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hawk007 |
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#151 Posted: 3/21/2012 4:37:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by cisco:
7 games Wednesday!
What are they bud? |
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cisco |
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#152 Posted: 3/21/2012 8:22:40 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by hawk007:
What are they bud?
click the link in the first post.
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cisco |
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#153 Posted: 3/21/2012 10:39:43 PM |
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stickbit |
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#154 Posted: 3/22/2012 2:29:45 PM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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tnags |
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#155 Posted: 3/23/2012 9:45:46 PM 
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cisco |
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#156 Posted: 3/24/2012 2:00:38 AM |
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Air1 |
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#157 Posted: 3/24/2012 1:32:07 PM
Smitler made a system for the mlb where you do a 3 game chase betting there will be a 1st inning run with the lowest juice.
Here in the NBA we can just use the 1Q home fav and create another system where we bet for one 1Q home fave to win in a 3 game chase.
Lets take last night for example: @7 pm est you had orl and ind as 1Q home favs for the A game. at 8:30 there was SA for the B game and at 10:30 you had LAL
Yes all of them won, but just giving an example as to picks.
Tonight would NOT be a play as I only see LAC then Chi as plays
TOMORROW would be Bos or Atl at 6, SA at 7, OKC at 8, LAL at 10:30
Yes that is 4 games. but your choice of 3 or play bos/atl as A game and if they win restart :)
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cisco |
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#158 Posted: 3/25/2012 1:36:12 AM |
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cisco |
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#159 Posted: 3/25/2012 9:18:07 PM 
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Air1 |
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#160 Posted: 3/26/2012 12:32:54 PM
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Air1 |
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#161 Posted: 3/26/2012 12:40:26 PM
Can't wait til next yr with this system, however, i think chasing teams for 3 games should be stopped a week before the end of Jan. There have been at least 5 losses since Jan 21.
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ERBATIZ |
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#162 Posted: 3/26/2012 1:20:29 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:
My theory to chase in a single day seems to work as well. Would be nice if I had 1Q lines from earlier in the season so I can back test. Other problem would be the time. Have to check to make sure that the first game is finished before second game would count.
maybe this could help you
http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/1st-quarter/
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cisco |
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#163 Posted: 3/27/2012 10:01:19 AM Air1
The link in post #1 will give you all the 1st Q lines for the season for the teams we played.
I also use the link erbatiz posted. |
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#164 Posted: 3/29/2012 12:39:07 PM
I'll start back-testing when I can.
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jv040 |
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#165 Posted: 3/30/2012 5:43:01 PM
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cisco |
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#166 Posted: 3/30/2012 11:22:39 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by jv040:
cisco do you have a home page
I sent you a friend request. |
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#167 Posted: 3/31/2012 9:13:16 AM
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stickbit |
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#168 Posted: 3/31/2012 9:38:05 AM |
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Air1 |
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#169 Posted: 3/31/2012 1:13:05 PM
Rules: Must be home favs
must have at least 3 games a day with a time frame of an hour and a half from tipoff of game 1 to game 3 (preferably 1 hr from gm2 to gm3)
Restart on days like Sun Jan 29. When you have 4 or 5 games a day and get lucky so that the first hits with 3 more avail, then restart the chase.
Port was used as a play when no other bets because Port was a home fav in TC's original system.
Wins
71.5 (1 day I had 2 games that started at the same time with a max of 3 games to chase - the 2 games ended with a Push and a Win so I added a half unit)
??????
3 days could be a L or W dependan upon teams you chose to chase (jan ?, feb 17, mar 13) I did NOT add these in the system wins.
Losses
1 day there was a 2 gm chase loss. 1st game was a push dec 27
Feb 3 a loss (4th game too)
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stickbit |
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#170 Posted: 3/31/2012 1:27:36 PM -stick |
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#171 Posted: 3/31/2012 1:48:32 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:
Here is what I found with the 1Q chase if done by the day and not by teams.
Rules: Must be home favs
must have at least 3 games a day with a time frame of an hour and a half from tipoff of game 1 to game 3 (preferably 1 hr from gm2 to gm3)
Restart on days like Sun Jan 29. When you have 4 or 5 games a day and get lucky so that the first hits with 3 more avail, then restart the chase.
Port was used as a play when no other bets because Port was a home fav in TC's original system.
Wins
71.5 (1 day I had 2 games that started at the same time with a max of 3 games to chase - the 2 games ended with a Push and a Win so I added a half unit)
??????
3 days could be a L or W dependan upon teams you chose to chase (jan ?, feb 17, mar 13) I did NOT add these in the system wins.
Losses
1 day there was a 2 gm chase loss. 1st game was a push dec 27
Feb 3 a loss (4th game too)
 thanks man
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Air1 |
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#172 Posted: 3/31/2012 2:07:04 PM
For ML I only checked back on the day of the loss. You would add 1 win, but if you continue the chase you would add a loss to the ML. I cannot tell you how much that loss would add up to as cisco's sheets do not have ML's til mid Feb.
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Air1 |
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#173 Posted: 3/31/2012 2:12:09 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit: wow Air great work! so questions... 71.5 is how many units you would have won on a 3 game chase? also, do you think we have enough of a sample to run this next yr? thoughts? awesome work man! -stick
I did not add up last nights win so its actually 72.5 wins
stick in a chase each win is one unit. it is the loss that matters.
A loss in this system is equivalent to 8.94 units.so 72.5-8.94= 63.56 units for the season thus far
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Air1 |
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#174 Posted: 3/31/2012 2:14:03 PM
Also the sample size is 1 yr so its up to you. Just as any other play, including the ML 1Q home fav chase is.
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cisco |
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#175 Posted: 3/31/2012 3:51:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:
Here is what I found with the 1Q chase if done by the day and not by teams.
Rules: Must be home favs
must have at least 3 games a day with a time frame of an hour and a half from tipoff of game 1 to game 3 (preferably 1 hr from gm2 to gm3)
Restart on days like Sun Jan 29. When you have 4 or 5 games a day and get lucky so that the first hits with 3 more avail, then restart the chase.
Port was used as a play when no other bets because Port was a home fav in TC's original system.
Wins
71.5 (1 day I had 2 games that started at the same time with a max of 3 games to chase - the 2 games ended with a Push and a Win so I added a half unit)
??????
3 days could be a L or W dependan upon teams you chose to chase (jan ?, feb 17, mar 13) I did NOT add these in the system wins.
Losses
1 day there was a 2 gm chase loss. 1st game was a push dec 27
Feb 3 a loss (4th game too)
You've been working.
Should be a great NBA season next year!
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