2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1626
Posted: 11/5/2012 9:20:26 AM

2-5 this week on full games. (5-3 the previous week)

That puts the year for me at 36-36-1. The system is a complete bust!  I don't think it's mathematically possible for it to finish in the green this year. 

I guess this will be the first losing season it's had?

Congrats to everyone who can play half games.  The teams put up such huge leads in the first half that the coaches pull all the starters in the second half.

 

kkirby99 PM kkirby99
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quote#1627
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:06:13 PM
Erb, I had 17-3 on the 1H this week including the Thursday night game. Year is now 110-83 just under 57%. It's actually just a bit better than breakeven for the year after the absolutely horrible start. I think that probably the win % will revert back to at least 60% for the year before the season is over.
ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#1628
Posted: 11/5/2012 12:19:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kkirby99:

Erb, I had 17-3 on the 1H this week including the Thursday night game. Year is now 110-83 just under 57%. It's actually just a bit better than breakeven for the year after the absolutely horrible start. I think that probably the win % will revert back to at least 60% for the year before the season is over.


i had push the thursday night game ,,but the season is closing very nice, i hope we can get above 60% to the end of the season
clem1 PM clem1
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quote#1629
Posted: 11/9/2012 10:57:25 AM
locked in
clem
byu
boise st
tex tech
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1630
Posted: 11/9/2012 2:37:03 PM

clem1, any reason you're not taking Oregon or Florida?

Arz could cross the line too.

So I'm seeing 6 full games for Sat with a possible 7th. 

clem1 PM clem1
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quote#1631
Posted: 11/10/2012 5:44:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NERMAN:

clem1, any reason you're not taking Oregon or Florida?

Arz could cross the line too.

So I'm seeing 6 full games for Sat with a possible 7th. 

added all three - friend request - thnx clem1
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1632
Posted: 11/10/2012 9:28:19 AM
clem1, check ND too.  It crossed the line.  So I've got 8 games today.
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1633
Posted: 11/11/2012 8:01:25 AM

4-4 yesterday -3.2 units  Of course there were several fluke games again this week.  4th down conversions, missed field goals, fumbles, etc.

We continue to pile up the losses.

I'm losing track but believe this is 7 out of 10 losing weeks.

My plays are 40-40-1 on the season.  -33.1 units

 

ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#1634
Posted: 11/11/2012 9:24:50 AM
15-7 1H GREAT AGAIN
kkirby99 PM kkirby99
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quote#1635
Posted: 11/11/2012 10:16:13 AM
1H is 125-90 on the year. 58.1% on the year. Solidly in the black for the year. 1H is the only way to go if you have them available. Proven year after year.
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1636
Posted: 11/12/2012 12:55:45 PM

I thought the full games were proven year after year too?  I need 62% to break even with the way my payout works. 50% is solid red.

Every weekend it's like I'm playing against the system instead of the book!  I should have quit after the first couple losing weeks like I did the last two years.  But no, this is the season I was determined to stick with it...

At least I can be a lesson to others interested in playing that FULL GAMES can have losing seasons.

This is going to sound weird but I still believe in it.  After watching all the games this year there were over 20 games that should have hit.  That would have put it at 60-20-1 on the season.  That would have been a solid 75%.  I plan to play it again next year, if possible.

jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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quote#1637
Posted: 11/12/2012 1:53:43 PM

Finally got a local that allows them, but I was so unsure that I was it right that I didnt take any of the first half bets this weekend. Anyone have a list of the games that were taken first half? I just want to keep track of them since I am finally able to bet them now.

I saw a post that said first halfs went 15-7 this weekend. Thats solid. Any list on the teams?

FFCJ82 PM FFCJ82
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quote#1638
Posted: 11/12/2012 8:02:28 PM
Anyone notice the MNF game tonight is a play?
clem1 PM clem1
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quote#1639
Posted: 11/13/2012 5:14:14 AM
see only 2 this week so far - fla st and nd
dukie1 PM dukie1
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quote#1640
Posted: 11/14/2012 6:25:11 PM
do any site still accept these bets? i was on it when this tread started in 2010 lol...
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1641
Posted: 11/15/2012 2:05:08 PM

Folks should be happy their locals don't allow these plays, lol.  (full games) 

Anyway, I've got Fl St, Boi St & ND this weekend.  Neb & Wash could move past the number.

jaime2309 PM jaime2309
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quote#1642
Posted: 11/15/2012 5:19:42 PM
My book allows it but still doesnt have the lines up. I'm only going to do first halfs.

Anyone locked in any plays for first half?
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1643
Posted: 11/17/2012 7:32:40 PM

0-3 today.  Incredible.  Another -6.6 units bring the year's total to negative 39.7 units.

FSU fumbles running out the clock allowing a BC bomb and cover at the end of the game.

Boise up 35-0 at half but get outscored 14-7 in the second.  I had them -28.5 and they win by 28.

Notre Dame up 31-0 at halftime.  Win the game 38-0.

You can't make this stuff up.

ERBATIZ PM ERBATIZ
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quote#1644
Posted: 11/18/2012 9:14:29 AM
1h, 11-2-1  GREAT, 1 week left

YTD  136-92 ----59.6%
NERMAN PM NERMAN
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quote#1645
Posted: 11/19/2012 10:36:44 AM

9 out of 12 losing weeks on full games.  I want to play this week but the "definition of insanity" keeps coming to mind.  I'm afraid this week might be the dagger to the heart that takes the losses to -50 units. 

I know if I quit it will have a huge week though.  I'll most likely keep going, it's almost the end of the season.  Still debating on whether to cut the wagers in half.

Anybody out there still playing full games?  Am I crazy to even consider it?  Why does Vegas not allow these to be played?

hoop121 PM hoop121
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quote#1646
Posted: 11/19/2012 2:40:10 PM
WHAT I WOULD GIVE TO HAVE A BOOK THAT STILL LET ME DO THIS?!?!?!

This holy grail paid for my truck and my boat. Simply amazing
FFCJ82 PM FFCJ82
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quote#1647
Posted: 11/20/2012 6:21:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NERMAN:

9 out of 12 losing weeks on full games.  I want to play this week but the "definition of insanity" keeps coming to mind.  I'm afraid this week might be the dagger to the heart that takes the losses to -50 units. 

I know if I quit it will have a huge week though.  I'll most likely keep going, it's almost the end of the season.  Still debating on whether to cut the wagers in half.

Anybody out there still playing full games?  Am I crazy to even consider it?  Why does Vegas not allow these to be played?


Not to kick you when you're down but it wasn't this way last year...I have record of it going 61-36-1 last year for a 33u profit. It was just a lousy year for the system with the parity in the game this season...

hoop121 PM hoop121
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quote#1648
Posted: 11/20/2012 6:41:00 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NERMAN:

9 out of 12 losing weeks on full games.  I want to play this week but the "definition of insanity" keeps coming to mind.  I'm afraid this week might be the dagger to the heart that takes the losses to -50 units. 

I know if I quit it will have a huge week though.  I'll most likely keep going, it's almost the end of the season.  Still debating on whether to cut the wagers in half.

Anybody out there still playing full games?  Am I crazy to even consider it?  Why does Vegas not allow these to be played?

only play full games that are between 40% and 60%. maybe that will help you out.

i've stopped tracking them because my book cut me off, but over a 5 year period this system was way way WAY in the money on full games and first halves. not sure what happened this year but i find it hard to believe that it's been a loser.

 

 

hoop121 PM hoop121
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quote#1649
Posted: 11/20/2012 6:48:47 PM

looks like there were two definite wins last weekend with 2 more on the fence based on the line that you got.

make sure you are playing every game that qualifies.

i used to bet small on games from 33-39% and 61-80% and i bet very large on games that were 40-60%

clem1 PM clem1
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quote#1650
Posted: 11/21/2012 6:03:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NERMAN:

9 out of 12 losing weeks on full games.  I want to play this week but the "definition of insanity" keeps coming to mind.  I'm afraid this week might be the dagger to the heart that takes the losses to -50 units. 

I know if I quit it will have a huge week though.  I'll most likely keep going, it's almost the end of the season.  Still debating on whether to cut the wagers in half.

Anybody out there still playing full games?  Am I crazy to even consider it?  Why does Vegas not allow these to be played?

i play the full games 41% and over - even though system is fairing poorly long range it is advantageous - this is a can't lose system and that's why vegas will not accept these bets - gl 5 this week - clem1
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