2011 NCAAF Strategy

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 2 of 16 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2011 NCAAF Strategy
TheBuddah PM TheBuddah
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 1447
Virginia
 
TheBuddah
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/8/2011 5:53:15 PM
the best thing about stat fox - they provide data in terms of home and away.....that is very important, especially regarding college basketball. It's amazing to me how many people look at cbs sports (home of the ncaa) and other sites and are looking at data that isn't truly representative of where they are playing - home or away but rather a cumulative average. Statfox seems to be very under the radar.
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1291
 
BookieCrusher88
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/9/2011 3:50:10 AM
Is the Missouri game you're talking about  Missouri @ Arizona State? It's Missouri+8.5 in covers. Is that what you're taking irage?
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2525
Michigan
 
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/9/2011 5:57:25 PM
Is Mizzou an official play IRAGE?
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1291
 
BookieCrusher88
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/10/2011 2:59:14 AM
Any plays for tomorrow irage? Wasn't able to pull the trigger since I wasn't sure if you're on Missouri cause you said -7.
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2525
Michigan
 
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/10/2011 6:13:44 PM
IRAGE    its saturday where did you go???
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/11/2011 3:55:01 PM
Sorry guys, fishing was prime this weekend so I took off and went camping on Thursday and just got back to watch NFL. Sorry I didn't make these official, however I am still counting them because I placed the bets on them before I left. When the fish are biting you just gotta go. I will do my best to make them official before the weekend.

Missouri -7.5 - WINNER
Stanford WINNER
USC - WINNER
N. Illinois - LOSS
Arkansas - WINNER

I remember reading some post in the general section about some guy claiming the Ball St. was an awesome play and they are much better than S. Florida. When I read that post I couldn't stop laughing and dropped a dime on S. Florida. Ball St. got crushed.
Keano PM Keano
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 1410
United States
 
Keano
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/11/2011 4:17:11 PM
This system looks promising so far, keep it up.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/11/2011 5:00:50 PM
Some bugs to work out, but 4-1 two weeks in a row, I will take it.

The real test comes in weeks 4 - 8.
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1291
 
BookieCrusher88
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/11/2011 5:36:24 PM
Got anything going with NFL irage? My NFL bets are getting crushed.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/11/2011 10:57:53 PM
Bookie,

Sorry brotha, I suck at NFL.
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1291
 
BookieCrusher88
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/11/2011 11:46:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by irage:

Bookie,

Sorry brotha, I suck at NFL.


My local sportsbook doesn't offer a lot for NCAAF darn it! Really thought I can tail u but as it turns out I can't. Good thing Cowboys covered tonight otherwise I'd be beat for the night really bad.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/12/2011 11:12:14 PM
RPI SYSTEM

RPI Home: 38
RPI Visitor: 40

Filter: Sept 01 = H32 V39
Filter: Sept 03 = H38 V40
Filter: Sept 03 = No lines greater than -35
Filter: Sept 09 = Double Ott match ups take the home team


8 - 2 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN

Games looking at for WEEK 3

1. Stanford -10 (-20) V24 - Solid football
2. Temple +2 (+9.5) (H-06) - Great position for Temple
3. Alabama -45.5 (H45) ***** Warning on spreads wider than 35 considering take N. Texas to cover.
4. Utah +4.5 - Tough loss against a good USC game, much better than BYU. Always a good rivalry.
5. Nevada -6.5 (-23) V27 - Simply under rated team against a San Jose team that is awful.
6. New Mexico St. +9.5 - Not the best match up, but NMST is not as bad as I thought. TIVO'd the game and can honestly say they have good play calling and solid execution. Against UTEP I think they have a good chance.

Oregon
Boise St. -19 (-25) V29
Connecticut -5 (-12) V8
Colorado -8  (-16) H16
Illinois +1 (-5) (H-01)
UTEP ? (-9) V13 ****** New Mexico St.
TCU -28.5 (-42) H58 *******
UCF -4 -10 V14
Troy +24
Tennessee +9.5

I'll narrow down this list before Thursday.
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1291
 
BookieCrusher88
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/13/2011 1:59:52 AM
You're on a roll irage! Damn my book doesn't have all NCAAF games offered.
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1291
 
BookieCrusher88
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/13/2011 9:52:49 AM
You bet on any other sports irage aside from NCAAF? As of now I mean.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/13/2011 7:12:42 PM
Post Season Baseball and NCAAF. No NFL, I hate losing money.
dadecounty305 PM dadecounty305
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 60
Florida
 
dadecounty305
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/13/2011 7:49:09 PM

good

 

glefkb01 PM glefkb01
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2525
Michigan
 
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/13/2011 8:43:24 PM
Post season around 15 days away
BookieCrusher88 PM BookieCrusher88
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 1291
 
BookieCrusher88
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/14/2011 4:01:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by irage:

Post Season Baseball and NCAAF. No NFL, I hate losing money.


Okay bro! Where would you post your post season MLB palys? New thread or just post it here? Lost on the stupid Phillies again. How the hell can the worst team beat the best team.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/14/2011 11:12:39 PM
Yeah, I will post it here. I think B2W will also have some post BB plays.

Really easy. Once teams are close enough to grab a playoff spot, they start sub'ing players to allow better players time to rest. This is why we stop betting at the end of Aug. Discipline my friend.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/14/2011 11:39:07 PM
OK guys here are my official plays for the weekend.

FRIDAY
1. Boise St. -19 (-25) V29

SATURDAY
2. TCU -28.5 (-42) H58
3. Temple +7.5 (+9.5) (H-06) - Great position for Temple
4. Stanford -10 (-20) V24 - Solid football

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Mississippi St. +3
Utah +4.5 - Tough loss against a good USC game, much better than BYU. Always a good rivalry.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/15/2011 10:03:44 PM
RPI SYSTEM

RPI Home: 38
RPI Visitor: 40

Filter: Sept 01 = H32 V39
Filter: Sept 03 = H38 V40
Filter: Sept 03 = No lines greater than -35
Filter: Sept 09 = Double Ott match ups take the home team


8 - 2 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 PENDING
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) PENDING
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) PENDING
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) PENDING

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - MISSISSIPPI ST. +3 PENDING
Sept 17 - UTAH +4.5 PENDING
ESPNTED PM ESPNTED
Joined: Jul 2007
Posts: 1433
California
 
ESPNTED
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/16/2011 2:14:02 AM
Irag, thanks for your hard work. 1 question, record 8-2 but you have Stanford -30 won and Stanford (v39) won , what is v39? Thanks
Posted using a mobile device.
glefkb01 PM glefkb01
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 2525
Michigan
 
glefkb01
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/16/2011 7:29:59 AM
V stands for visiting cause boise is at Toledo
39 is the RPI RATING
SPREAD IS -19 isn't it?
Posted using a mobile device.
irage PM irage
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 4125
Utah
 
irage
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/16/2011 5:13:17 PM
Correct amondo!
d0ggiestyle PM d0ggiestyle
Joined: Nov 2010
Posts: 102
Hawaii
 
d0ggiestyle
Participation Meter
Posted: 9/16/2011 10:44:45 PM
TD UCONN!!!
Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 2 of 16 «  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.