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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Above .500 teams vs Sub .500 teams |
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mvpbetting |
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#176 Posted: 2/29/2012 11:27:14 AM Mind: This looks incredible.. Congrats on a system that seems to be working!
However, I am not following completely. I read the first 2 posts but I'm still a little confused and I really want to get in on this!
Could you please explain in a little more detail how you decide who to bet on?
Thanks! |
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mindtides |
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#177 Posted: 2/29/2012 12:22:15 PM guys. When I first started this thread the plays were mainly based on the first couple of posts, however I have since noticed that there are stronger angles than just having a good home team coming off a loss against a loosing road team, although it does have weight. Currently my plays are based on several factors but ALL have to qualify as a play based on pf/pa for each team, to be more specific pf/pa @ home and pf/pa away.... then I use a specific equation to determine if it is a play or not.
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mvpbetting |
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#178 Posted: 2/29/2012 12:23:59 PM so there is no way for us to calculate these plays ourselves? we would have to wait for your picks? |
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mvpbetting |
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#179 Posted: 2/29/2012 1:26:31 PM So just to see if I am understanding this system right. Lakers would be a bet against the wolves?
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mindtides |
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#180 Posted: 2/29/2012 1:30:08 PM That is correct.
2/29
NBA[504] PHILADELPHIA +3-110
CBB[536] EAST CAROLINA EV
CBB[545] GEORGIA TECH -1½-110
CBB[548] RICHMOND -2-110
CBB[552] ST. BONAVENTURE -3½-110
CBB[555] MASSACHUSETTS +11½-110
CBB[564] HOUSTON U -2-110
CBB[570] ALABAMA -12½-110
CBB[572] SOUTH CAROLINA +3-110
CBB[578] NORTHWESTERN +7½-110
CBB[588] LSU -1½-110
CBB[592] BOISE STATE +2½-110
NBA[1514] 1H NEW ORLEANS -1½-110
NBA[1519] 1H CHICAGO +1-115
NBA[1522] 1H DENVER -1½-115
CBB[1526] 1H PURDUE -6½-110
CBB[1532] 1H CINCINNATI PK-115
CBB[1549] 1H LASALLE -1-110
CBB[1552] 1H ST. BONAVENTURE -2-105
CBB[1554] 1H RHODE ISLAND -3-115
CBB[1564] 1H HOUSTON U -1-110
CBB[1588] 1H LSU -½-115
CBB[1592] 1H BOISE STATE +1½-115
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mvpbetting |
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#181 Posted: 2/29/2012 1:38:26 PM But you haven't put the Lakers in your picks?
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10percent719 |
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#182 Posted: 2/29/2012 1:50:23 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by mvpbetting:
But you haven't put the Lakers in your picks?
I think Mind decided not to play Lakers due to Kobe being questionable for tonight.
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The__Man |
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#183 Posted: 2/29/2012 2:42:59 PM Wow. So Mr. Mind, do you think your recent success was from the tweaks you made or just luck? I'd like to start tailing, but would be devastated if you went on a bad streak due to bad luck and I got effed lol.
My bankroll is well below 50% of what I started at. Not good.
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mindtides |
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#184 Posted: 2/29/2012 4:34:57 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by mindtides:
Its all in the hm. vs away. stats(PF:PA), I have a certain equation that I use with the #'s that determine if it is a qualifying play, the .500 + team at home coming off a loss is icing on the cake only if the #'s are there as well, I do the same equation for both 1H and game, one might qualify the other may not, hope that helps.
Also Min. is not a sub .500 team, and you are right 10% about Kobe, key injuries have a big impact on my plays.
Honestly TM I think its a little more of the tweaks than luck, but then again I have always been lucky....but i will take it any way i can. Yea, if your not confident do not tail, the main purpose at this point is to try and track my picks for this year and see if I can hit 57%+, tail at your own risk.
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mvpbetting |
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#185 Posted: 2/29/2012 8:28:03 PM What's up Mind.
If Kobe is cleared to play, will you be adding Lakers to your 1/2 picks?
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mindtides |
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#186 Posted: 3/1/2012 5:05:20 AM 2/29
NBA[504] PHILADELPHIA +3-110 
CBB[536] EAST CAROLINA EV 
CBB[545] GEORGIA TECH -1½-110 
CBB[548] RICHMOND -2-110 
CBB[552] ST. BONAVENTURE -3½-110 
CBB[555] MASSACHUSETTS +11½-110 
CBB[564] HOUSTON U -2-110 
CBB[570] ALABAMA -12½-110 
CBB[572] SOUTH CAROLINA +3-110 
CBB[578] NORTHWESTERN +7½-110  CBB[588] LSU -1½-110 
CBB[592] BOISE STATE +2½-110 
NBA[1514] 1H NEW ORLEANS -1½-110 
NBA[1519] 1H CHICAGO +1-115 
NBA[1522] 1H DENVER -1½-115 
CBB[1526] 1H PURDUE -6½-110 
CBB[1532] 1H CINCINNATI PK-115 
CBB[1549] 1H LASALLE -1-110 
CBB[1552] 1H ST. BONAVENTURE -2-105 
CBB[1554] 1H RHODE ISLAND -3-115 
CBB[1564] 1H HOUSTON U -1-110 
CBB[1588] 1H LSU -½-115 
CBB[1592] 1H BOISE STATE +1½-115 
Record: 239-168
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mindtides |
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#187 Posted: 3/1/2012 4:50:07 PM 3/1
NBA[1707] 1H MIAMI -2-105
CBB[712] VIRGINIA -4-110
CBB[716] RUTGERS -3½-110
CBB[725] UC DAVIS +15½-110
CBB[731] WASHINGTON ST +9½-110
CBB[735] NEW MEXICO ST +3-110
CBB[743] PORTLAND U +9-110
CBB[749] JACKSONVILLE ST -1-110
CBB[771] QUINNIPIAC -3½-110
CBB[1710] 1H ILLINOIS -1-110
CBB[1740] 1H INDIANA ST -2½-110
CBB[1768] 1H WAGNER -5½-110
CBB[1770] 1H ROBERT MORRIS -6-110
CBB[1776] 1H NC ASHEVILLE -4½-115
CBB[1778] 1H MD BALTIMORE CO -½-115
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mindtides |
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#188 Posted: 3/1/2012 4:54:39 PM mvp, when I answered "thats correct" I was referring to having to wait for me to post the plays, even with kobe cleared to play, the #'s in that game still made it a no play for me.
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mindtides |
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#189 Posted: 3/2/2012 5:13:56 AM 3/1
NBA[1707] 1H MIAMI -2-105 
CBB[712] VIRGINIA -4-110 
CBB[716] RUTGERS -3½-110 
CBB[725] UC DAVIS +15½-110 
CBB[731] WASHINGTON ST +9½-110 
CBB[735] NEW MEXICO ST +3-110 
CBB[743] PORTLAND U +9-110 
CBB[749] JACKSONVILLE ST -1-110 
CBB[771] QUINNIPIAC -3½-110 
CBB[1710] 1H ILLINOIS -1-110  CBB[1740] 1H INDIANA ST -2½-110 
CBB[1768] 1H WAGNER -5½-110 
CBB[1770] 1H ROBERT MORRIS -6-110 
CBB[1776] 1H NC ASHEVILLE -4½-115 
CBB[1778] 1H MD BALTIMORE CO -½-115 
Record: 246-176
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mindtides |
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#190 Posted: 3/2/2012 1:14:26 PM 3/2
Northern Iowa -2 1/2
More later
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mindtides |
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#191 Posted: 3/2/2012 4:58:34 PM 3/2
NBA[804] BOSTON -6½-110
NBA[1817] 1H MIAMI -2½-110
NBA[1822] 1H LA LAKERS -6-110
CBB[824] KENT ST -3½-110
CBB[855] YOUNGSTOWN ST +5½-110
CBB[871] TENNESSEE TECH +8-110
CBB[1824] 1H KENT ST -2-105
CBB[1836] 1H NOTRE DAME -6-115
CBB[1852] 1H CREIGHTON -4½-105
CBB[1867] 1H FURMAN -1-115
CBB[1873] 1H MOREHEAD STATE +1½-115
CBB[1884] 1H MERCER -5½-115
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mindtides |
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#192 Posted: 3/3/2012 7:27:36 AM 3/2
NBA[804] BOSTON -6½-110 
NBA[1817] 1H MIAMI -2½-110 
NBA[1822] 1H LA LAKERS -6-110 
CBB[824] KENT ST -3½-110 
CBB[855] YOUNGSTOWN ST +5½-110 
CBB[871] TENNESSEE TECH +8-110 
CBB[1824] 1H KENT ST -2-105 
CBB[1836] 1H NOTRE DAME -6-115 
CBB[1852] 1H CREIGHTON -4½-105 
CBB[1867] 1H FURMAN -1-115 
CBB[1873] 1H MOREHEAD STATE +1½-115 
CBB[1884] 1H MERCER -5½-115 
CBB
[849] NO IOWA -2½-110 
Record: 250-185
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mindtides |
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#193 Posted: 3/3/2012 10:37:03 AM If you tailed me yesterday sorry, I failed to realize most of those games where on a neutral court.
3/3
NBA[1508] 1H MEMPHIS -4½-110
CBB[518] SOUTH FLORIDA -2-110
CBB[520] TOLEDO -5-110
CBB[538] MARQUETTE -4½-110
CBB[546] LASALLE -3½-110
CBB[552] SMU -1-110
CBB[562] OKLAHOMA -5-110
CBB[600] RICE -8-110
CBB[604] TULANE -2½-110
CBB[614] OREGON ST -4½-110
CBB[676] PORTLAND ST -7-110
CBB[692] LEHIGH -9½-110
CBB[1518] 1H SOUTH FLORIDA -1-110
CBB[1520] 1H TOLEDO -2½-115
CBB[1532] 1H GEORGIA -3-115
CBB[1546] 1H LASALLE -2-105
CBB[1562] 1H OKLAHOMA -2½-115
CBB[1564] 1H SYRACUSE -4½-115
CBB[1574] 1H UCLA -2½-115
CBB[1580] 1H IOWA ST -1-110
CBB[1586] 1H CENTRAL FLORIDA -2½-115
CBB[1608] 1H KANSAS -6½-110
CBB[1676] 1H PORTLAND ST -4-105
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winnerwinner99 |
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#194 Posted: 3/3/2012 4:24:04 PM i have a few problems with ur system...one...you play an absurd amount of games...and two...u need a monster bankroll to continue daily with ur system...yes u have a winning record...57% to b exact...not bad...but not great...i applaud u for ur effort...if possible can u separate ur record by sport for bettors who dont play ncaa but play nba or vice versa...thx |
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mindtides |
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#195 Posted: 3/3/2012 6:25:33 PM I am using this forum as a "testing" ground for something that is in the works, this will be an ongoing project with plays across different leagues. I post all plays I feel fit into my system model without separation, feel free to do so. 57% for a week is "not bad", 57% for a year or many can make you rich. And once again tail at your own risk.
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rhgambler |
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#196 Posted: 3/3/2012 6:49:25 PM Hey Mindtides - I've been following you for a couple of weeks and I really appreciate your time and effort to post these plays. Your system is kicking A$$!!! Great day today so far - thanks again! Keep posting!!!  |
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mindtides |
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#197 Posted: 3/3/2012 7:05:50 PM rhgambler
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mindtides |
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#198 Posted: 3/4/2012 6:02:37 AM 3/3
NBA[1508] 1H MEMPHIS -4½-110 
CBB[518] SOUTH FLORIDA -2-110 
CBB[520] TOLEDO -5-110 
CBB[538] MARQUETTE -4½-110 
CBB[546] LASALLE -3½-110  CBB[552] SMU -1-110 
CBB[562] OKLAHOMA -5-110 
CBB[600] RICE -8-110 
CBB[604] TULANE -2½-110 
CBB[614] OREGON ST -4½-110 
CBB[676] PORTLAND ST -7-110 
CBB[692] LEHIGH -9½-110 
CBB[1518] 1H SOUTH FLORIDA -1-110 
CBB[1520] 1H TOLEDO -2½-115 
CBB[1532] 1H GEORGIA -3-115 
CBB[1546] 1H LASALLE -2-105 
CBB[1562] 1H OKLAHOMA -2½-115 
CBB[1564] 1H SYRACUSE -4½-115 
CBB[1574] 1H UCLA -2½-115 
CBB[1580] 1H IOWA ST -1-110 
CBB[1586] 1H CENTRAL FLORIDA -2½-115 
CBB[1608] 1H KANSAS -6½-110 
CBB[1676] 1H PORTLAND ST -4-105 
Record: 264-194
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mindtides |
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#199 Posted: 3/4/2012 8:28:57 AM 3/4
CBB[824] MICHIGAN STATE -1-140 (B+1½)
NBA[1814] 1H PHOENIX -3-115
CBB[834] INDIANA U -6½-110
CBB[1824] 1H MICHIGAN STATE -1½-110
CBB[1866] 1H WAGNER -3½-110
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mindtides |
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#200 Posted: 3/5/2012 4:58:21 AM 3/4
CBB[824] MICHIGAN STATE -1-140 (B+1½) 
NBA[1814] 1H PHOENIX -3-115 
CBB[834] INDIANA U -6½-110 
CBB[1824] 1H MICHIGAN STATE -1½-110 
CBB[1866] 1H WAGNER -3½-110 
Record: 266-197
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