Posted: 2/14/2011 1:07:26 PM
Lol, NBA is supposed to be +0.4 Units
Get todays NHL plays here
I'm little bizzy today, but I'm going to re-write the original explanation that I fucked up.
Someone pick a game for tomorrow and I will totally explain the system based on that game.
I can tell you until then that projection of goals is not based on offence, avg shot or goals on the road.
It's the opposite, this si whats so perfect with the system.
I take a look at how many shots, for example St Louis allows opponets to take when they play at home.
In this example 28.3 shots and they allow avg. 2.5 goals.
This means they allow one goal per 11.32 shots.
Vancovers makes avg. 33.2 shots on the road, which means 33.2 shots / 11.32 = 2.98 goals