NHL Under Chase System

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NHL Under Chase System
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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quote#101
Posted: 10/24/2011 10:11:09 PM
Penthouse to outhouse..... Tor and philly deadly!

Fla/Mon WINNER. YTD -65ish
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robwalton PM robwalton
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quote#102
Posted: 10/24/2011 10:14:53 PM
its a long season, philly plays montreal on wednesday in there E game, and the leafs play on thursday against the rangers, im not worried, we will get it back
TheEtrain PM TheEtrain
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quote#103
Posted: 10/24/2011 11:12:15 PM
good job at looking at the big picture Rob!  Keep on Grindin
peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#104
Posted: 10/25/2011 12:05:29 AM
Lesson learned, when Gus is in nets, I'm going to pass on the game and just wait for the next to continue chase. Hes been awful. Only true reason I believe Toronto is at E, last three Leaf system losses came from him in nets...

As for Philly, not sure what's happening here. Bryz hasn't been good this season.

Still confident we'll wrap up these series this week! Let's do this fellas!
hawk007 PM hawk007
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quote#105
Posted: 10/25/2011 12:35:04 AM

RW,

Chasing strategies can be very good but also very dangerous when you chase for more than 3 games.  Any idea what kind of record previous seasons would have yielded playing these in just a 2 or 3 game chase?

GL!

Trigg PM Trigg
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quote#106
Posted: 10/25/2011 5:51:56 AM
Question: How are you choosing the teams to chase? I noticed a few of those you are chasing are near top of the PPG stats list. I thought one might have been focusing more on teams with lower PPG? Not knocking the system, looks great, but just curious that's all.
peter1988 PM peter1988
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quote#107
Posted: 10/25/2011 7:22:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Trigg:

Question: How are you choosing the teams to chase? I noticed a few of those you are chasing are near top of the PPG stats list. I thought one might have been focusing more on teams with lower PPG? Not knocking the system, looks great, but just curious that's all.


A team is chosen for the system if they have a game that goes into OT/SO.
SugeKnight PM SugeKnight
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quote#108
Posted: 10/25/2011 8:03:27 AM
Im pretty much a rook here to these systems and the terminology...but i really cant figure out why the system is 38-0....i see the profit...but i dont understand why you say its 38-0

help a guy out!
robwalton PM robwalton
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quote#109
Posted: 10/25/2011 9:40:50 AM

System is 39-0                 -64.60

Teams we are chasing

NJ [A] [B] [B], Philly [E], Detroit [C], Toronto [B] [D] [E], SJ [B], Carolina [B], St.Louis [B], Minny [A], Vancouver [A], Colorado [A], Chicago [A]

Games tonight

Ottawa / Carolina [B]        Under 5.5   +100 10 to win 10

Detroit [C] / Columbus      Under 5.5   +102 20 to win 20.40

San Jose [B] / Nashville    Under 5      +103 10 to win 10.30

Anaheim / Chicago [A]      Under 5.5    -125 5 to win 4.00

Vancouver [A] / Edmonton Under 5.5     -141 5 to win 3.55

NJ [A] [B] [B] / LA             Under 5     -135 25 to win 18.50

robwalton PM robwalton
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quote#110
Posted: 10/25/2011 9:47:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hawk007:

RW,

Chasing strategies can be very good but also very dangerous when you chase for more than 3 games.  Any idea what kind of record previous seasons would have yielded playing these in just a 2 or 3 game chase?

GL!

Last Year there were 296 A winners, 147 B winners, 63 C winners, 32 D winners 15 E winners and 8 system Losses

robwalton PM robwalton
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quote#111
Posted: 10/25/2011 9:49:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SugeKnight:

Im pretty much a rook here to these systems and the terminology...but i really cant figure out why the system is 38-0....i see the profit...but i dont understand why you say its 38-0

help a guy out!

A team that we are chasing needs to have 5 overs before it is a system Loss

buntyketti PM buntyketti
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quote#112
Posted: 10/25/2011 12:44:51 PM
hey rob. appreciate your hard work. can you please explain how many units one might have lost in the 8 losses last year. 
giantONE PM giantONE
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quote#113
Posted: 10/25/2011 4:11:29 PM
@Bunty

If we're doing it like this :

A : 1 Unit
B : 2 Units
C : 4 Units
D : 8 Units
E : 16 Units

A series lost would yield us - 31 Units

We had 8 Lost series, so : 31 x 8 = 248 Units
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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quote#114
Posted: 10/25/2011 5:50:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SugeKnight:

Im pretty much a rook here to these systems and the terminology...but i really cant figure out why the system is 38-0....i see the profit...but i dont understand why you say its 38-0

help a guy out!

Suge...

its kinda misleading ...there are losses from day to day but in the chase of 5 games you end up winning (usually in the end).  i.e...det plays col and the game goes to OT.    Robs chase is to play det and col for their next 5 games (10 total 5 from det and 5 from col) and take the under in those games until it wins.but doubling your bet every time you lose.   That way when and if it wins you will cover your losses and be in the green.

Det plays Col and an OT results.

next game (Game 1 of chase) Det plays Chi...   take det under the total and Col plays CLB take Col under the total.    Lets say DET total wins the under... you are done betting DET for following 4 games (Chase is over) but Col total goes over.... you lose.   So you play Col again(2xs your bet)  and again(4xs your bet)  and again (8xs your bet) and again (16xs your bet) until you win....    if the total stays over on colorado for 5 games you will lose alot but it rarely happens.

Under stand?

 

glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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quote#115
Posted: 10/25/2011 5:52:39 PM
So in the 38 series chased this year....     you would have come out on top YTD....    Currently the system is in the negative cuz PHILLY FOOKED US last night.
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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quote#116
Posted: 10/25/2011 5:53:47 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by robwalton:

its a long season, philly plays montreal on wednesday in there E game, and the leafs play on thursday against the rangers, im not worried, we will get it back

Not losing faith... just sucks you know.    I am playing more than 5 dollars a game...so it really hurts.

k-murder PM k-murder
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quote#117
Posted: 10/25/2011 10:57:43 PM
Hey Rob - can you accept my friend request? wanted to ask you a question. Thanks.

robwalton PM robwalton
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quote#118
Posted: 10/25/2011 11:42:13 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by k-murder:

Hey Rob - can you accept my friend request? wanted to ask you a question. Thanks.

accepted

Luckydan PM Luckydan
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quote#119
Posted: 10/26/2011 12:12:26 AM
Nice comeback tonight. Well done.

Good Luck.
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
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quote#120
Posted: 10/26/2011 8:36:12 AM
That's the rob I st.comrted to tail. 5 and 0. Should have you back to even for the year eh?
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robwalton PM robwalton
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quote#121
Posted: 10/26/2011 10:24:05 AM

System is 47-0                 +2.15

Teams we are chasing

Philly [E], Toronto [B] [D] [E], St.Louis [B], Minny [A], Colorado [A], Ottawa [A], Carolina [A], Anaheim [A], Chicago [A], Dallas [A], Phoenix [A]

Games tonight

Philly [E] / Montreal Under 5.5  -135  80 to win 59.20

Colorado [A] / Calgary  Under 5.5  -132 5 to win 3.30

St. Louis [B] / Vancouver Under 5.5 -128 10 to win 7.80

giantONE PM giantONE
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quote#122
Posted: 10/26/2011 12:13:20 PM
Let's get this E bet tonight, would be great 
JLos PM JLos
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quote#123
Posted: 10/27/2011 12:45:21 AM
Phily's horseshit D cost ya
robwalton PM robwalton
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quote#124
Posted: 10/27/2011 9:49:03 AM

System is 48-1                -75.05

Teams we are chasing

Toronto [B] [D] [E], Minny [A], Colorado [A], Ottawa [A], Carolina [A], Anaheim [A], Chicago [A], Dallas [A], Phoenix [A]

Games tonight

Toronto [B] [D] [E] / Rangers Under 5.5  -133  130 to win 97.50

Anaheim [A] / Minny [A]        Under 5    +102  10 to win 10.20

Florida / Ottawa  [A]              Under 5.5  -125   5 to win  4.00

LA / Dallas [A]                      Under 5    -120    5 to win 4.15

NJ / Phoenix [A]                    Under 5    -118    5 to win 4.25

robertf105 PM robertf105
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quote#125
Posted: 10/27/2011 10:18:19 PM
Been playing the system.  Maybe we shoudnt use Philly anymore. 17 goals in one game.  Insane.
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