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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Porky's 2nd Half System - Help, Please!
NegLineMovement send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: MGM Grand |
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#1
Posted: 10/20/2012 1:53:51 PM
Can someone explain in detail what Porky's 2nd half system is, or where I can find this spreadsheet for download?  

My hopes are that I can identify something else that is common to his picks that will increase the ATS winning %.

Thanks for your help!
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grkstylz
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#2
Posted: 10/21/2012 12:20:23 AM
QUOTEFind his posted explanation here (post # 32): http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101414922&page=2

Here's the explanation from his thread:
Originally Posted by NJPorky:

Ok guys here I go with my 1 time explantion of th system. First off I have been betting sports for the last 20 years and I stubbled onto this system in the NFL about 8 years ago and have been using it ever since. I don't have the exact nuimbers but every year it hits around 70-75%. Also as far as posting the picks I get onto covers and do it when ever I can but usually it is only for the 1pm games on Sundays as I work evenings and thus are rarely around for the Monday night or 4pm or Sunday night games to post. But usually I start the thread every sunday and usually everyone starts to follow and after a week or so, someone will start posting the plays and no plays for the games I'm not around for....

The system is this....Let's take the Atlanats @ Kansas City game. When you woke up this morning and looked at the lines you have seen the Falcons were favored by 2 and the total on the game was  43. And let's say you decided you know what I love over the 43 in that game and you bet $500 over 43 risking $550. Now you sit down and start watching the game and your loving life at halftime as the score is 20-17 Falcons. You only need 6.5 more points in the 2H to win $500 and you look and you see the 2H line on the game has a total of 23. You say to yourself, wow if they go scoreless in the 2H I'll be sick, what if I bet $500 under 23 2H??? Then I'll be risking $50 to win $1000 if the game lands anywhere between 43 and 60!!! And if it lands on 43 or 60 exactly I win $500!!! Wow what a great deal low risk high reward...10x my money!!! WRONG!!! Whenever there is a 10 point or greater middle between the opening line and the halftime line it usually dosen't fall in that middle allowing you to win both sides of the bet. The majority of the time this game is either going over the 60 or staying under the 43. So now knowing this, what is more likely?? is it more likely they score more than 23 points in the 2h or less than 6??? I would say since they scored 37 in the 1H, I like the more than 23 better, thus I take the over 23 2H.... Now I won't lie to you sometimes the system is correct and it won't land in that middle, but I lose because they go and score 3 points total in the 2nd half. It didn't land in the middle just like I thought, I just bet the wrong side.

Every year I start this thread and the non-believers say it can't be that easy, it's just coincidence, and they follow and by week #3 it's one of the most popular and most followed threads on covers.com. All I know is it works and is profitable each and every week, but you can't pick and choose what games you want to bet and you can't change the amount you bet...just select an amount and bet each and every game and you will profit at the end of the year. It's not going to make you rich. it's not going to win every week. But at the end of the season it will be hitting between 70% and 75%. Thus you will show profit and build your bankroll. I personally use the system and bet 2.5 units each and every game.   

I will be back next Sunday to post the week #2 thread and the 1pm games and maybe someone will post the Monday night game tomorrow night here for me. And usually someone becomes a loyal follower and I have them post my 4pm and sunday nights plays in my thread for me. We'll see what the 2012 season brings us....anyway good luck to everyone and make that loot



In regards to the spreadsheet, I believe a few may exist.  In the thread from the above link, there's one available in post # 140.  Other more updated ones may exist but you'd have to locate them.  If you discover any modifications which may give a greater winning percentage, please post them here.
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#3
Posted: 10/21/2012 1:20:06 AM
A greater winning percentage and less plays. There is no way that betting almost 85% of the games is profitable.
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nghia1973
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#4
Posted: 10/23/2012 6:27:24 AM
Is he still posting the play?
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skew8 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 10/23/2012 5:27:25 PM
PM your email address and I'll add you to the NCAAF/NFL spreadsheet,   we document 10+ middle point plays and 13+ plays
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nghia1973
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#6
Posted: 10/23/2012 8:58:26 PM
We need to be friend for me to message you my email.  Just sent you a friend request.  Please add
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#7
Posted: 10/23/2012 9:36:58 PM
Request accepted,  the NCAAF play right now is Ark State +4.5
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nghia1973
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#8
Posted: 10/25/2012 10:11:19 PM
So it's TB 2nd half?
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TVWIN
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#9
Posted: 6/4/2014 1:37:42 PM
ok add me
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