Posted: 2/20/2012 8:27:17 PM
Originally Posted by mindtides:
The core of the system will be based on any .500 + team coming off of at least 1 straight up loss playing a sub .500 team at home, it will be ATS and 1st halfs will be played in any sport that has halfs as well as the whole game. There are a few other factors involved in the plays that I will discuss should this do well.... plays to come soon.
I just back-tested this system's NBA basic at Killer sports utilizing their extensive data base that goes back at least to 1995 that I've seen query results for.
The web site I accessed is: http://killersports.com/nba.py/query?sid=guest&text=+&=1&submit=query
The query I submitted is: site = home and WP>=50.00 and p:margin<0 and o:WP<50.00
The results ATS were 807-865-41. There appears to be nothing there.
So I increased the home team's WP to 55.00 and dropped the away team's WP to 45.00 .. 454-483-26 ATS.
At 60.00 and 40.00, 244-241-15 .. at 65.00 and 35.00, 128-105-6.
At 70.00 and 30.00, 44-45-3.
I'm thinking there's nothing there, though there are so many combinations to play with, the right one might yield desired results, but the quantity might end up being pretty small.