PM Air1
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Posted: 11/5/2012 5:08:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:


System sounds similar to another one, don't you agree?
jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/5/2012 7:39:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Air1:


System sounds similar to another one, don't you agree?

 

Which one?

jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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Posted: 11/5/2012 8:53:31 PM
Miami winner
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