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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Above .500 teams vs Sub .500 teams
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#176
Posted: 2/29/2012 11:27:14 AM
Mind: This looks incredible.. Congrats on a system that seems to be working!

However, I am not following completely. I read the first 2 posts but I'm still a little confused and I really want to get in on this!

Could you please explain in a little more detail how you decide who to bet on?

Thanks!
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#177
Posted: 2/29/2012 12:22:15 PM
guys. When I first started this thread the plays were mainly based on the first couple of posts, however I have since noticed that there are stronger angles than just having a good home team coming off a loss against a loosing road team, although it does have weight. Currently my plays are based on several factors but ALL have to qualify as a play based on pf/pa for each team, to be more specific pf/pa @ home and pf/pa away.... then I use a specific equation to determine if it is a play or not.
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#178
Posted: 2/29/2012 12:23:59 PM
so there is no way for us to calculate these plays ourselves? we would have to wait for your picks?
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#179
Posted: 2/29/2012 1:26:31 PM
So just to see if I am understanding this system right. Lakers would be a bet against the wolves?
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#180
Posted: 2/29/2012 1:30:08 PM
That is correct.


2/29


NBA[504] PHILADELPHIA +3-110

CBB[536] EAST CAROLINA EV

CBB[545] GEORGIA TECH -1½-110

CBB[548] RICHMOND -2-110

CBB[552] ST. BONAVENTURE -3½-110

CBB[555] MASSACHUSETTS +11½-110

CBB[564] HOUSTON U -2-110

CBB[570] ALABAMA -12½-110

CBB[572] SOUTH CAROLINA +3-110

CBB[578] NORTHWESTERN +7½-110

CBB[588] LSU -1½-110

CBB[592] BOISE STATE +2½-110

NBA[1514] 1H NEW ORLEANS -1½-110

NBA[1519] 1H CHICAGO +1-115

NBA[1522] 1H DENVER -1½-115

CBB[1526] 1H PURDUE -6½-110

CBB[1532] 1H CINCINNATI PK-115

CBB[1549] 1H LASALLE -1-110

CBB[1552] 1H ST. BONAVENTURE -2-105

CBB[1554] 1H RHODE ISLAND -3-115

CBB[1564] 1H HOUSTON U -1-110

CBB[1588] 1H LSU -½-115

CBB[1592] 1H BOISE STATE +1½-115
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#181
Posted: 2/29/2012 1:38:26 PM
But you haven't put the Lakers in your picks?
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#182
Posted: 2/29/2012 1:50:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mvpbetting:

But you haven't put the Lakers in your picks?


I think Mind decided not to play Lakers due to Kobe being questionable for tonight.
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#183
Posted: 2/29/2012 2:42:59 PM
Wow.  So Mr. Mind, do you think your recent success was from the tweaks you made or just luck?  I'd like to start tailing, but would be devastated if you went on a bad streak due to bad luck and I got effed lol.

My bankroll is well below 50% of what I started at.  Not good.
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#184
Posted: 2/29/2012 4:34:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mindtides:

Its all in the hm. vs away. stats(PF:PA), I have a certain equation that I use with the #'s that determine if it is a qualifying play, the .500 + team at home coming off a loss is icing on the cake only if the #'s are there as well, I do the same equation for both 1H and game, one might qualify the other may not, hope that helps.


Also Min. is not a sub .500 team, and you are right 10% about Kobe, key injuries have a big impact on my plays.

Honestly TM I think its a little more of the tweaks than luck, but then again I have always been lucky....but i will take it any way i can. Yea, if your not confident do not tail, the main purpose at this point is to try and track my picks for this year and see if I can hit 57%+, tail at your own risk.
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#185
Posted: 2/29/2012 8:28:03 PM
What's up Mind.

If Kobe is cleared to play, will you be adding Lakers to your 1/2 picks?
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#186
Posted: 3/1/2012 5:05:20 AM
2/29


NBA[504] PHILADELPHIA +3-110

CBB[536] EAST CAROLINA EV

CBB[545] GEORGIA TECH -1½-110

CBB[548] RICHMOND -2-110

CBB[552] ST. BONAVENTURE -3½-110

CBB[555] MASSACHUSETTS +11½-110

CBB[564] HOUSTON U -2-110

CBB[570] ALABAMA -12½-110

CBB[572] SOUTH CAROLINA +3-110

CBB[578] NORTHWESTERN +7½-110
 
CBB[588] LSU -1½-110

CBB[592] BOISE STATE +2½-110

NBA[1514] 1H NEW ORLEANS -1½-110

NBA[1519] 1H CHICAGO +1-115

NBA[1522] 1H DENVER -1½-115

CBB[1526] 1H PURDUE -6½-110

CBB[1532] 1H CINCINNATI PK-115

CBB[1549] 1H LASALLE -1-110

CBB[1552] 1H ST. BONAVENTURE -2-105

CBB[1554] 1H RHODE ISLAND -3-115

CBB[1564] 1H HOUSTON U -1-110

CBB[1588] 1H LSU -½-115

CBB[1592] 1H BOISE STATE +1½-115


Record: 239-168
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#187
Posted: 3/1/2012 4:50:07 PM
3/1


NBA[1707] 1H MIAMI -2-105

CBB[712] VIRGINIA -4-110

CBB[716] RUTGERS -3½-110

CBB[725] UC DAVIS +15½-110

CBB[731] WASHINGTON ST +9½-110

CBB[735] NEW MEXICO ST +3-110

CBB[743] PORTLAND U +9-110

CBB[749] JACKSONVILLE ST -1-110

CBB[771] QUINNIPIAC -3½-110

CBB[1710] 1H ILLINOIS -1-110

CBB[1740] 1H INDIANA ST -2½-110

CBB[1768] 1H WAGNER -5½-110

CBB[1770] 1H ROBERT MORRIS -6-110

CBB[1776] 1H NC ASHEVILLE -4½-115

CBB[1778] 1H MD BALTIMORE CO -½-115
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#188
Posted: 3/1/2012 4:54:39 PM
mvp, when I answered "thats correct" I was referring to having to wait for me to post the plays, even with kobe cleared to play, the #'s in that game still made it a no play for me.
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#189
Posted: 3/2/2012 5:13:56 AM
3/1


NBA[1707] 1H MIAMI -2-105

CBB[712] VIRGINIA -4-110

CBB[716] RUTGERS -3½-110

CBB[725] UC DAVIS +15½-110

CBB[731] WASHINGTON ST +9½-110

CBB[735] NEW MEXICO ST +3-110

CBB[743] PORTLAND U +9-110

CBB[749] JACKSONVILLE ST -1-110

CBB[771] QUINNIPIAC -3½-110

CBB[1710] 1H ILLINOIS -1-110
 
CBB[1740] 1H INDIANA ST -2½-110

CBB[1768] 1H WAGNER -5½-110

CBB[1770] 1H ROBERT MORRIS -6-110

CBB[1776] 1H NC ASHEVILLE -4½-115

CBB[1778] 1H MD BALTIMORE CO -½-115


Record: 246-176
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#190
Posted: 3/2/2012 1:14:26 PM

3/2

Northern Iowa -2 1/2

 

More later

CBB [849] NO IOWA -2½-110

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#191
Posted: 3/2/2012 4:58:34 PM
3/2


NBA[804] BOSTON -6½-110

NBA[1817] 1H MIAMI -2½-110

NBA[1822] 1H LA LAKERS -6-110

CBB[824] KENT ST -3½-110

CBB[855] YOUNGSTOWN ST +5½-110

CBB[871] TENNESSEE TECH +8-110

CBB[1824] 1H KENT ST -2-105

CBB[1836] 1H NOTRE DAME -6-115

CBB[1852] 1H CREIGHTON -4½-105

CBB[1867] 1H FURMAN -1-115

CBB[1873] 1H MOREHEAD STATE +1½-115

CBB[1884] 1H MERCER -5½-115
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#192
Posted: 3/3/2012 7:27:36 AM
3/2


NBA[804] BOSTON -6½-110

NBA[1817] 1H MIAMI -2½-110

NBA[1822] 1H LA LAKERS -6-110

CBB[824] KENT ST -3½-110

CBB[855] YOUNGSTOWN ST +5½-110

CBB[871] TENNESSEE TECH +8-110

CBB[1824] 1H KENT ST -2-105

CBB[1836] 1H NOTRE DAME -6-115

CBB[1852] 1H CREIGHTON -4½-105

CBB[1867] 1H FURMAN -1-115

CBB[1873] 1H MOREHEAD STATE +1½-115

CBB[1884] 1H MERCER -5½-115

CBB [849] NO IOWA -2½-110


Record: 250-185
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#193
Posted: 3/3/2012 10:37:03 AM
If you tailed me yesterday sorry, I failed to realize most of those games where on a neutral court.


3/3


NBA[1508] 1H MEMPHIS -4½-110

CBB[518] SOUTH FLORIDA -2-110

CBB[520] TOLEDO -5-110

CBB[538] MARQUETTE -4½-110

CBB[546] LASALLE -3½-110

CBB[552] SMU -1-110

CBB[562] OKLAHOMA -5-110

CBB[600] RICE -8-110

CBB[604] TULANE -2½-110

CBB[614] OREGON ST -4½-110

CBB[676] PORTLAND ST -7-110

CBB[692] LEHIGH -9½-110

CBB[1518] 1H SOUTH FLORIDA -1-110

CBB[1520] 1H TOLEDO -2½-115

CBB[1532] 1H GEORGIA -3-115

CBB[1546] 1H LASALLE -2-105

CBB[1562] 1H OKLAHOMA -2½-115

CBB[1564] 1H SYRACUSE -4½-115

CBB[1574] 1H UCLA -2½-115

CBB[1580] 1H IOWA ST -1-110

CBB[1586] 1H CENTRAL FLORIDA -2½-115

CBB[1608] 1H KANSAS -6½-110

CBB[1676] 1H PORTLAND ST -4-105


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#194
Posted: 3/3/2012 4:24:04 PM
i have a few problems with ur system...one...you play an absurd amount of games...and two...u need a monster bankroll to continue daily with ur system...yes u have a winning record...57% to b exact...not bad...but not great...i applaud u for ur effort...if possible can u separate ur record by sport for bettors who dont play ncaa but play nba or vice versa...thx
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#195
Posted: 3/3/2012 6:25:33 PM
I am using this forum as a "testing" ground for something that is in the works, this will be an ongoing project with plays across different leagues. I post all plays I feel fit into my system model without separation, feel free to do so. 57% for a week is "not bad", 57% for a year or many can make you rich. And once again tail at your own risk.
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#196
Posted: 3/3/2012 6:49:25 PM

Hey Mindtides - I've been following you for a couple of weeks and I really appreciate your time and effort to post these plays. Your system is kicking A$$!!! Great day today so far - thanks again! Keep posting!!!         

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#197
Posted: 3/3/2012 7:05:50 PM
rhgambler
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#198
Posted: 3/4/2012 6:02:37 AM
3/3


NBA[1508] 1H MEMPHIS -4½-110

CBB[518] SOUTH FLORIDA -2-110

CBB[520] TOLEDO -5-110

CBB[538] MARQUETTE -4½-110

CBB[546] LASALLE -3½-110
 
CBB[552] SMU -1-110

CBB[562] OKLAHOMA -5-110

CBB[600] RICE -8-110

CBB[604] TULANE -2½-110

CBB[614] OREGON ST -4½-110

CBB[676] PORTLAND ST -7-110

CBB[692] LEHIGH -9½-110

CBB[1518] 1H SOUTH FLORIDA -1-110

CBB[1520] 1H TOLEDO -2½-115

CBB[1532] 1H GEORGIA -3-115

CBB[1546] 1H LASALLE -2-105

CBB[1562] 1H OKLAHOMA -2½-115

CBB[1564] 1H SYRACUSE -4½-115

CBB[1574] 1H UCLA -2½-115

CBB[1580] 1H IOWA ST -1-110

CBB[1586] 1H CENTRAL FLORIDA -2½-115

CBB[1608] 1H KANSAS -6½-110

CBB[1676] 1H PORTLAND ST -4-105


Record: 264-194
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#199
Posted: 3/4/2012 8:28:57 AM
3/4


CBB[824] MICHIGAN STATE -1-140 (B+1½)

NBA[1814] 1H PHOENIX -3-115

CBB[834] INDIANA U -6½-110

CBB[1824] 1H MICHIGAN STATE -1½-110

CBB[1866] 1H WAGNER -3½-110
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#200
Posted: 3/5/2012 4:58:21 AM
3/4


CBB[824] MICHIGAN STATE -1-140 (B+1½)

NBA[1814] 1H PHOENIX -3-115

CBB[834] INDIANA U -6½-110

CBB[1824] 1H MICHIGAN STATE -1½-110

CBB[1866] 1H WAGNER -3½-110


Record: 266-197
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