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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2012 NCAAF CAPPER EXTRAORDINAIRE
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 9/5/2012 10:45:41 PM
So one question Irage - if the lines are available for the games above - why don't you lock them in? Do you feel all the game lines will move in your favor?
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akuwudikeeze send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Caesars Palace |
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#77
Posted: 9/6/2012 5:03:31 AM
Irage Cincinnati is -4 on my bookmaker not +4.5?
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#78
Posted: 9/6/2012 10:17:25 AM
Is this now a completely different system from last year? Keep up the good work.
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#79
Posted: 9/6/2012 12:20:00 PM
who u like tonight
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akuwudikeeze send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Caesars Palace |
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#80
Posted: 9/6/2012 12:34:32 PM
Irage in your plays you put in

THURSDAY

Cincinnati +4.5

while on TheGreek and pinnacle sports book Cincinnati is - 4.5. Did you make a mistake or what? Please clarify
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buntyketti send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#81
Posted: 9/6/2012 12:42:01 PM
irage can you clarify if the bolded picks are the only picks officially locked in to be okayed so far, 

too many questions , its getting popular time 
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#82
Posted: 9/6/2012 4:21:28 PM
 My guy has Cinn-6
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Gator11
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#83
Posted: 9/6/2012 5:09:12 PM
BOL irage! 
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irage
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#84
Posted: 9/6/2012 5:51:58 PM
Cinncy should win outright tonight. Take it down to -1.
If Cincy is favored I would still take them but only by 2 or 3.
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DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#85
Posted: 9/6/2012 6:56:49 PM
You got a great line IRage - mine has it at -4.5 and hasn't moved - guess ill have to lay off this one
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irage
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#86
Posted: 9/6/2012 10:13:25 PM

Degen:

The lines are important because the prediction generator gives me a margin of win, I have to watch the lines. In most cases it doesn't matter, but in this game Cincy was the DOG, so I jumped on it.

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irage
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#87
Posted: 9/6/2012 10:31:01 PM

akuwudikeeze:

I got lucky and got Cincy at +2, but I got in before the lines started adjusting.

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irage
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#88
Posted: 9/6/2012 10:32:04 PM

buntyketti:

The bolded picks are my personal favorite.

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DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#89
Posted: 9/6/2012 10:46:22 PM
So - irage is it safe to lock in your Sat plays if I get the same lines now - or is there a chance that some of your Saturday pick will end up being a no play?
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nghia1973
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#90
Posted: 9/6/2012 11:26:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by irage:

Screw the RPI, I was never convinced it worked for football. I adjusted the filters and have a few games already. Western Kentucky is locked in and I betting on them to cover. Tread lightly this week, lets see if the filters can hold up for at least one week. There are still a bunch of games that have no lines yet, so stay tuned. Watch that Oklahoma line, I expect them to favored by at least 43, if they open under 30 take Oklahoma before the line adjusts. Lets get back on track.

WEEK TWO

3 - 7 - 0

THURSDAY
Cincinnati +4.5

SATURDAY
Western Kentucky +40
Michigan -20
Bowling Green -7.5
Kansas St. -6.5
Washington +22
Nebraska -4
Central Florida +14.5


Bowling Green is @ -16.5 still a bet?

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irage
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#91
Posted: 9/7/2012 12:24:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nghia1973:



Bowling Green is @ -16.5 still a bet?



Bowling Green should be good to go even at 16. The computer is giving them 25, but I usually like to create some wiggle room and 16 is the absolute MAX. I would pass on this game. I am much more cautious with FAV's.

There are no games tomorrow, so I will update all the lines tomorrow night.
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#92
Posted: 9/7/2012 1:07:51 AM
Irage, where do you bet?  Cincinnati opened up as a 3.5 favorite, or better, EVERYWHERE.  I don't see how you could have possibly got them as a dog.  If you did, I need to get action with that book, LOL!  The line closed at around -6.
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CannedGoods
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#93
Posted: 9/7/2012 10:30:29 AM
I'm friggin loving that K-St. -7.  This isn't 2003.  Hurricanes blow.
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irage
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#94
Posted: 9/7/2012 4:03:06 PM
W. Kentucky good to go.
Kansas St good to go
Nebraska good to go
Central Florida good to go

All others I have reservations on.

The book I used was the Rainbow in Wendover, NV.
Got the line as soon as it hit the board. There lines are regulated from Reno. I wonder if it was a fuckup. All my online books started at -3.
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irage
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#95
Posted: 9/7/2012 11:53:45 PM
Lets rock this girl.

WEEK TWO

4 - 7 - 0

THURSDAY
Cincinnati +4.5 WIN

SATURDAY
Western Kentucky +40 PENDING
Kansas St. -6.5 PENDING
Nebraska -4 PENDING
Central Florida +14.5 PENDING

These games are pending. As soon as I get lines I can verify if they will be plays or not.

Boston College ?
Buffalo ?
BYU ?
California ?
Colorado ?
Colorado St ?
E. Michigan ?
Florida St. ?
Georgia Tech ?
Louisville ?
Marshall ?
Miami Ohio ?
Minnesota ?
N. Texas ?
N. Illinois ?
Oklahoma ?
Rutgers ?
San Jose St. ?
SMU ?
S. Alabama ?
TCU ?
Tennessee ?
UNLV ?
UTSA ?
Virginia Tech ?
Washington St ?
W. Michigan ?
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irage
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#96
Posted: 9/8/2012 12:07:08 AM
OK, so we are down to 3. Bolded games are my best picks. Maybe we will get a few more tomorrow.

WEEK TWO

4 - 7 - 0

THURSDAY
Cincinnati +4.5 WIN

SATURDAY
Western Kentucky +40 PENDING
Kansas St. -6.5 PENDING

Nebraska -4 PENDING
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glefkb01
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#97
Posted: 9/8/2012 9:44:34 AM
dont like cent florida??anymore
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irage
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#98
Posted: 9/8/2012 11:16:55 AM
The numbers say Ohio St by -7 not 18, but the sudden shift in line tells me they know something I don't. It's just not worth the risk, when the other 3 are more solid.
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glefkb01
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#99
Posted: 9/8/2012 2:21:25 PM
my guy wont gimme line for bama game....so its kstate and nebraska for me
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irage
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#100
Posted: 9/8/2012 2:54:32 PM
Glef, this one is for you.

Oregon St +6.5, great dog play
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