Post All-Star Home System

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Post All-Star Home System
CKP22 PM CKP22
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Posted: 7/11/2012 6:37:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Luckydan:

2012 teams that qualify are:

NYY
Texas
LAA
Washington
Pittsburgh

SF is 10 games over at home this year but not overall. Last year Washington was 10 games over at home at the break but not overall. They proved to be a winning wager using this system. SF should be a consideration especially with that staff.

Good Luck.


Yep, those are the teams. Never thought the Pirates would qualify.
gbpackman PM gbpackman
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Posted: 7/11/2012 7:38:30 PM

SF has very good pitching except for Lincecum, but he should come around.

idiot_savant PM idiot_savant
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Posted: 7/11/2012 10:54:26 PM
after doing the research, and counting the giants in the above list, there would be 36 total plays this year. Thinking I'm gonna jump onto this system. Some series go as far as 10+ games. Can't see any of these teams going on a losing streak like that at home.
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/12/2012 1:22:24 AM
It's a lot of juice - I would look for some filters - since these teams are heavy favorites to begin with I would look at L10 or Last 7 stats - if you avoid teams on a cold streak - you may be able to go with a 2 or 3 game chase and not risk ruin on a cold team
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deland PM deland
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Posted: 7/12/2012 3:05:55 AM

Hi CKP22

Is correct that the system is to play the following teams when playing at home for at least three games?

NYY
Texas
LAA
Washington
Pittsburgh

CKP22 PM CKP22
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Posted: 7/12/2012 7:32:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by deland:

Hi CKP22

Is correct that the system is to play the following teams when playing at home for at least three games?

NYY
Texas
LAA
Washington
Pittsburgh



It's when starting a homestand of at least six games.  However, I chase these teams for four games, then end it. 

This fact is true about the six-game chase: Since I started tracking in 1999, it never has lost.
deland PM deland
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Posted: 7/13/2012 5:40:54 AM
Today game NYY
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nickjr PM nickjr
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Posted: 7/13/2012 9:52:28 AM

I only have 23 plays for this system.

Tex: July 23 , Aug 20 , Sept 11 , Sept 24

Wash: July 17 , July 31 , Aug 17 , Aug 30 , Sept 18

Nyy: July 13 , July 27 , Aug 13 , Aug 27 , Sept 14

Pitt: July 20 , Aug 6 , Aug 24 , Sept 3 , Sept 28

LAA: July 20 , Aug 10 , Sept 7, Sept 19

These are the starting dates I have for the 5 teams on the post all star system of six home games or more.... in a above post somebody said 27 plays. I only have 23 ??? did i miss something

CKP22 PM CKP22
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Posted: 7/13/2012 10:09:22 AM
For those interested. Here are the numbers since I started tracking the system in 1999.

            Record   GM 1     GM 2    GM 3    GM 4    GM 5    GM 6
2011   24-0            15        7         2
2010   44-0            24      11         7            2
2009   26-0            13      10         1            2
2008   30-0            21        7         2
2007   32-0            21        5         4            1           1
2006   28-0           16         8         4
2005   31-0           15       12         4
2004   21-0            9        11         1
2003   36-0           25         5         5                         1
2002   41-0           24       12         4           1
2001   45-0           22       19         3                         1
2000   33-0           17        11        3           2
1999   36-0           28         6         1                         1 TOTAL  428-0                 251     124       42         8          4    1


CannedGoods PM CannedGoods
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Posted: 7/13/2012 10:18:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nickjr:

I only have 23 plays for this system.

Tex: July 23 , Aug 20 , Sept 11 , Sept 24

Wash: July 17 , July 31 , Aug 17 , Aug 30 , Sept 18

Nyy: July 13 , July 27 , Aug 13 , Aug 27 , Sept 14

Pitt: July 20 , Aug 6 , Aug 24 , Sept 3 , Sept 28

LAA: July 20 , Aug 10 , Sept 7, Sept 19

These are the starting dates I have for the 5 teams on the post all star system of six home games or more.... in a above post somebody said 27 plays. I only have 23 ??? did i miss something



You forgot to include the "unofficial" San Francisco.

Also, LAD qualifies as "unofficial" as they are 11 games above .500 @ home.  I like their team especially since they're starting to get healthy.
CKP22 PM CKP22
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Posted: 7/13/2012 10:21:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CannedGoods:



You forgot to include the "unofficial" San Francisco.

Also, LAD qualifies as "unofficial" as they are 11 games above .500 @ home.  I like their team especially since they're starting to get healthy.



It's only teams who are 10 games over .500 overall.  I don't track any other teams.  I have the skeds for each team the rest of the way but don't have time to post this morning.

Yankees do start today.

CannedGoods PM CannedGoods
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Posted: 7/13/2012 10:24:57 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CKP22:




It's only teams who are 10 games over .500 overall.  I don't track any other teams.  I have the skeds for each team the rest of the way but don't have time to post this morning.

Yankees do start today.



Well that's what LuckyDan said.  SF is 10+ @ home; last year WAS was 10+ at home and kept the system perfect...something to maybe consider.
Luckydan PM Luckydan
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Posted: 7/13/2012 12:31:28 PM
It is CPK22's system. I only mentioned that Washington won last year being 10 games over at the break at home, and not 10 games overall. SF is in the same position this year. I overlooked LAD this year.

It was intended for consideration only. Hard to deviate from a trend that is spotless since 1999.

Good Luck. 
idiot_savant PM idiot_savant
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Posted: 7/13/2012 7:00:44 PM
Running this system with you, let's keep the streak going this year!
zcecil PM zcecil
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Posted: 7/14/2012 12:52:45 PM
1-0 
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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Posted: 7/15/2012 12:19:48 PM
Anybody have the stats for a home stand of 6 games or more AND after the initial game of the home stand the home team wins and there are 5 games left (or more), is it worth chasing AGAIN? Gracious.
hardyvault PM hardyvault
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Posted: 7/15/2012 4:17:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bettor2win:

Anybody have the stats for a home stand of 6 games or more AND after the initial game of the home stand the home team wins and there are 5 games left (or more), is it worth chasing AGAIN? Gracious.


2011, chasing 2nd win for the homestand...
Official                                     Un-official (home record)
Red Sox 3-0                            Yankees 4-0
Rangers 4-0                            Brewers  5-0
Phillies   3-1 (b2b 4 GM series, went 1-7)
Braves   4-0
Giants    4-0
CKP22 PM CKP22
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Posted: 7/17/2012 7:23:03 AM
System starts today on Nationals.
deland PM deland
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Posted: 7/17/2012 8:09:37 AM
WAS  
bettor2win PM bettor2win
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Posted: 7/17/2012 8:57:32 AM
Amen! Go Nats!
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DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/17/2012 9:35:07 PM
Freakin' Mets - F'N stink up the joint when I bet em - but the second I need them to be....well the Mets...they pull off this crap top of the 9th
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bettor2win PM bettor2win
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Posted: 7/17/2012 10:34:22 PM
WAY to go NATS!!!! CKP, you deserve a reach around...
wdtemacg PM wdtemacg
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Posted: 7/17/2012 10:39:19 PM
I missed the first game on the 13th so jumped in tonight. What a crazy behind ballgame, enough to make me a believer
DegenGamble PM DegenGamble
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Posted: 7/17/2012 10:53:37 PM
Wooohoooo - love "A" game wins!!!!!
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CKP22 PM CKP22
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Posted: 7/18/2012 7:41:44 AM
Series starting Friday with Pirates and Angels.
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