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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA Rule of 6 = 6 Systems!!!!
Air1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 2/16/2012 2:37:16 PM
A lot of streaking going on lately.
There have been a few times I see a team win 5 games ats or lose 5 games ats and that alone made me decide to place a bet. Unfortunately I am barely ever successful without systems. My handicapping abilities suck, horribly!!
I backtracked streaks in the NBA of when teams Win or Lose 6 games in a row ats all the way to the 05-06 Season. Then I recorded the aftermath.
Here is how i recorded my data so hopefully i won't have to explain these systems too many times.
W's in a row ATS
Team / # of W's / X game (streak stopper) / A game / B game / C game / D game.
L's in a row ATS
Team / # of L's / X game (streak stopper) / A game / B game / C game / D game / E game / F game

I found 4 systems. The first is a system I mentioned before in another thread called lucky number slevin. Fade a team that has won at least 6 times in a row ats AFTER the X game. Do a 3 game fade chase.
Results 117-3 from 05-06 season to todaywhen buying pts. +61 units. (this version has 1 of its 3 L's this season!!! otherwise it would be +80 UNITS!!!
112-8 from 05-06 season without buying pts. +56 units
System #2. After the X game wait to see the results of the A game. System activates if A game is a win for the streaking team. We chase 3 games for them to win again. Exclude playoffs.
Result: 50-1 +41.74 units
Buy 2 pts System is undefeated +51 UNITS!

System #3. Applies to streaky losers. After the X game, wait for the results of A + B game. EXCLUDE any streak with a Push. Do a 2 game chase for them to Win C, D game.
Result = 53-7 +29.1 units
System #4. For Streaky Losers that have lose A + B Game. Wait til the D game. Start a 2 or 3 Game Chase for them to Win.
Results: 3 Game chase is 33-1 +24.74Units
2 Game Chase 29-4 +15.36Units
System#5. After a 6+ game losing streak ats is stopped - Bet the D game.
Results: 65-40 +21 Units
System #6. The easiest system. When a team has lost 7 in a row ats. Bet/chase 3 games for them to cover/Win. 20-1 +11.74 Units
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#2
Posted: 2/16/2012 2:58:08 PM
* ADD to SYSTEM #3: If A + B Game is a L we do not chase!
Current Streakers:
NJ Lost 6 in a row ATS
Ind Lost 7 in a row ATS
Pending Plays
System #1: Sac. 2 game chase for them to win once (lost first game)
NYK: Fade to lose one of next 2 games (won first game)
System #2: NYK: Chase to win 1 of next 3 games
System #3: NOH: 2 Game chase for them to win once

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#3
Posted: 2/16/2012 3:06:03 PM
streakiest teams are bos, orl, mem
orl 9 winning streaks. no team with 8
min 8 losing streaks. 1 team with 7

Surprises - cle has 0 losing streaks & chi only 1 winning streak of 6 or more.
Only 1 time has a team lost more than 10 in a row ats - the 08-09 mem grizzlies 12.
Best streak was Dal, won 14 (10in playoffs) in a row ats.

That's all folks!
I'm on to my next one!
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#4
Posted: 2/17/2012 9:04:23 PM
Current Streakers:
Ind Lost 7 in a row ATS
Pending Plays
System #1: NJ  - 3 game fade chase begins
System #1: NYK: Fade to lose one of next 2 games (won first game)
System #2: Sac. 2 game chase for them to win once (lost first game)
System #2: NYK: Chase to win 1 of next 3 games
System #3: NOH: 2 Game chase for them to win once

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#5
Posted: 2/17/2012 9:07:24 PM
Results so far
System #1: +2 Units
System #2-6.....pending plays
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#6
Posted: 2/20/2012 10:12:21 AM
Results so far
System #1: +4 Units
System #2: +2 Units
System #3: +1 Units
System #5: +1 Units
Total:::::::::: +8 Units

Pending Plays:
System #1: 3 game chase starts to fade Ind
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#7
Posted: 2/20/2012 5:23:29 PM
i like system #1, you should keep updating it in this thread. like the plays for each day.
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#8
Posted: 2/20/2012 8:39:38 PM
I was looking at streaks in the NBA.  if  a team wins two or more ats  or loses two or more ats. then wait for the streak to break. and wait to see the results of the game after the streak broke then chase wins if the team won ats up to 3 times or fade if lost ats 3 times. this would give abour 300 games and could potentially make more than 300 units if a and b bets were played on one server and b and c bets on another server. so if a lost then b bet would be placed on both servers. placing the second bet as an a bet on the second server and b bet on the first server. the ats line would look like this wwll after the first loss a wait to see what the next game does  if it's a loss then chase for loss up to three times if win chase win up to 3 times.  hope this makes sense.
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#9
Posted: 2/20/2012 9:00:13 PM
I had a second thought and was also wanting too look at if it will work with 1st and second halves. witch I will probably wait till next season to experiment with.
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#10
Posted: 2/20/2012 11:04:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jv040:

I was looking at streaks in the NBA.  if  a team wins two or more ats  or loses two or more ats. then wait for the streak to break. and wait to see the results of the game after the streak broke then chase wins if the team won ats up to 3 times or fade if lost ats 3 times. this would give abour 300 games and could potentially make more than 300 units if a and b bets were played on one server and b and c bets on another server. so if a lost then b bet would be placed on both servers. placing the second bet as an a bet on the second server and b bet on the first server. the ats line would look like this wwll after the first loss a wait to see what the next game does  if it's a loss then chase for loss up to three times if win chase win up to 3 times.  hope this makes sense.


wow that's hard to read. lol
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#11
Posted: 2/21/2012 3:00:09 PM
I back-tested for 6 W's or  6 L's in a row ATS. I don't know how 3 games in a row ats will work, but you will have a considerably larger pool of data.

6 W's/L's since 05-06 took me over 24 hrs of data entry (new to this, not sure of average time frame for such a task)

If you plan on doing 3 in a row ats, Good luck......if i have time lmk and i might be able to do a division or two.
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#12
Posted: 2/21/2012 3:09:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Riceboi:

i like system #1, you should keep updating it in this thread. like the plays for each day.


System #1 should be solid for the rest of this season. only one yr did it have more than 1 loss (3 in 10-11).
The loss this season was also unavoidable even if buying pts. So with past results, if you buy pts and chase you should go undefeated.
System #2 occurs less frequently but is my fav.
System #5 is the simplest and the one with the least risk as its just one game.

System #1: Start of a 3 game chase to fade Indy tonight!
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#13
Posted: 2/21/2012 5:18:49 PM
air...do you have the results of a 3 game chase after a team has won or lost 6 straight ATS?
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#14
Posted: 2/21/2012 9:06:35 PM
stickbit - do you mean for the team to continue losing/winning?
I did not do that way, but i dont think it will be very successful
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#15
Posted: 2/21/2012 10:47:37 PM
one a team hits 6 straight wins or losses ATS chase for opposite result - 3 games. coincidently fading miami (6 ATS wins) won tonight!
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#16
Posted: 2/22/2012 4:18:30 PM
any plays for system #1 tonight?
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#17
Posted: 2/22/2012 4:45:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stickbit:

one a team hits 6 straight wins or losses ATS chase for opposite result - 3 games. coincidently fading miami (6 ATS wins) won tonight!


when a team wins 6 in a row ats, chasing to fade them starting game 7 is 108-12. 1 L = 8.26 units. +9 Units I would say this is not worth the trouble.

When a team L's 6 ina row ats. chasing for them to win is 108-4 +58 Units......This looks good.
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#18
Posted: 2/22/2012 4:54:29 PM
with indy's loss last night our results are now

Results so far
System #1: +5 Units
System #2: +2 Units
System #3: +1 Units
System #5: +1 Units
Total:::::::::: +9 Units

Pending Streaks/Plays:
System #5 on Indy: waiting for D game vs NoH.
System # 3 OR 4: waiting for result of indy game tonight before one of these activates.
Mia's last game was an X result so System #1: start a 3 game fade chase on MIA
Bos lost 4 in a row ats
Phi lost 5 in a  row ats
Det won 5 in a row ats
NoH won 5 in a row ats
Min won 4 in a row ats
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#19
Posted: 2/22/2012 8:11:50 PM
so if PHI loses ATS tonight vs houston then we start a chase for them to win, right?
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#20
Posted: 2/22/2012 11:42:07 PM
air...great work much appreciated. How many seasons does this go back?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#21
Posted: 2/23/2012 3:38:57 PM
Stick - the results I posted are the the system total units won since the beginning of the 05-06 season.

Also from now on system #6 will be changed from 7 L's in a row ats to 6 L in a row against the spread.

System #6. 
When a team has lost 6 in a row ats. chase for them to win - Result 108-4 +58 Units

System #5 on Indy to win: waiting for D game vs NoH.
System #3: 2 game chase on indy to win
System #6: 3 game chase for philly to win ats
Mia's last game was an X result so System #1: start a 3 game fade chase on MIA
Bos lost 5 in a row ats
Phi lost 6 in a  row ats
NoH won 6 in a row ats
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#22
Posted: 2/23/2012 3:50:15 PM
sorry system 6 is 103-9 + 28.66 units
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#23
Posted: 2/23/2012 4:27:32 PM
So we're betting NYK +10 tonight?
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#24
Posted: 2/23/2012 4:32:33 PM
And what do you mean by "buying points"?  Just hooks?
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#25
Posted: 2/23/2012 7:15:08 PM
mostly done with buying 3 pts at -170 lines......this season i have been only buying 1/2 pts.

Yes we are fading mia so we are on the lin train
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