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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA 1st Q
cisco
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#1
Posted: 10/30/2012 4:08:39 PM

This is a first quarter Home Favorite system. Moneyline and ATS. Three game chase.This is not my system. There are no rules.

Probably been done a thousand times. The moneylines are expensive but twice as profitable.

2011-2012 moneyline went 205-1 +187.06 units

2011-2012 ats went 161-8 +92.34 units

link to spreadsheet:

http://tinyurl.com/9hvewfv

 

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cisco
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#2
Posted: 10/30/2012 4:15:52 PM
I'll grade the plays using Pinnacle closing lines. If you see Miami -156 on my sheet and the closing line is -161, I'll change the sheet to -161 and grade at -161. We all get different lines during the day.
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#3
Posted: 10/30/2012 4:16:39 PM
Congrats on another successful baseball season

Good to see you back for NBA.

Curious if you will be running any other NBA systems this year?
Dog chase, etc...I know they were difficult last year (and not profitable if I recall).

Good luck this season

JP
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cisco
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#4
Posted: 10/30/2012 4:37:25 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by jahpoker:

Congrats on another successful baseball season

Good to see you back for NBA.

Curious if you will be running any other NBA systems this year?
Dog chase, etc...I know they were difficult last year (and not profitable if I recall).

Good luck this season

JP

No other systems. I tracked Road Favs 1st Q last year but it's just too much for me to keep up with.

RF ML 3 gm chase. 16-0 +16.0 units

ATS 3 gm chase went 13-1 +5.26 units.

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#5
Posted: 10/30/2012 5:07:26 PM
Thanks.

I am going to go back and check, but I think there were a few profitable 4-run chases last year (i stopped tracking end of March).

off the top of my head, I think HFW was ~10-0



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#6
Posted: 10/30/2012 5:09:05 PM
i've lost so much $ playing 1st quarters I vowed to never play them again.

best of luck
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#7
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:04:15 PM
No cleveland tonight?
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cisco
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#8
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:25:11 PM
I'm only tracking around 15 teams. Cleveland is not one of them.
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cisco
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#9
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:30:50 PM

Cleveland went 3-5 last year as ML HF and would have been a system loss.

1/1

1/3

1/27

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cisco
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#10
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:33:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cisco:

Cleveland went 3-5 last year as ML HF and would have been a system loss.

1/1

1/3

1/27

Scratch that. Sorry

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#11
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:41:37 PM
Thanks
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#12
Posted: 10/30/2012 6:43:32 PM
Good luck pal!
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#13
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:04:53 PM

what is the pick

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#14
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:28:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cisco:

No other systems. I tracked Road Favs 1st Q last year but it's just too much for me to keep up with.

RF ML 3 gm chase. 16-0 +16.0 units

ATS 3 gm chase went 13-1 +5.26 units.


Hey Cisco! Looking at last year's RF sheet look like you had a ML total of +68.58 units and ATS +58.24 units? 

Thanks again for posting this...I'm following along for now and trying to figure out the best and safest way to play. Good Luck Everyone.
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#15
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:39:30 PM
So just bet the ML and Spread for 1st for all the Teams listed. When chase ends start a new chase. Sounds good to me. Will you post what spread and ML you got prior to the games or after they begin?
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cisco
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#16
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:49:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit:


Hey Cisco! Looking at last year's RF sheet look like you had a ML total of +68.58 units and ATS +58.24 units? 

Thanks again for posting this...I'm following along for now and trying to figure out the best and safest way to play. Good Luck Everyone.

Maybe you're right. I don't know.

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cisco
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#17
Posted: 10/30/2012 7:52:04 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by fija1001:

So just bet the ML and Spread for 1st for all the Teams listed. When chase ends start a new chase. Sounds good to me. Will you post what spread and ML you got prior to the games or after they begin?

I play ML.

I list the ATS plays for the people that don't want to play the big ML's. Even a 4-game chase would be ok here.

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#18
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:03:36 PM
Ya out of my 2 books they only offer ATS. Will have to only follow that list. Wish they had ML's as well.
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#19
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:26:57 PM
FIJA - you in USA? 5d is a good option for 1Q nba lines
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#20
Posted: 10/30/2012 8:56:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cisco:

I play ML.

I list the ATS plays for the people that don't want to play the big ML's. Even a 4-game chase would be ok here.


Thank you for mentioning this as I was under the impression from last seasons posts and your emails that you played ATS only. Good to know.
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#21
Posted: 10/30/2012 9:38:15 PM
Hi cisco. can you explain the system or show me where to find it. I would like to follow this system.
Thank you so much.

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#22
Posted: 10/30/2012 9:50:06 PM
Good to see you on this system this year.  Lets make some $$$$ this year
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cisco
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#23
Posted: 10/30/2012 9:58:29 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Hoan115:

Hi cisco. can you explain the system or show me where to find it. I would like to follow this system.
Thank you so much.

link to spreadsheet:

http://tinyurl.com/9hvewfv

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#24
Posted: 10/30/2012 10:45:58 PM
thank you cisco. those are the games we have to chase?
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#25
Posted: 10/30/2012 10:49:32 PM
Cisco, How do you arrive at these 15 teams? Thanks.
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