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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: CAP's MLB Query Results (Something for Everyone)
BCap888
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#1
Posted: 4/8/2012 5:25:05 PM
Here are some really successful situations I've run back tests on. Results are from 2004-2009:

System- 1

Bet the UNDERr when a team goes Under two straight games with total less than 10, and the current total less than 8. (+3.4% ROI) +48.55 Units 

System- 2

Bet the UNDER in a game with a total over 10 and one team has gone Over 4 and only 4 straight games. (+8.2% ROI) +15.05 Units

System- 3

Bet on a HOME FAV between -120 and -130 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+8.3% ROI) +30.07 Units

System- 4

Bet on the HOME team on the RL when both teams scored over 8 runs in their last game. (+8.8% ROI) +17.19 Units

System- 5

Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units

System- 6

Bet on a HOME DOG between +130 and +140 after a Loss as a Home Dog. (+9.4% ROI) +24.87 Units

System- 7

Bet against a team when they have gone over the total for 4 and only 4 straight games and the current total is 10 or more. (+10.1% ROI) +44.20 Units

System- 8

Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units

System- 9

Bet a HOME DOG in a division game after winning by 3 or more if the line is between +110 and +180. (+10.8% ROI) +48.60 Units

System- 10

Bet on an AWAY FAV between -120 and -140 on the RL in the first game of a series when their opponent won their last game by 5 or more. (+22.3% ROI) +13.99 Units

System- 11

Bet the UNDER when a Home Dog has gone Over two straight games, the current total is more than 9.5, and the line is between +110 and +140. (+23.0% ROI) +27.25 Units

System- 12

Bet the UNDER when a Home Fav lost by 5 or more in their previous game, when the total was more than 10 and the game went Over. (+34.8% ROI) +30.30 Units

System- 13

Bet on the HOME team on the RL or ML when both teams are coming off being shut out. (+84.9% ROI RL / +28.7% ROI ML)  +7.77 Units RL / +7.24 Units ML


Hopefully you found something you liked. Today these 13 systems produced 3 plays. CLE ML (W), PHI/PIT U7.5 (L), and DET ML (?)

I'll do my best to post on this when there are plays but no guarantees. GL everybody.


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BCap888
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Posted: 4/8/2012 7:38:22 PM
I have a play so far listed for tomorrow:

System 5- STL +120

Finished today 2-1

BOL tonight folks.
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Posted: 4/9/2012 10:13:01 AM
Also a System 1 play- CHW/CLE Under 7.5.

4/9
System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5

System-5 Cardinals +120

2012:
Record 2-1
+$66.66
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BCap888
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#4
Posted: 4/9/2012 9:58:03 PM
4/9
System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5 (W)

System-5 Cardinals +120 (W)

2012:
Record 4-1
+$269.99

Solid Start!

Stay tuned for tomorrow's plays if there are any. 
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#5
Posted: 4/9/2012 10:30:36 PM
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BCap888
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Posted: 4/9/2012 10:53:00 PM
Thus far we have 2 confirmed plays for tomorrow:

System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5

System-3 Indians -120

2012:
Record 4-1
+$269.99
These are all $100 bets BTW, no matter the line.
BOL Everyone


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#7
Posted: 4/10/2012 1:37:57 PM
I don't understand the first filters for the first underdog system please give an example.
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#8
Posted: 4/10/2012 1:41:34 PM
are you just betting the next game or is this a chaseing more than one game?
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#9
Posted: 4/10/2012 1:50:47 PM
sorry I didn't look that you already had a play for system 1
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#10
Posted: 4/10/2012 3:06:33 PM
units won for each system since 2009 or for every year?
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BCap888
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#11
Posted: 4/10/2012 8:06:49 PM
Since 2004.
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#12
Posted: 4/10/2012 8:13:52 PM
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BCap888
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#13
Posted: 4/11/2012 11:13:42 AM
Lots of action today:

4/11

System-1
White Sox / Indians U7
Cardinals / Reds U7.5
Rays / Tigers U7
Angels / Twins U7.5

System-3
Padres -120

System-9
Blue Jays +110

2012
Record: 4-1
+$269.99

BOL Everyone
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BCap888
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#14
Posted: 4/12/2012 8:19:48 AM
4/11

System-1
White Sox / Indians U7 (L)
Cardinals / Reds U7.5 (W)
Rays / Tigers U7 (W)
Angels / Twins U7.5 (L)

System-3
Padres -120 (W)

System-9
Blue Jays +110 (W)

4/11
Record: 4-2
+$181.66

YTD
Record: 8-3
+$451.65

A note for System 1: I'm not going to play any BB situations. Like since the Tigers and Rays went under yesterday they might still be a play today. If they were I wouldn't play it. Hope that made sense. Plays up shortly.

BOL.
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#15
Posted: 4/12/2012 8:27:12 AM
4/12

System-1
Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110)
Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125)

System-5
Rockies +120

Rockies are also a System-9 play but still just one unit.

YTD
Record: 8-3
+$451.65

GL Everybody
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#16
Posted: 4/12/2012 11:06:53 AM
looks great so far... it is hard work to go through all these systems. GL
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BCap888
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#17
Posted: 4/13/2012 8:23:42 AM
4/12

System-1
Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110) (W)
Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125) (W)

System-5
Rockies +120 (L)

4/11
Record: 2-1
+$70.91

YTD
Record: 10-4
+$522.56

I did a quick check last night and I didn't see any plays. The Cardinals Cubs game is a System 1 play but the Cardinals are still on an Under streak from when we last played them vs. the Reds. If there are any plays they'll be up shortly.

GL Everybody.
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BCap888
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#18
Posted: 4/13/2012 8:32:04 AM
4/13

System-1
Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120)

System-5
Cubs +180

YTD
Record: 10-4
+$522.56

There are a lot of System-1 plays today but only one with two "fresh" teams.

The others are STL/CHC, LAD,/SDP, PIT/SF, WAS/CIN. I'm not playing them but they're there if you want them.

GL Everybody let's keep rolling. 
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#19
Posted: 4/13/2012 6:12:02 PM
How long does it take you to find all the plays?  Thanks for you all your work!
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#20
Posted: 4/13/2012 7:51:13 PM
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BCap888
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Posted: 4/13/2012 8:15:47 PM
Congrats to those who followed on the Cubbies! Didn't have a lot of confidence in that one myself honestly. And usually about 15 or 20 minutes Dog Catcher.
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#22
Posted: 4/14/2012 2:34:49 AM
And the Unders BCapp. Good job.
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BCap888
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#23
Posted: 4/14/2012 9:45:17 AM
4/13

System-1
Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120) (W)

System-5
Cubs +180 (W)

4/13
Record: 2-0
+$263.33

YTD
Record: 12-4
+$785.89

Plays up soon if there are any.
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BCap888
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#24
Posted: 4/14/2012 9:52:47 AM
4/14

System-5
Indians +125

System-8
Athletics -110

That's all we have for today. GL everyone.

YTD
Record: 12-4
+$785.89
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Posted: 4/14/2012 5:18:08 PM
Hello! I have a few questions about your systems. Unfortunaly my english is not very good, so I don't understand some systems. Can you help me?
For example, why do you bet Indians and Athletics today?

System- 8

Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units

So, we bet againts Sietl, because Sietl-Oklend is a division game and Sietl lost last game 0-4 (more then 3). Am I right?

And about Indians.

System- 5

Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units

We play on Indians because Indians won last game 8-3 (more than 4) and now is a Dog?

And what is ML?

Thank you for answers.



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