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Post All-Star Home System

Forum: Systems & Strategies Page 41 of 46 «  39 40 41 42 43   »
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Post All-Star Home System
therealdutch PM therealdutch
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quote#1001
Posted: 8/4/2017 11:39:57 PM
cleared game 4 w/ HOU.  nothing until the 7th, right?
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1002
Posted: 8/5/2017 12:26:42 AM
Nationals on the 7th. Diamondbacks on the 8th.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1003
Posted: 8/5/2017 1:40:13 AM
Houston wins on double dip game 4 and are done. 

Double dip record: 6-0

Since tracking: 99-0

  • A:  3-4
  • B:  1-2   
  • C:  1-1
  • D:  1-0
  • E:  0-0
rayfinkle005 PM rayfinkle005
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quote#1004
Posted: 8/7/2017 4:18:59 PM
Holy moly, what do you do for the Nats game today since they are a whopping -305? Do you take the -1.5 RL for -145? That -305 is a lot of juice to lay down.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1005
Posted: 8/7/2017 5:25:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rayfinkle005:

Holy moly, what do you do for the Nats game today since they are a whopping -305? Do you take the -1.5 RL for -145? That -305 is a lot of juice to lay down.


I took the RL, not laying that juice.
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Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1006
Posted: 8/7/2017 10:18:59 PM
Washington double dip A game Tuesday.
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CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1007
Posted: 8/8/2017 6:16:25 AM
Nationals clear on Game 1.  Diamondbacks up Tuesday against sizzling Dodgers.

2017 Record: 10-0
Game 1 wins - 7
Game 2 wins - 2
Game 3 wins - 1 

Record since tracking started in 1999: 573-1
506 wins within first two games
therealdutch PM therealdutch
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quote#1008
Posted: 8/8/2017 10:30:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CKP22:

Nationals clear on Game 1.  Diamondbacks up Tuesday against sizzling Dodgers.

2017 Record: 10-0
Game 1 wins - 7
Game 2 wins - 2
Game 3 wins - 1 

Record since tracking started in 1999: 573-1
506 wins within first two games


LAD, CUBS, HOU is a ROUGH 10-game stretch.  at least ARI will be the dog in the first 2 or 3, so shouldn't be too expensive going into the cubs series should they be swept by the dodgers.
grabbitt PM grabbitt
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quote#1009
Posted: 8/8/2017 11:28:10 AM
I see that the Texas Rangers are the only loss this system had - are there any modifications that people are using to account for the dreaded losing streak that kills your bankroll??  For example, I saw someone mention they use a labby line and never chase past a game 3 loss.  Would love to hear any ideas
therealdutch PM therealdutch
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quote#1010
Posted: 8/8/2017 12:26:34 PM
when the LAD lost 2 in a row to the braves, there was big juice involved on game 3, so i used a sort of modified labby, i generally chase the ML to cover, so i laid off a little in that game and bet more the next 2 to claw back. 

bankroll management is crucial in a chase system.  I don't mind giving a little back to my books every now and then, especially in a successful system like this.  just keeps them from squeezing me or putting a cap on my single game limit if they realize i'm chasing.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1011
Posted: 8/9/2017 12:45:00 AM
Washington double dip B game and AZ double dip A game on Wednesday.  
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1012
Posted: 8/9/2017 10:13:48 AM
Diamondbacks clear Game 1.

2017 Record: 11-0
Game 1 wins - 8
Game 2 wins - 2
Game 3 wins - 1 

Record since tracking started in 1999: 574-1
507 wins within first two games
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1013
Posted: 8/9/2017 10:50:56 AM
Are you betting Washington m/l or r/l today for the double dip B game?
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1014
Posted: 8/9/2017 11:41:26 AM
I'm going ML.
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Irish7878 PM Irish7878
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quote#1015
Posted: 8/9/2017 5:00:34 PM
ML always for me - this system is built on winning, not by how much these top teams win by.  Accordingly, its important to manage the Game A wagers properly.  I assume 3 losses minimum, especially with homestands like the D-backs are having now.  When juice is high, still manage money properly.  The system speaks for itself.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1016
Posted: 8/10/2017 12:36:54 AM
Washington wins on double dip B game. They have 6 games remaining so we go to A game Thursday. 

AZ loses on double dip A game, B game Thursday. 
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1017
Posted: 8/10/2017 9:26:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Irish7878:

ML always for me - this system is built on winning, not by how much these top teams win by.  Accordingly, its important to manage the Game A wagers properly.  I assume 3 losses minimum, especially with homestands like the D-backs are having now.  When juice is high, still manage money properly.  The system speaks for itself.

Exactly.
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1018
Posted: 8/11/2017 9:28:29 AM
Hi Dan,

So according to your post at the beginning of the year you aren't entering a 3 game chase. So are done with AZ now? or betting them again in some fashion? ...they only have 5 games remaining at home.

CKP22: Nothing else for today correct?

Thx
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1019
Posted: 8/11/2017 9:48:29 AM
For Friday on the double dip, AZ game 3. Washington won on Thursday and have 5 games left. A game Friday. 

Note on the system, I forgot that I use 5 games as the double dip criteria, so will use that starting here. Cost us a couple plays earlier, but we will just move forward using 5. 

As for the question in the post above, we chase AZ until they win 1 or until lose 5 in a row on this home stand. We don't stop in the middle of a chase based on games remaining. 
grabbitt PM grabbitt
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quote#1020
Posted: 8/11/2017 11:26:39 AM
It's 5 games for the double dip but 6 games for starting a regular home stand chase?
Nuscas PM Nuscas
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quote#1021
Posted: 8/11/2017 11:38:46 AM
Thanks Dan.

I was more referring to you saying earlier you would be resetting your chase on games 3 and 4, therefore taking a loss on AZ after their two losses. Quote #936 of this thread.

Or are you not doing that any longer?
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1022
Posted: 8/11/2017 11:53:54 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Nuscas:

Thanks Dan.

I was more referring to you saying earlier you would be resetting your chase on games 3 and 4, therefore taking a loss on AZ after their two losses. Quote #936 of this thread.

Or are you not doing that any longer?

Understand. I adjust according to lines on games lost and next game. Since AZ was a dog both losses, I'm rolling on to a game 3.

Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1023
Posted: 8/11/2017 12:54:22 PM
Updated double dip record

Double dip record: 8-0

Since tracking: 101-0

  • A:  4-5
  • B:  2-3   
  • C:  1-1 (AZ pending)
  • D:  1-0
  • E:  0-0
CKP22 PM CKP22
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quote#1024
Posted: 8/11/2017 4:41:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Nuscas:

Hi Dan,

So according to your post at the beginning of the year you aren't entering a 3 game chase. So are done with AZ now? or betting them again in some fashion? ...they only have 5 games remaining at home.

CKP22: Nothing else for today correct?

Thx

Next post All-Star system play is next week.
Danrules24 PM Danrules24
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quote#1025
Posted: 8/13/2017 1:21:14 AM
Saturday results on double dip had AZ win on D game and Wash win on A game. Both are done. 
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