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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NCAA Football -6 game chase 3480-1 since 1980
sahlsa send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#151
Posted: 9/11/2012 1:15:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Air1:

and the remaining 48 teams are........drum roll.....?

http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncf/standings/2012-2013/sortable/standings_under.html
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#152
Posted: 9/12/2012 1:20:27 AM

Covers has 53 teams with no overs, I have 48. The 5 different teams were Texas, Wake Forest, NC, Fla Atlantic and Mid Ten St. The overs from my book (Red Rock Casino) were:

9/1 - Texas/Wyoming (52.5) 37-17 OVER (Texas only - covers has Wyoming going over the next week also)

9/8 - Wake Forest/North Carolina (54.5) 28-27 OVER (both teams)

9/8 - Middle Tenn ST/Fla Atlantic (47.5) 31-17 OVER (both teams) 

I will move forward using my 48 since I got them from an actual book.

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#153
Posted: 9/13/2012 5:47:04 PM

Ready for week 3

2 teams will play game 1 (FSU,TCU)

28 teams play game 2 (6 do not play or play a non Div 1 team) GT, VA VTech, Pitt, Rutgers, Purdue, Wis, Kansas, N. Ill, W. Mich, Boise, CO St., Fresno State, NM, Cal, Was St., Utah, Colo, Miss, Miss St, Texas AM, LA-Laf., W. Kentucky, Utah St, SJ St, Idaho, BYU, Army

7 teams play game 3 (5 do not play or play a non Div 1 team) CT, Mich State, Penn State, UTEP, Bowling Green, Florida, Auburn

Teams not qualifying this week game 2 (Cincy, OK, C. Mich, Air Force. HI, Oregon St) Game 3 (Iowa, Tulane, SD St., Wash, Vandy)

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#154
Posted: 9/15/2012 5:18:32 PM
In with you Dan, you're not by yourself.  But Im not on the same volume, so starting with Game 3.
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#155
Posted: 9/16/2012 12:37:31 AM
Went with 8 Games, 3 Game 3s and 5 Game 2s. 
I went 2-1 with Game 3 and 3-2 with Game 2s.

Definately something I will continue next Saturday.
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#156
Posted: 9/16/2012 3:32:20 AM

Week 3 results (48 team left to start week 3):

Game 1: 1 win (FSU), 1 loss (TCU)

Game 2: 20 wins - Ga Tech, Virginia, Va Tech, Pitt, Purdue, N. Ill, Colo St, Fresno St, New Mexico, Cal, Wash St, Utah, Colo, Miss, Lou-Lafayette, W. Kentucky, SJ State, Idaho, BYU, Army

Game 2: 8 losses - Rutgers, Wisconsin, Kansas, W. Michigan, Boise State, Miss St, Texas A&M, Utah St.

Game 2 DNP: 6 - Cincy, Oklahoma, C. Michigan, Air Force, Hawaii, Oregon State

Game 3: 4 Wins - Conn, UTEP, Florida, Auburn

Game 3: 3 losses - Penn State, Michigan State, Bowling Green

Game3 DNP: 5 - Iowa, Tulane, SD State, Washington, Vandy

Totals - 101 wins, 23 teams remain - 7 on game 2, 13 on game 3, 3 on game 4

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#157
Posted: 9/16/2012 3:39:44 AM

Looking ahead to week 4, we have  23 teams left.

7 teams on game 2 - TCU, Cincy, Oklahoma, C. Michigan, Air Force, Hawaii, Oregon St.

13 on game 3 - Rutgers, Wisconsin, Kansas, W. Michigan, Boise St, Miss St, Texas A&M, Utah St., Iowa, Tulane, SD State, Washington, Vandy

3 on game 4 (switching to UNDER) - Penn State, Michigan State, Bowling Green

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#158
Posted: 9/16/2012 11:07:44 AM
Hey Danrules, adding you as a friend, have a couple questions via pm.

Thanks again.
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#159
Posted: 9/16/2012 2:53:31 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by orionshadow:

Hey Danrules, adding you as a friend, have a couple questions via pm.

Thanks again.

Accepted.

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#160
Posted: 9/16/2012 8:02:39 PM
By the way, if you did this same thing in the NFL, there would only be 5 teams left - Dallas, AZ, Seattle, NE, Houston after week 3.
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#161
Posted: 9/16/2012 8:04:01 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Danrules24:

By the way, if you did this same thing in the NFL, there would only be 5 teams left - Dallas, AZ, Seattle, NE, Houston after week 3.

Sorry 2 weeks, college on the brain.

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#162
Posted: 9/17/2012 4:54:37 PM
Didnt know this played in NFL as well.
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#163
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:49:01 PM
Cincy has a bye this week. What day do they come out with the o/u lines, normally?
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#164
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:33:50 PM

If Cincy is on a bye, they will pick up with game 2 the following week. My book usually has o/u lines out on Thursday.

Orion - Not sure if this plays with NFL or not, I figured I would just track it. With only 32 teams though I'd imagine you'd want to wager more than your normal unit amount to make it worth your time. That leads to some potential large bets however after a few losses. I used $50 as a unit for NFL rather than $10 for NCAA.

For NCAA I simply used $10 as a unit. Game 1 bet $11 to win $10. If they went to game 2 bet $27.50 to win $25, game 3 is $ to win $50, game 4 is $115.50 to win $105. With those in mind, would have laid out $902 in week 1, $1100 in week 2, $1177 in week 3. Only up $286 right now but if able to clear the rest of the 23 teams, will be up over $1240 (one unit for each of the 124 teams). Since I'm going a little over losses+1 unit each week it will be more than $1240 if all clear.

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#165
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:35:40 PM
game 3 is $55 to win $50.
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#166
Posted: 9/20/2012 1:47:23 PM
Dan the man! Thanks for your hard work and dedication! I decided to skip  the 1st games and start with bets of $11w10 on the 2nd, $27.5w25 on the 3rd and so on. I love this thread!
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#167
Posted: 9/20/2012 3:05:07 PM
So, just to be clear, we should be on Boise for the over tonight?
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#168
Posted: 9/20/2012 3:05:30 PM
or sorry, Boise to cover?
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#169
Posted: 9/20/2012 3:37:34 PM

Per this system Boise State over. I had them at 48.5 at the Station casinos on Tuesday, looks like up to 50 or 50.5 now.

Also, 3 teams this week either have a bye or play a non Div 1 team - Cincy (game 2 next week), Washington and Texas A&M (both game 3 next week).

We have action on 6 teams for Game 2 (OVERS), 11 game 3 (OVERS) and 3 (Penn St, Mich St, Bowling Green) game 4 (UNDERS). Staying with my betting amounts mentioned earlier, $1116.50 outlay for these games.

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#170
Posted: 9/20/2012 7:15:24 PM
Im with you Dan, BoL to the both of us.

Im going off of a $5 unit myself.  so $16.5, $38.50, $82.5 for these games
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#171
Posted: 9/21/2012 12:01:21 AM
Well Boise State will go to next week. Wow, not even close.
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#172
Posted: 9/23/2012 1:05:48 AM
Glad I found this thread for this week.  Keep up the good work Dan.
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#173
Posted: 9/23/2012 2:38:18 AM

Week 4 results (23 teams left to start week 4):

Game 2: 3 wins (C. Michigan, Hawaii, Air Force) 3 losses (TCU, Oklahoma, Oregon State). Cincy did not play/qualify and will be on game 2 next week.

Game 3: 6 wins - (Rutgers, Wisconsin, Kansas, W. Michigan, Iowa, SD State), 4 losses (Boise State, Tulane, Miss St., Utah St)

Washington and Texas A&M either didn't play or didn't qualify and will be on game 3 next week. I also had Vandy as a PUSH so they will stay on game 3 next week.

Game 4: 3 Wins - Penn State, Michigan St., Bowling Green all on Unders.

Week 4 totals - 12 wins, 7 losses, 1 push, 3 DNP.

Overall - 113 wins, 11 teams remain - 1 on game 2, 6 on game 3, 4 on game 4 (switch to under)

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#174
Posted: 9/23/2012 2:51:04 AM
Bottom line after 4 weeks:

I used $10 as a unit. Game 1 bet $11 to win $10. If they went to game 2 bet $27.50 to win $25, game 3 is $55 to win $50, game 4 is $115.50 to win $105. With those in mind, would have laid out $902 in week 1, $1100 in week 2, $1177 in week 3, $1116.50 in week 4. Was up $286 after week 3 and week 4 was a $387.50 profit, so up $673.50 total.

If all 11 teams qualify next week, which they should, the lay out will be $819.50.

Week 5 - Game 2 (Cincy), Game 3 (TCU, Oklahoma, Oregon St., Washington, Texas A&M, Vandy), Game 4 (Boise State, Tulane, Miss St., Utah St)

 

 

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#175
Posted: 9/25/2012 3:49:13 AM

OK and Vandy have byes

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