2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread
coolcat690 PM coolcat690
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quote#126
Posted: 9/19/2010 9:53:25 AM
Nice going so far, I am in Iraq and I don't have the use of a local!! Please PM me if you know of a online book taking these bets, I could really use the extra cash. Thanks
kkirby99 PM kkirby99
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quote#127
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:05:50 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:



my fault TCU was a loser total was set at 56

Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!!

gasman33 PM gasman33
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quote#128
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:19:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JMon:

Are you getting 13/5 (2.6) payouts? 

I was 6-2 +$1,120 

14-3 (82%) +$3,280.00  last 2 weeks.  Missed the first week

 




I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

Yesterday...6-2
...$150X6= $900
...-$220X2= -$440
...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...
JMon PM JMon
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quote#129
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:25:06 AM
Wow...10% juice on a parlay loss.  He is getting you on both ends.
powerade PM powerade
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quote#130
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:26:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CInderellaStory:

Serves me right for playing the games just under the 40% range.  TCU/Baylor, Org St./Lousville, (38% hard to pass)

First halves sucked today.  Hopefully rebound next week

lol its easy to pass....trust me, its doesn't win like 41% and above do

powerade PM powerade
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quote#131
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:27:44 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by gasman33:




I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

Yesterday...6-2
...$150X6= $900
...-$220X2= -$440
...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...

yeah your getting hosed....

i know a bunch of locals....2 team parlay pays 29 for every $11

powerade PM powerade
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quote#132
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:39:07 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by JMon:

Wow...10% juice on a parlay loss.  He is getting you on both ends.

the 10% is normal on a loss I think....

gotta bet increments of 11 with a local, so you lose 110 on a parlay but you should be getting paid 290 on the win
...then minus the 110 loss, +180

MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#133
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:45:01 AM
i got no juice on a parlay loss, if i bet 100 i lose 100, you should be getting juiced on a parlay
MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#134
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:45:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kkirby99:

Depends on when you bet them. They came out at 53.5 total for the game. I had a buddy that played that and collected. Bet those favorite combos early!!



i would love to get on them early but my local goes through an online place that doesnt post totals until the morning of the game...so im stuck playing the waiting gm
MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#135
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:46:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gasman33:




I bet $100 on each parlay ...Book pays 2.6:1 for win and charges 10% juice on loss...so...
...for each WIN I net...$260-110= $150
...for each LOSS I net....$110X2= -$220

Yesterday...6-2
...$150X6= $900
...-$220X2= -$440
...$900-$440= +$460 for the day...


hey at least your +460, better than -460, gotta like that
JMon PM JMon
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quote#136
Posted: 9/19/2010 1:16:19 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

i got no juice on a parlay loss, if i bet 100 i lose 100, you should be getting juiced on a parlay

Yep, same with me. 

MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#137
Posted: 9/19/2010 2:19:35 PM
nfl not looking good, gnna take a miracle...
MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#138
Posted: 9/19/2010 2:27:53 PM
wow, we might pull it off, lol....lookin good now thanks buffalo
MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#139
Posted: 9/19/2010 2:29:31 PM
kkirby99 PM kkirby99
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quote#140
Posted: 9/19/2010 2:50:22 PM
Oh ye of little faith Milky.
MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#141
Posted: 9/19/2010 4:44:02 PM
this system is money on 2nd half plays also. We had one 1st half play and one 2nd half play and both hit. Might want to start looking at them. I didn't pull the trigger on the 2nd half play though already made a nice profit this weekend
MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#142
Posted: 9/19/2010 11:19:13 PM
looking over the early line and we should have about 8 possible plays with spreads of 21or more...
coolcat690 PM coolcat690
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quote#143
Posted: 9/20/2010 1:41:47 AM
Hey Milkman0923 can you PM a book that takes these bets? Thanks and good luck
MILKMAN0923 PM MILKMAN0923
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quote#144
Posted: 9/20/2010 5:57:27 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by coolcat690:

Hey Milkman0923 can you PM a book that takes these bets? Thanks and good luck



sorry man i use a local.  not sure any online books take these...
Rgrwalker PM Rgrwalker
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quote#145
Posted: 9/20/2010 10:02:35 AM
Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?
kkirby99 PM kkirby99
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quote#146
Posted: 9/20/2010 10:41:14 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:

Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?

Not enough. You lose your edge. That's why the online books are OK with it.

Rgrwalker PM Rgrwalker
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quote#147
Posted: 9/20/2010 10:48:02 AM
I was afraid of that. I did it this weekend and hit every one of them, I think I will put some low units on them again this week and hope for that same luck
powerade PM powerade
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quote#148
Posted: 9/20/2010 4:50:53 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Rgrwalker:

Since you can get up to 33% online sportsbook, would it be worth taking those if you can't find a local bookie? How accurate are the 30-33% range?

I wouldn't risk too much....like Kirby said, you are losing the mathematic edge on it

most locals will take these, go find one....ask around if you know other gamblers in your area, or just go to a bar on a sunday and ask around...

I think locals take them partially because they don't know about the advantage of them
and becuase most locals are ego driven, they all think you will lose eventually and they know you will bet it back so they take them

HappyKane PM HappyKane
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quote#149
Posted: 9/20/2010 5:03:52 PM
My local also charge juice on parlays. Its a shame.



They know it doesn't make sense but they do it anyway. They know Vegas doesn't charge juice on parlays but they do it anyway.


Rgrwalker PM Rgrwalker
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quote#150
Posted: 9/20/2010 5:14:33 PM
So to find a local I should go to Buffalo Wild Wings this weekend to watch the games and rub elbows with the people in there drinking and find out who is betting with a local bookie.

lol, man that sounds fun, I could just imagine how this would work out. I just don't see how anyone is going to give up their bookie off a first impression. Hey, I'll damn sure do it though.

What kind of luck could I have had to of hit EVERY SINGLE one of the parlays I picked this weekend?

I think I will play all the 30-33% plays again this weekend and go to BWW to watch how they unfold and try to find me a local bookie.

Thanks for all the help guys
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