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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Streak Strategies
Burly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#76
Posted: 2/10/2012 6:15:42 PM

Feb 10

FLA (4-3-3) NO PLAY AGAINST NJ (6-2-2)

Teams on streaks: PHX, VAN, MTL

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#77
Posted: 2/13/2012 12:08:37 AM

FEB 13

PHO (6-3-1) NO PLAY AGAINST VAN (6-1-3)

Teams on streaks: PHX, MTL, STL, NYR, FLA, DET,

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#78
Posted: 2/13/2012 1:38:01 PM

  i have no idea how to figure out what the play is. i read this thread at least 5 times,lol. can you post what the play is ?. for ex: nyr -125  / when you say  teams on streaks are those the plays?  or when you say

PHO (6-3-1) NO PLAY AGAINST VAN (6-1-3)   what does this mean, pho wudda been the play?    i would appreciate a better way to know what the plays are . ty vm

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#79
Posted: 2/13/2012 1:44:23 PM

ok i will change how i post from now on i will post like this:

PHO (6-3-1) vs VAN (6-1-3): PHO NO PLAY

the teams on streaks are teams we are watching to lose one game then we may bet against them if it fits the filter.

hope that helped

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#80
Posted: 2/14/2012 11:12:04 PM

FEB 15

BOS (4-5-1) VS MON (6-4): BOS NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: DET, NYR, FLA

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#81
Posted: 2/15/2012 5:51:27 AM

so then boston no play = play on montreal ?

i ask bcuz many of your post say no play. which makes it seem like there is no play every day. sorry if i seem like im busting balls but just wanna understand what ur saying.

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#82
Posted: 2/15/2012 5:59:59 AM

also do you have a record of wins and losses?

in the pho/van game in your post it says (no play against van) but van won. i takit as play van. like todays game bos/mon -no play bos = play mon

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#83
Posted: 2/15/2012 7:34:52 AM
no i would not recommend playing the reverse, i will update the win loss tonight
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#84
Posted: 2/16/2012 12:03:44 AM

wow just looking back at my last posts ive been messing up as 4-3-3 is over .500 cause it is 11 points of 20 possible points so I missed wins on PHI and FLA, i also missed posting BUF ended a streak and lost to NJ.

Since these plays did follow the rules they will be included in the record update which is:

31 A wins 12 B (chase) wins 2 A+B losses

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#85
Posted: 2/16/2012 12:26:03 AM

Next Play

Feb 16

NYI (5-3-2) VS STL (6-3-1)(ended streak): PLAY NYI

PHO (6-2-2)(ended streak) VS LA (4-4-2): NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: NYR, DET, ANA

Teams ended streaks (future plays): FLA (FEB 17)

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#86
Posted: 2/16/2012 6:21:30 AM

much better burly,  in todays plays pho was the lean but became a no play? it seems we are playing teams that end a certain streak? so possible future plays can be on nyr ,det, ana ,correct?.sorry, but im finding this system very interesting

oh bos did win  in soot out i believe. i was like damn burly made it a no play but you had your reasons

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#87
Posted: 2/16/2012 9:23:58 AM

actually the play would have been LA, we are betting against teams that have a three or more game winning streak and then loss one game.

yea I was surprised when BOS was a NO PLAY but it went to a SO so my -0.5 play on favorites would have lost.

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#88
Posted: 2/16/2012 11:31:41 PM

NYI

I want to look back and see if the very high home favorites should be avoided possibly at -200 or above but I will wait and see if the chase hits.

Feb 17

WAS (3-4-3) VS FLA (6-3-1)(ended streak): NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: DET, ANA

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#89
Posted: 2/18/2012 12:07:48 AM

CHASE GAME: MIN VS STL: PLAY MIN

Be careful with this play as STL was a huge fav in game A this is more of a

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#90
Posted: 2/18/2012 5:34:53 PM

ok so with the STL 4-0 win, a certain line will be set I just have to look back and see at what odds the losses are.

 

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#91
Posted: 2/19/2012 6:27:21 PM

The NYI vs STL game A would have fit the fade A+B filter from earlier in the year, from what ive seen the fade can be played as a -1.5 on the home team to eliminate the high price.

Todays Play

CLB (4-6) VS NYR (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY NYR -1.5

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#92
Posted: 2/19/2012 11:27:29 PM
Rangers won but didnt cover, i think that the odds that have covered so far have been between -215 and -249.
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#93
Posted: 2/19/2012 11:46:52 PM
Teams on streaks: DET, VAN, NJ, WIN
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#94
Posted: 2/20/2012 11:48:08 AM
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#95
Posted: 2/23/2012 9:21:51 AM

Feb 23

TB (5-3-2) vs WIN (5-4-1)(ended streak): PLAY TB

For the following play, both teams ended their streaks, in past same situations the team with the better last 10 record has won

VAN (7-1-2)(ended streak) vs DET (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY VAN

Teams on streaks: NJ, OTT, TB, PHX, CHI

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#96
Posted: 2/23/2012 11:43:44 PM

TB

VAN

FEB 25

CHASE AGAINST WIN: PLAY STL

TB (5-3-2)(ended streak) vs PIT (5-4-1): PLAY PIT

CHI (4-6-0)(ended streak) vs LA (2-6-2): NO PLAY

Teams on streaks: NJ, OTT, PHX

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#97
Posted: 2/23/2012 11:44:54 PM
Also there is no chase play against VAN as they had only one loss in last 10 so we would not have played against them.
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#98
Posted: 2/24/2012 3:33:01 PM
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#99
Posted: 2/25/2012 6:37:51 PM

STL

PIT easy

UPDATED RECORD:

33 A wins 13 B (chase) wins 3 A+B losses

I am about halfway through backchecking odds to see if a reverse can be used on teams who are highly favored that ended streaks, looks promising so far.

Upcoming Plays:

Feb 26

This play fits what should be the system fade, home team highly favored (-160 or higher, -160 might change after i've completed backcheck), and road team last 10 record under .500.

TB (4-5-1) vs NJ (7-2-1)(ended streak): PLAY NJ

Teams on streaks: PHX, OTT, BUF, DAL

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#100
Posted: 2/26/2012 7:52:49 PM

NJ

new system fade 0-1

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