NHL RPI now out

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 6 of 11 «  4 5 6 7 8   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL RPI now out
hansivonmueller PM hansivonmueller
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quote#126
Posted: 12/18/2011 7:25:07 PM
Thanks,
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#127
Posted: 12/18/2011 10:37:09 PM
FLA
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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quote#128
Posted: 12/19/2011 1:03:14 AM
do you play the in regulation bet or just ML?
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#129
Posted: 12/19/2011 5:20:26 PM

Just the ML.

Todays play

BOS 41 H

RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#130
Posted: 12/19/2011 10:30:46 PM

BOS

Record

Home teams with 35 RPI or higher are 20-10 67%

Road team with 60 RPI or higher are 7-4  64%

BoozinB PM BoozinB
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quote#131
Posted: 12/20/2011 3:17:27 PM
Any plays tonight?
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#132
Posted: 12/20/2011 5:11:25 PM
No plays today
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#133
Posted: 12/21/2011 4:13:11 PM

Todays play

SJ 45 H

BoozinB PM BoozinB
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quote#134
Posted: 12/22/2011 2:17:33 AM
SJ 
hansivonmueller PM hansivonmueller
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quote#135
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:08:39 PM
Rangers?
hansivonmueller PM hansivonmueller
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quote#136
Posted: 12/22/2011 4:22:54 PM
Ignore last post, not awake yet.
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#137
Posted: 12/22/2011 5:41:11 PM

SJ

Record

Home teams with 35 RPI or higher are 21-10 68%

Road team with 60 RPI or higher are 7-4  64%

Todays plays

NAS 42 H

LA 36 H

RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#138
Posted: 12/23/2011 7:49:02 AM

NAS

LA

Nice lil 5-0 streak going on

hansivonmueller PM hansivonmueller
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quote#139
Posted: 12/23/2011 6:31:32 PM
Have a great Xmas RC1!
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#140
Posted: 12/26/2011 4:14:10 PM

Thanks!

Todays plays

CHI 75 H

SJ 69 H

NYR 43 H

416bet PM 416bet
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quote#141
Posted: 12/26/2011 5:26:11 PM
RealRedDragon PM RealRedDragon
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quote#142
Posted: 12/27/2011 3:27:41 AM
66 % bets with ~ ML -180-200
It will be tiny profit no matter what strategy used (labby, martingale or smt.), cause everybody can make such result simply chosing "hit or miss" without rpi index or anything else.
HECTAR PM HECTAR
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quote#143
Posted: 12/27/2011 3:41:02 AM
Wrong----  Only if you flat bet.  You would profit with martingale and labby, it just means bigger bets.  While the ml's were like that yesterday because of good teams being at home playing bad teams they aren't always that high
RealRedDragon PM RealRedDragon
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quote#144
Posted: 12/27/2011 4:41:06 AM
Bigger, bigger and bigger..............

Let's imagine L3 situation for ml -200 bets. Labby, first bet is 5 % (2,5 % + 2,5 %) of bankroll to win (10 %).
1st loss -10 % / 90 % of bank / next bet is 10 % + 2,5 % = 12,5 % to win (25 %)
2nd loss -25 % / 65 % of bank / next bet 25% + 2,5 % = 27,5 % to win (55 %)
3rd loss - 55 % / 10 % of bankroll remain.
You can make the 1st bet smaller but it only will reduce you profit before loosing streak, after that increase the number of iterations and won't protect from loss in a long run.
A similar situation will be with 5-6 losses in a row with -150 ML. And it is much more then possible.

Martingale on -200 ML is a suicide.
-5 %, -20 %, -40 %, all in?

There may participate either insane or steel-eggs-man.
HECTAR PM HECTAR
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quote#145
Posted: 12/27/2011 8:40:23 AM
Your just imagining, but lets look at the real world.  Last 8 plays are 7-1 which equals $$$$   RC is trying to duplicate B2W's rpi strategy for mlb for the nhl.  Check out the mlb rpi thread which went 83-1 for the season.  Everybody knows the risk, so either grow a pair and bet or be gone.
RealityCheck1 PM RealityCheck1
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quote#146
Posted: 12/27/2011 6:39:14 PM

Don't forget how the thread started out as well, 9-1...

CHI

NYR

SJ

Record

Home teams with 35 RPI or higher are 23-11 68%

Road team with 60 RPI or higher are 7-4  64%

Todays play

PIT 47 H

irage PM irage
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quote#147
Posted: 12/27/2011 7:19:57 PM
Hey RC, I'm watching your progress and have been impressed so far. Keep dialing in.
buntyketti PM buntyketti
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quote#148
Posted: 12/28/2011 10:58:34 AM
hey rc , nice going , Real Red Dragon does make an important point above the juice. I guess taking the regulation line may alter the winning % by a small margin , but we will save tons on the juice. Most of these winners are mini blowouts by strong home teams
FrankShades PM FrankShades
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quote#149
Posted: 12/28/2011 11:42:59 AM
An option for those concerned about juice would be the -1 line. However, the system has been successful thus far so running a labby hasn't created any crazy scenarios to date.
Posted using a mobile device.
irage PM irage
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quote#150
Posted: 12/28/2011 11:57:08 AM
Another thing t consider is regardless of the juice a win is a win. Even with the juice at -276 your still making money. Some argue that it isn't worth the risk, but I disagree. Most bettors can't see past todays game. When your playing systems like this you have to look at the season.
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