NBA Situation and NHL Defence Power Rating

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA Situation and NHL Defence Power Rating
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/9/2011 7:00:54 PM
God damn it.
I spent one hour writing but managed to screw it up.
Have to wait until tomorrow....
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/9/2011 7:01:55 PM

NBA 2/9

NHL 2/9

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/9/2011 8:47:16 PM

System xplanation:

NHL:

Based enteraly on DEFENCE and how many goals they are projected to ALLOW.

For example: Montreal at Boston tonight.
Boston is projected to allow 1 goal, while Montreal are projected to allow 3 goals.

Montreal are 3-11 this season when they allow 3 goals and 20-46 last 3.

Boston are 16-0 when they allow 1 goal this season and 67-5 last 3.
26-5 when its 2 goals or less this season 107-26 last 3.

So basiclly when it comes to Favorites  they should be projected to score at least 3.00 goals while allowing no more  than 2.40.
Underdogs to score at least 2.50 and allowing no more than 0.4 goals than scoring.

One more rule, no play on favorites if line is more than -155.

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/10/2011 5:16:24 PM

NBA:

When it comes to NBA it's pretty much the same, but there I use different numbers, for example :

87 to 92 points
93 to 98 points
99 to 104 points
105 to 109 points

After that looking for trends favoring a win also.

Stickin to games with a range of +5.5 to -5.5 unless heavy difference.

When it comes to NCAAB same story but totals.

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/10/2011 6:02:27 PM

NHL is 25-13 (13,98 units) so far this month for US Bettor and couple of units better for bettors that can use a bookie like Pinnacle.

Get todays plays here

bold27 PM bold27
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Posted: 2/11/2011 3:22:50 PM
INTERESTING
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/11/2011 3:26:12 PM

27-13 (+16,03 units)

Get todays NHL plays here

NBA & NCAAB

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/12/2011 12:13:30 PM

27-15 (+16,28 units) for NHL

3-1 (+1,90 units) for NBA

Think Im going to skip NCAAB plays.

Get todays NHL plays here

NBA plays will be posted later.

Matchups can be found on my blog.

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/12/2011 5:32:37 PM
Saturday NBA
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/13/2011 1:29:12 PM
2/13 NHL
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/14/2011 5:46:38 AM

Results:

NHL: 32-17 (+17,38 units)
NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

kljmd007 PM kljmd007
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Posted: 2/14/2011 9:09:32 AM

Fairly new to hockey betting....when you say 'projected' to score so many goals, what are you using to make your projection??  Is it a teams goal avg at home or on road, or that plus playing on that particular day of the week?? Do you use sportsbook or another source for your stats??

kreatture PM kreatture
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Posted: 2/14/2011 9:46:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Societic-Hustle:

Results:

NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

 What are you betting, like 40 Units per game??

Mizunomp60 PM Mizunomp60
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Posted: 2/14/2011 11:51:00 AM
what a record!!

are you able to give an example to me.

for example the canucks at Blues?

i'm not sure i understand yoursystem 100 %, so i'll appreciate if you do it :)
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/14/2011 1:07:26 PM

Lol, NBA is supposed to be +0.4 Units


Get todays NHL plays here

I'm little bizzy today, but I'm going to re-write the original explanation that I fucked up.

Someone pick a game for tomorrow and I will totally explain the system based on that game.

I can  tell you until then that projection of goals is not based on offence, avg shot or goals on the road.
It's the opposite, this si whats so perfect with the system.

I take a look at how many shots, for example St Louis allows opponets to take when they play at home.

In this example 28.3 shots and they allow avg. 2.5 goals.
This means they allow one goal per 11.32 shots.

Vancovers makes avg. 33.2 shots on the road, which means 33.2 shots / 11.32 = 2.98 goals

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/14/2011 1:17:52 PM

NBA dogs is about a math formula based on team's season-to-date averages of points scored and points allowed.

Same one they use in Las Vegas before the make changes for like injuries, winning/losing streaks or b2b games.

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/14/2011 2:31:21 PM
NBA Dogs
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/15/2011 4:59:30 PM
NHL 2/15
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/16/2011 2:12:08 PM
NHL 2/16
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/18/2011 1:25:19 PM

NHL February record: 38 - 25 (+ 14.53 units)

Get todays plays here

Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/19/2011 2:01:19 PM
NHL 2/19
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/20/2011 12:16:03 PM
NHL 2/20
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/21/2011 1:05:37 PM
NHL 2/21
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/22/2011 1:44:13 PM
NHL 2/22
Societic-Hustle PM Societic-Hustle
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Posted: 2/23/2011 5:14:52 PM

NHL 2/23

?Memphis Grizzlies -3
?New Orleans Hornets -7
Houston Rockets -6

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