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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB Super Systems
DegenGamble send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#176
Posted: 7/27/2012 10:03:36 AM

Yesterday's Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better Now

WAS (A) - WIN

System #4 – Dominant Team Over Last 3 Years

ARI (A) - LOSS
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#177
Posted: 7/27/2012 10:07:08 AM

Today's Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better Now

NYY (A)

CIN (A)

System #5 – Revenge Series

TEX (A)

 

Note: We are laying off the 'B' game for ARI - due to the pitching matchup - hopefully - we can pick it up again for the C game

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#178
Posted: 7/27/2012 10:11:25 AM

Some color commentary on the spreadsheet

SF - is a no play since it conflicts with a LAD pick for system #5 - we are off

SDG - pitching matchup is not in our favor - so we are off

TEX - only small difference in pitching matchup (Darvish vs Sale) - both are top 25 pitchers - so we will play this

WAS - we won out A game - so we are off the series

ARI - we have to lay off of our B game on ARI due to the pitching matchup - hopefully we can pick it up on a C game

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#179
Posted: 7/28/2012 1:46:52 PM

Yesterday's Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better Now

NYY (A) - WON

CIN (A) - WON

System #5 – Revenge Series

TEX (A) - LOSS

 

I guess we should have played ARI and layed off TEX - oh well the new filters are here to mitgate risk.

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#180
Posted: 7/28/2012 1:49:43 PM

Today's Plays

System #3 – Dominant Home Team

SF (A)

System #4 – Dominant Team Over Last 3 Years

ARI (B)

System #5 – Revenge Series

TEX (B)

 

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#181
Posted: 7/29/2012 10:31:00 AM
I like the SF match-up today. I've been holding off on Texas till they can come out of their slump. ARI dose have at least a situational advantage over the NYM , but it's tough to wager against somebodys top pitcher.  GL   Keep up the good work.
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#182
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:47:57 PM

Yesterday's Plays

System #3 – Dominant Home Team

SF (A) - LOSS

System #4 – Dominant Team Over Last 3 Years

ARI (B) - WIN

System #5 – Revenge Series

TEX (B) - LOSS

 

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#183
Posted: 7/29/2012 5:49:49 PM

Today's Plays

System #3 – Dominant Home Team

SF (B)

 

No play on TEX - CWS have the pitching edge

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CannedGoods
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#184
Posted: 7/30/2012 12:51:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

No play on TEX - CWS have the pitching edge



Didn't even see this.  Just saw yesterday that TEX was going to a C game and bet 25% of my BR on it....safe to say I'm PRETTY happy right about now
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#185
Posted: 7/30/2012 9:37:48 AM

Yesterday's Plays

System #3 – Dominant Home Team

SF (B) - LOSS

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#186
Posted: 7/30/2012 9:51:53 AM

Tough series - we won 4 series and lost 2 series - for a loss of -6 units.

 

Since tracking started on 7/2

Record: 39-10

Units: +10.2 units

 

We would have avoided the TEX loss if we followed the system to the letter - and help off game "A" even with the ever so slight pitching disadvantage.  So we would have came out profitable for this series.

 


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#187
Posted: 7/30/2012 9:59:28 AM

Today's Plays

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

LAD (A)

SF (A)

CWS (A)

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#188
Posted: 7/30/2012 10:01:06 AM

Color Commentary:

ATL, CIN, TEX - are listed on the spreadsheet but does not have a favorable pitching matchup.  So we will lay off game 1 and see if they stay a play in game 2.

 

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#189
Posted: 7/31/2012 10:26:52 AM
Did TEX for System 5 show up in your spreadsheet?
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#190
Posted: 7/31/2012 10:39:58 AM
Actually, I no longer question it.  I assume it did, and I believe you have the parameters right.  I find the plays they record on the site have many mistakes in them.  CHC should have never been a play for system #5 bc the one parameter of this system is that the team needs to have a winning percentage over .470....CHC clearly doesn't have that, yet they were listed as a 5 play on the site.  So assuming TEX did show up (didn't look just saw your post) you clearly have the parameters in the s/s correct.
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#191
Posted: 7/31/2012 2:19:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CannedGoods:

Actually, I no longer question it.  I assume it did, and I believe you have the parameters right.  I find the plays they record on the site have many mistakes in them.  CHC should have never been a play for system #5 bc the one parameter of this system is that the team needs to have a winning percentage over .470....CHC clearly doesn't have that, yet they were listed as a 5 play on the site.  So assuming TEX did show up (didn't look just saw your post) you clearly have the parameters in the s/s correct.


CG - just for the record, the under .470 filter is not documented on the website or the PDF - it's one we added to avoid losses.  However, he did email me that their are some filters he added that are not documented on the website or the PDF - so that is probably why some of the plays on the website don't match up to the spreadsheet - I think it's up to us to figure out the correct filters to use.  I think using a filter not to play a team under .470 is a good one though - we will mitigate risk.
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#192
Posted: 7/31/2012 2:20:02 PM

Yesterday's Plays

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

LAD (A) - LOSS

SF (A) - LOSS

CWS (A) - LOSS

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#193
Posted: 7/31/2012 2:22:28 PM

Today's Plays

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

LAD (B)

SF (B)

CWS (B)

CIN (A)

WAS (A)



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#194
Posted: 7/31/2012 2:26:35 PM
Color Commentary:

OAK - popped up today on the spreadsheet but won yesterday - so it's a no play.

ATL - could have been a play if they lost yesterday and had a favorable pitching matchup - but we are off

CIN - is listed under systems 1,3 and 6

BOS - is listed but is not a play - bad pitching matchup and win yesterdday

MIL - is listed but won yesterday (you're option if you want to do a 1 time flat bet - only because they playign the god awful stro's)
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#195
Posted: 8/1/2012 7:39:14 PM

Yesterday's Plays

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

LAD (B) - LOSS

SF (B) - WIN

CWS (B) - WIN

CIN (A) - WIN

WAS (A) - LOSS

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#196
Posted: 8/1/2012 7:41:15 PM

Sorry about the late post - I was not by a PC all day - but you should know the plays from the spreadsheet

Today's Plays

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

WAS (B)

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#197
Posted: 8/3/2012 8:49:37 AM
Can someone post the plays if there are any? Thanks
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#198
Posted: 8/3/2012 10:28:41 AM

Series Result: 4-1 Units: +.3 units

Not a great series - the LAD loss ate up all the profits.  Have a better feeling about the next series - this mini-slump should turn around.

 

Since tracking started on 7/2

Record: 43-11

Units: +10.5 units

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#199
Posted: 8/3/2012 10:33:21 AM

Today's Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better Now

WAS (A)

ATL (A)

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

TEX (A)

 

Note: WAS & ATL are listed in Systems 1 & 6

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#200
Posted: 8/3/2012 10:36:08 AM
Don't forget WAS is a double header - so if they lose the first game today - you take the 7:30 game as game B
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