Messages

Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA Situation and NHL Defence Power Rating
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#1
Posted: 2/9/2011 7:00:54 PM
God damn it.
I spent one hour writing but managed to screw it up.
Have to wait until tomorrow....
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#2
Posted: 2/9/2011 7:01:55 PM

NBA 2/9

NHL 2/9

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#3
Posted: 2/9/2011 8:47:16 PM

System xplanation:

NHL:

Based enteraly on DEFENCE and how many goals they are projected to ALLOW.

For example: Montreal at Boston tonight.
Boston is projected to allow 1 goal, while Montreal are projected to allow 3 goals.

Montreal are 3-11 this season when they allow 3 goals and 20-46 last 3.

Boston are 16-0 when they allow 1 goal this season and 67-5 last 3.
26-5 when its 2 goals or less this season 107-26 last 3.

So basiclly when it comes to Favorites  they should be projected to score at least 3.00 goals while allowing no more  than 2.40.
Underdogs to score at least 2.50 and allowing no more than 0.4 goals than scoring.

One more rule, no play on favorites if line is more than -155.

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#4
Posted: 2/10/2011 5:16:24 PM

NBA:

When it comes to NBA it's pretty much the same, but there I use different numbers, for example :

87 to 92 points
93 to 98 points
99 to 104 points
105 to 109 points

After that looking for trends favoring a win also.

Stickin to games with a range of +5.5 to -5.5 unless heavy difference.

When it comes to NCAAB same story but totals.

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#5
Posted: 2/10/2011 6:02:27 PM

NHL is 25-13 (13,98 units) so far this month for US Bettor and couple of units better for bettors that can use a bookie like Pinnacle.

Get todays plays here

quote
bold27
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
bold27
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Mar 2010
Posts: 11762
Location: Canada
#6
Posted: 2/11/2011 3:22:50 PM
INTERESTING
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#7
Posted: 2/11/2011 3:26:12 PM

27-13 (+16,03 units)

Get todays NHL plays here

NBA & NCAAB

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#8
Posted: 2/12/2011 12:13:30 PM

27-15 (+16,28 units) for NHL

3-1 (+1,90 units) for NBA

Think Im going to skip NCAAB plays.

Get todays NHL plays here

NBA plays will be posted later.

Matchups can be found on my blog.

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#9
Posted: 2/12/2011 5:32:37 PM
Saturday NBA
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#10
Posted: 2/13/2011 1:29:12 PM
2/13 NHL
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#11
Posted: 2/14/2011 5:46:38 AM

Results:

NHL: 32-17 (+17,38 units)
NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

quote
kljmd007
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
kljmd007
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 105
Location: Alabama
#12
Posted: 2/14/2011 9:09:32 AM

Fairly new to hockey betting....when you say 'projected' to score so many goals, what are you using to make your projection??  Is it a teams goal avg at home or on road, or that plus playing on that particular day of the week?? Do you use sportsbook or another source for your stats??

quote
kreatture send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
kreatture
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 2312
Location: Nova Scotia
#13
Posted: 2/14/2011 9:46:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Societic-Hustle:

Results:

NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

 What are you betting, like 40 Units per game??

quote
Mizunomp60 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportingbet.com |
Mizunomp60
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 25
Location: Denmark
#14
Posted: 2/14/2011 11:51:00 AM
what a record!!

are you able to give an example to me.

for example the canucks at Blues?

i'm not sure i understand yoursystem 100 %, so i'll appreciate if you do it :)
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#15
Posted: 2/14/2011 1:07:26 PM

Lol, NBA is supposed to be +0.4 Units


Get todays NHL plays here

I'm little bizzy today, but I'm going to re-write the original explanation that I fucked up.

Someone pick a game for tomorrow and I will totally explain the system based on that game.

I can  tell you until then that projection of goals is not based on offence, avg shot or goals on the road.
It's the opposite, this si whats so perfect with the system.

I take a look at how many shots, for example St Louis allows opponets to take when they play at home.

In this example 28.3 shots and they allow avg. 2.5 goals.
This means they allow one goal per 11.32 shots.

Vancovers makes avg. 33.2 shots on the road, which means 33.2 shots / 11.32 = 2.98 goals

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#16
Posted: 2/14/2011 1:17:52 PM

NBA dogs is about a math formula based on team's season-to-date averages of points scored and points allowed.

Same one they use in Las Vegas before the make changes for like injuries, winning/losing streaks or b2b games.

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#17
Posted: 2/14/2011 2:31:21 PM
NBA Dogs
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#18
Posted: 2/15/2011 4:59:30 PM
NHL 2/15
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#19
Posted: 2/16/2011 2:12:08 PM
NHL 2/16
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#20
Posted: 2/18/2011 1:25:19 PM

NHL February record: 38 - 25 (+ 14.53 units)

Get todays plays here

quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#21
Posted: 2/19/2011 2:01:19 PM
NHL 2/19
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#22
Posted: 2/20/2011 12:16:03 PM
NHL 2/20
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#23
Posted: 2/21/2011 1:05:37 PM
NHL 2/21
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#24
Posted: 2/22/2011 1:44:13 PM
NHL 2/22
quote
Societic-Hustle send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
Societic-Hustle
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 763
Location:
#25
Posted: 2/23/2011 5:14:52 PM

NHL 2/23

?Memphis Grizzlies -3
?New Orleans Hornets -7
Houston Rockets -6

quote
Forum Index : Systems & Strategies : Messages Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.