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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2011 NCAAF Strategy
BillWag27 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
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#51
Posted: 9/17/2011 12:04:14 AM

Love the work, my brutha!!

Wouldn't it make sense to add the +4 to the line for home field advantage as statfox recommends?

In any event, nice hit on Boise.

BW

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BookieCrusher88 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#52
Posted: 9/18/2011 3:27:04 AM
irage, tailed u on Boise State and Stanford! Unfortunately, that's the only offered games at my book that I can tail. Hope your other plays hit as well!
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#53
Posted: 9/18/2011 4:45:32 PM
Bookie, I'm glad you got something out of your book. I don't bet all the games I post. I usually only pick one or two games. I took Boise, Stanford and Utah. How about that Utah/BYU game. I went the game and sat in the middle of BYU football player friends and family section with my "U" shirt on. Best part about BYU football is fans are always cool. Anyway, another money weekend.

You'll notice the filters aren't working. I am working to adjust them. I am simply watching games and looking for advantages. RPI system doesn't appear to work very well so far.

RPI SYSTEM

RPI Home: 38
RPI Visitor: 40

Filter: Sept 01 = H32 V39
Filter: Sept 03 = H38 V40
Filter: Sept 03 = No lines greater than -35
Filter: Sept 09 = Double Ott match ups take the home team


11 - 3 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - MISSISSIPPI ST. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - UTAH +4.5 WIN
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RealityCheck1 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#54
Posted: 9/18/2011 6:09:51 PM
Yeah the linesmakers have the spreads all over at the start of the season with good teams playing crap teams.  Some teams cover with ease and others can't or won't. I would have to think the rpi would be good during conference play as the spreads will come down and good teams are willing to make more of a statement against a conference rival.  Like Auburn only lost ats to 1 conference opponenet last year.
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#55
Posted: 9/18/2011 8:18:45 PM
Nice work Irage, I don't post very often but I've been following you for awhile now, mostly in the MLB forum with bettor.  Just wanted to drop in and compliment your fine work, I'll be tailing your CFB this year.  Keep up the good work brother
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#56
Posted: 9/19/2011 1:47:01 PM

Thanks, I am just trying to find a way to consistently win at football. Specifically college football. I won't bet NFL anymore.

Hopefully between NCAAF, NBA and MLB we could all quit our day jobs.

I appreciate any feedback. This forum has been great, with people focused on making money. Thats why we are here....right?

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#57
Posted: 9/19/2011 2:03:51 PM

With the NBA on lockout and all the crazy things I've seen over the years, think SA losing to MEM last year in the playoffs and not covering one game.  I'm cutting it down to MLB and NHL as both sports make up a full year.  Don't expect to quit my day job betting as any strategy can go south in a hurry.

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#58
Posted: 9/21/2011 12:27:18 AM
A pipe dream, but with out dreams you don't have garbage.
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#59
Posted: 9/21/2011 2:16:15 AM
lol.. u posted TCU, but you didn't play that game... Ur funny
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#60
Posted: 9/21/2011 4:21:43 AM
Any plays irage? I'm really hoping the plays you make this week, my book would offer them.
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irage
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#61
Posted: 9/21/2011 11:46:34 PM
Here a couple I am looking at it. I am ranking them in order of best to worst. These are not final, except for BYU.

1. BYU -2.5 = BYU will bounce back after their embarrassing loss to Utah.
2. Missouri +22
3. Tulsa +31.5
4. Wisconsin (H62)
5. Ohio St. -22
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#62
Posted: 9/23/2011 7:47:43 AM
Looking for your officials IRAGE ? Let's get the money!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#63
Posted: 9/23/2011 2:29:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Looking for your officials IRAGE ? Let's get the money!
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irage
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#64
Posted: 9/23/2011 7:06:23 PM
BYU is official for tonight.

I will have the rest soon.
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#65
Posted: 9/23/2011 8:01:41 PM
11 - 3 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 -  BYU -2.5 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - PENDING
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - PENDING

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - MISSISSIPPI ST. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - UTAH +4.5 WIN
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irage
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#66
Posted: 9/24/2011 12:28:32 AM
Well that's the right way to start to the weekend. Bounce back game. I guarantee Bronco was not going to let his players embarrass him again. Lets hope that Missouri shows up tomorrow.
They have a tough matchup, but they have the talent. I do have an unofficial play. Utah State has been playing excellent football. The only problem I have is the line is right on the money.

12 - 3 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - PENDING
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - PENDING

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - MISSISSIPPI ST. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - UTAH +4.5 WIN
Sept 24 - UTAH ST. -10.5 PENDING
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#67
Posted: 9/24/2011 4:54:01 AM
BYU
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#68
Posted: 9/24/2011 4:56:56 AM
Dang! My sportsbook doesn't offer even 1 of your pending bets for tomorrow. Goodluck on your plays tomorrow irage!
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irage
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#69
Posted: 9/24/2011 10:13:28 AM
Hey Bookie,

Have you considered an offshore book like Intertops, Sportsbook or BetUS?
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#70
Posted: 9/24/2011 10:42:30 AM
I have a quick question.
Would your strategy work with labby or a 3 step martingale?
I appreciate your work!
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#71
Posted: 9/24/2011 11:30:35 AM
i got WISCONSIN AT  - 45 ouch
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irage
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#72
Posted: 9/24/2011 1:47:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by speedemon:

I have a quick question.
Would your strategy work with labby or a 3 step martingale?
I appreciate your work!


Indeed it might. We should try that.
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irage
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#73
Posted: 9/24/2011 1:48:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Scotte:

i got WISCONSIN AT  - 45 ouch


My line was at 38, 45 is a MONSTER number, but well within reach.
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irage
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#74
Posted: 9/24/2011 6:42:51 PM
Wisconsin nailing it at 49. Wisconsin is not a team that lets up. They play all the way until the game ends.

That's another winner boys.
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#75
Posted: 9/24/2011 9:48:39 PM
You are killing it so far,  Nice picks Irage! 

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