MLB Super Systems

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: MLB Super Systems
mattymeach31 PM mattymeach31
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Posted: 7/7/2012 11:38:41 AM

I keep on getting different games every time I update. I currently have this:

System 3: WAS, TEX

System 6: WAS, STL, ATL

Can someone confirm or deny these?

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2012 12:17:48 PM

Matty / Bruin - can you download this version - just so I know you guys are using the most recent version - please let me know tomorrow what plays it displays - so I can track down if there is a problem.  It is V6.

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B5dydT9Oe6JbYW1QdXBILW8xb00

 

@Bookie - will post today's plays as well

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2012 12:30:56 PM

Yesterday's Results

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better now

WAS (A) – LOSS

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

NYM (A) - LOSS

CWS(A) - WIN

STL(A) - LOSS

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2012 12:31:07 PM

Today’s Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better now

WAS (B)

Note: OAK is still on the on the list, but since they won their A game we are off the chase.  TEX fell off the list – and if you look at why it’s because MIN has 6 wins in their last 10 – BUT – don’t worry if you really want to bet TEX (like me) – I have something for ya.

System #3 – Dominant Home Teamover 3 years

PIT (A)

TEX (A)

Remember – this is a 2 game chase after they lose the first game.  WAS is also on the list – but we are playing them in system #1 anyway.

System #4 – Dominant Team over last 3 years

Just a reminder we are off the SDG chase – since we won game 1

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

NYM (B)

STL(B)

WAS (B)

ATL(A)

Note:  WAS is also a play in system #6 – but don’t bet them twice since they are listed in system #1 – just wanted to list them here for tracking purposes.  Also notice that ATL qualified today – but did not qualify yesterday.  So we will start a 2 game chase with ATL.

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 7/7/2012 12:56:32 PM
Thanks DG! Appreciate it a lot!
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2012 7:15:17 PM

woooohooooo - ALL "B" games cashed today - gotta admit I was  - I was laying more chalk than a public high school.

Let's see how tonight's "A" games on ATL and TEX work out.

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2012 11:03:47 PM
Come TEX - let's clear this mama jamma!!!
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jonnymega PM jonnymega
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Posted: 7/7/2012 11:14:04 PM
nice
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/7/2012 11:15:23 PM
Wooohoooo - all games cashed - record to follow - but that was a much needed influx to the bankroll
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jonnymega PM jonnymega
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Posted: 7/7/2012 11:23:47 PM
I tried charting this system myself after you posted it but it's a shitload of work. Great job, bro.


DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/8/2012 12:24:56 AM

Record: 14-1

Units: +12 units

 

Today’s Plays

System #1 – Dominant Team Playing Better now

WAS (B) - WON

System #3 – Dominant Home Teamover 3 years

PIT (A) - WON

TEX (A) - WON

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

NYM (B) - WON

STL(B) - WON

ATL(A) - WON

 

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 7/8/2012 11:02:44 AM
DG, I assume we have nothing today right? All star break comin up. Am I right?
Alldaygambler28 PM Alldaygambler28
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Posted: 7/8/2012 12:01:03 PM
nice work, DG.  Don't forget about me (automating my stuff).  Put it in your "TO DO" list. 
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/8/2012 12:27:00 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

DG, I assume we have nothing today right? All star break comin up. Am I right?

Bookie - yeah no plays today - we owned it yesterday and cleared the board

DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/8/2012 12:29:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Alldaygambler28:

nice work, DG.  Don't forget about me (automating my stuff).  Put it in your "TO DO" list. 


Don't worry ADG - i have not forgotten about your systems - they are great - definitely on my to do list.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/8/2012 12:39:18 PM
Alright fellas - after tracking the Super Systems for a week - it went

Record: 14-1

Units: +12 units


The only loss if you look back was ATL - and that was only because we did not bet the "B" game because of the poor pitching matchup.  ATL won their "B" game.  Otherwise we would have went a fantastic 15-0

Now you might say - we should have bet that game - but imagine if they lost their "B" game - that's a lot of juice to pay.

I much prefer a 2 game chase - and laying off a bad matchup than throwing good money after bad.

Anyway - as I stated in the beginning of the thread - I'm terrible at tracking, and maintaining threads - so not sure if i'll continue posting after the all-star break - but you guys have the spreadsheet - everything is automated - so you can get the plays daily.

 


mattymeach31 PM mattymeach31
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Posted: 7/8/2012 1:05:13 PM

Degen,

What is your filter for favorable pitching matchup. I'm assuming it is just ERA?

BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 7/8/2012 1:37:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DegenGamble:

Bookie - yeah no plays today - we owned it yesterday and cleared the board



I can't update the sheet I don't know why but I admit I'm ignorant when it comes to those kind of things. I gotta be honest.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/8/2012 3:23:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mattymeach31:

Degen,

What is your filter for favorable pitching matchup. I'm assuming it is just ERA?



If you review the PDF - it goes into complete detail.  However, it basically uses Sagarin Rankings from UsaToday

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin.htm
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/13/2012 2:59:29 PM

Today’s Plays

System #4 – Dominant Home Teamover 3 years

TEX (A)

CLE (A)

**NYY (A)

System #6 – RPI Hybrid

LAD (A)

SF (A)

 

** NOTE - NYY is listed under System #1 but is not a play in System #1 since the pitching matchup favors LAA.  However, since it's a play in System #3 - I am listing it as an OPTIONAL play.  But I reccomend laying off on game #1 and playing game #2.

bruin95 PM bruin95
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Posted: 7/14/2012 2:04:19 AM
Clean sweep with the "A" games.  Nice start to 2nd half.
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 7/14/2012 4:41:20 AM
Any plays today DG? Got robbed on that SF game
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
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Posted: 7/14/2012 5:20:03 AM
Is the sheet I downloaded wrong? I can't update it. The date says July 14, 2012 but the matches are wrong.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/14/2012 4:50:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bruin95:

Clean sweep with the "A" games.  Nice start to 2nd half.


Definitely Bruin - I am alos going to count the NYY as a win, because even if you laid off game 1 per my recommendation due to the poor pitching matchup - you would have won game 2.

So that's a nice 5-0 
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/14/2012 4:59:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BookieCrusher88:

Is the sheet I downloaded wrong? I can't update it. The date says July 14, 2012 but the matches are wrong.


BC - did you click the update schedule and then the update data buttons?  Did it run with no errors?
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