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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL RPI now out
hansivonmueller
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#126
Posted: 12/18/2011 7:25:07 PM
Thanks,
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#127
Posted: 12/18/2011 10:37:09 PM
FLA
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#128
Posted: 12/19/2011 1:03:14 AM
do you play the in regulation bet or just ML?
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#129
Posted: 12/19/2011 5:20:26 PM

Just the ML.

Todays play

BOS 41 H

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#130
Posted: 12/19/2011 10:30:46 PM

BOS

Record

Home teams with 35 RPI or higher are 20-10 67%

Road team with 60 RPI or higher are 7-4  64%

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#131
Posted: 12/20/2011 3:17:27 PM
Any plays tonight?
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#132
Posted: 12/20/2011 5:11:25 PM
No plays today
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#133
Posted: 12/21/2011 4:13:11 PM

Todays play

SJ 45 H

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#134
Posted: 12/22/2011 2:17:33 AM
SJ 
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hansivonmueller
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#135
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:08:39 PM
Rangers?
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hansivonmueller
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#136
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:22:54 PM
Ignore last post, not awake yet.
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#137
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:41:11 PM

SJ

Record

Home teams with 35 RPI or higher are 21-10 68%

Road team with 60 RPI or higher are 7-4  64%

Todays plays

NAS 42 H

LA 36 H

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#138
Posted: 12/23/2011 7:49:02 AM

NAS

LA

Nice lil 5-0 streak going on

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hansivonmueller
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#139
Posted: 12/23/2011 6:31:32 PM
Have a great Xmas RC1!
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#140
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:14:10 PM

Thanks!

Todays plays

CHI 75 H

SJ 69 H

NYR 43 H

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#141
Posted: 12/26/2011 5:26:11 PM
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#142
Posted: 12/27/2011 3:27:41 AM
66 % bets with ~ ML -180-200
It will be tiny profit no matter what strategy used (labby, martingale or smt.), cause everybody can make such result simply chosing "hit or miss" without rpi index or anything else.
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#143
Posted: 12/27/2011 3:41:02 AM
Wrong----  Only if you flat bet.  You would profit with martingale and labby, it just means bigger bets.  While the ml's were like that yesterday because of good teams being at home playing bad teams they aren't always that high
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#144
Posted: 12/27/2011 4:41:06 AM
Bigger, bigger and bigger..............

Let's imagine L3 situation for ml -200 bets. Labby, first bet is 5 % (2,5 % + 2,5 %) of bankroll to win (10 %).
1st loss -10 % / 90 % of bank / next bet is 10 % + 2,5 % = 12,5 % to win (25 %)
2nd loss -25 % / 65 % of bank / next bet 25% + 2,5 % = 27,5 % to win (55 %)
3rd loss - 55 % / 10 % of bankroll remain.
You can make the 1st bet smaller but it only will reduce you profit before loosing streak, after that increase the number of iterations and won't protect from loss in a long run.
A similar situation will be with 5-6 losses in a row with -150 ML. And it is much more then possible.

Martingale on -200 ML is a suicide.
-5 %, -20 %, -40 %, all in?

There may participate either insane or steel-eggs-man.
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#145
Posted: 12/27/2011 8:40:23 AM
Your just imagining, but lets look at the real world.  Last 8 plays are 7-1 which equals $$$$   RC is trying to duplicate B2W's rpi strategy for mlb for the nhl.  Check out the mlb rpi thread which went 83-1 for the season.  Everybody knows the risk, so either grow a pair and bet or be gone.
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#146
Posted: 12/27/2011 6:39:14 PM

Don't forget how the thread started out as well, 9-1...

CHI

NYR

SJ

Record

Home teams with 35 RPI or higher are 23-11 68%

Road team with 60 RPI or higher are 7-4  64%

Todays play

PIT 47 H

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irage
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#147
Posted: 12/27/2011 7:19:57 PM
Hey RC, I'm watching your progress and have been impressed so far. Keep dialing in.
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#148
Posted: 12/28/2011 10:58:34 AM
hey rc , nice going , Real Red Dragon does make an important point above the juice. I guess taking the regulation line may alter the winning % by a small margin , but we will save tons on the juice. Most of these winners are mini blowouts by strong home teams
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#149
Posted: 12/28/2011 11:42:59 AM
An option for those concerned about juice would be the -1 line. However, the system has been successful thus far so running a labby hasn't created any crazy scenarios to date.
Posted using a mobile device.
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irage
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#150
Posted: 12/28/2011 11:57:08 AM
Another thing t consider is regardless of the juice a win is a win. Even with the juice at -276 your still making money. Some argue that it isn't worth the risk, but I disagree. Most bettors can't see past todays game. When your playing systems like this you have to look at the season.
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