Top Dog - NHL System

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 11 of 14 «  9 10 11 12 13   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Top Dog - NHL System
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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quote#251
Posted: 10/6/2013 10:38:05 PM
Buffalo was top dog Saturday and lost and Anaheim was top dog today and on correct? That should be added to record right? 
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#252
Posted: 10/6/2013 10:51:05 PM
FRIDAY 10/4:
(1-1) + 2.46 UNITS


SATURDAY 10/5:
GM1 BUF +242 (1 UNIT)
updated record: (1-2) +1.46 UNITS

SUNDAY 10/6:
GM2 ANA +132 (2 UNITS to win 2.64 UNITS)
updated record: (2-2) +4.1 UNITS





UPDATED TOP DOG season RECORD: 2-2 +4.1 units


...it's nice to clear the chase this early.  We will start another one with NYR tomorrow.
Super_Dave PM Super_Dave
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quote#253
Posted: 10/7/2013 3:06:47 AM
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#254
Posted: 10/7/2013 8:01:22 PM
TOP DOG - 10/7 new chase starts tonight

GM1 NYR +128 (1 unit)

Season Record: 2-2
+4.1 units
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#255
Posted: 10/9/2013 12:47:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GreenMachine22:

TOP DOG - 10/7 new chase starts tonight

GM1 NYR +128 (1 unit) 

Season Record: 2-2
+4.1 units




Updated Season Record: 3-2
+5.38 UNITS


The Rangers W closed out that chase...on to GM1 tonight:

GM1 (1 unit wager) CAR +177 


Updated Season Record: 3-3
+4.38 UNITS





Tomorrow night looks like OTT +133 (GM2 - 2 unit)
lilmojo021 PM lilmojo021
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quote#256
Posted: 10/9/2013 7:57:14 AM
I will be following this thread.  Thanks for all of your work and time put into this.
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#257
Posted: 10/10/2013 5:53:45 PM
Gm3 COL +163 3units
Record 3-4 +3.38 units
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ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#258
Posted: 10/10/2013 5:55:05 PM
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#259
Posted: 10/11/2013 12:20:17 AM
GM3 winner with COL +163
3 units = 4.89 units

Season record 4-4 +8.27 units
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JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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quote#260
Posted: 10/11/2013 12:51:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GreenMachine22:

GM3 winner with COL +163
3 units = 4.89 units

Season record 4-4 +8.27 units

Gotta love those big juicy dogs, nice hit!

The Hat
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#261
Posted: 10/11/2013 1:39:51 PM

I like this idea, but it can be scary when there is a bad losing streak. Last year the top fave had winning streaks of 6, 9, 9, 7. Not sure I'd be able to chase this for 7-10 games. How many units would that 10th game be for and how many would you be down at that point?

I think I saw on here the betting progression is 1-5 units for the first 5 games. What is it for games 6-10? 

GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#262
Posted: 10/11/2013 5:13:52 PM
Friday 10/11 Top Dog:

GM1 PIT +160 1 unit
Record: 4-4 +8.27 units
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GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#263
Posted: 10/11/2013 5:24:28 PM
I played them all the same 1 unit wager throughout the year. Since its always a plus money wager you should always come out ahead.

****as the season progresses, these wagers can obviously become less profitable as lines makers become more accurate****
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GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#264
Posted: 10/11/2013 5:25:21 PM
One unit times the chase game #
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ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#265
Posted: 10/11/2013 6:19:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GreenMachine22:

Friday 10/11 Top Dog:

GM1 PIT +160 1 unit
Record: 4-4 +8.27 units



florida is the dog
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#266
Posted: 10/11/2013 10:48:01 PM
winner  
bruin95 PM bruin95
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quote#267
Posted: 10/12/2013 3:39:19 AM
Not sure how FLA was the play when the NYI were the biggest dog.
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#268
Posted: 10/13/2013 12:57:12 AM
i played buffalo today 
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#269
Posted: 10/14/2013 1:53:11 PM
yesterday was florida and lost,, and today i was watching  detroit line it was 141 just 20 min before the game ..i just saw, it closed 152 .i have to wait for edmonton
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quote#270
Posted: 10/14/2013 7:11:29 PM
edmonton closed 152 no play ,,its dificult  to play when the lines are so close to eachother
JEFFTHEHAT PM JEFFTHEHAT
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quote#271
Posted: 10/15/2013 12:20:09 AM
Who's line determines te play? Edmonton was biggest dog at most books and Covers.
GreenMachine22 PM GreenMachine22
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quote#272
Posted: 10/15/2013 11:03:36 AM
Get all plays from COVERS. Use the top dog closest to game time.

I am not posting plays because I've been busy.
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ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#273
Posted: 10/15/2013 12:04:50 PM
It closed 152 and after the game started was 154
hawk007 PM hawk007
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quote#274
Posted: 10/15/2013 2:37:03 PM
Chasing 10 games?  That is crazy !

What results would chasing 3 then repeating bring w this system?
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#275
Posted: 10/15/2013 3:03:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hawk007:

Chasing 10 games?  That is crazy !

What results would chasing 3 then repeating bring w this system?

In last years shortened season there would have been 16, 3 game losses betting the top dog if you start a new 3 game chase after each dog win. That's out of the 94 games I tracked from Jan 19 to April 21.

29 dog wins - 17 on A game, 8 on B game, 4 on C game

Assuming 6 units lost on each 3 game chase, that's 96 units. No way you make that up with 29 wins.

This year you'd have 5 dog wins and two 3 game losses already. Down 12 units on the losses, not sure what the gains on the 5 dogs wins would be but it wouldn't make up the 12 units lost.

 

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