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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NCAA Football -6 game chase 3480-1 since 1980
Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#226
Posted: 8/31/2013 12:22:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Bet_The_House:

Will you list the game 2 and game 3 etc for us when they play so we don't have to bother tracking? 

Yes, I will post all plays through the conclusion of the system. Will also provide a weekly recap.  
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#227
Posted: 8/31/2013 8:21:53 PM
Thanks Dan
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#228
Posted: 9/1/2013 2:17:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Well we are done.

Game 5 - Vanderbilt 45 under (Wynn) 

Game 6 (final game): TCU 55 under 

123-1 on a 6 game chase. With my betting the system would have been a gain of 44.6 units. Not too bad in 8 weeks.

I've been back testing an idea I have with the NFL for O/U and if it proves playable I will start a new thread. Thanks to Nelsie, the original poster of this thread and system. Might be one I do for real next year.

 

This is what happened to TCU when they went over 3 times to fail the system last year.

TCU (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) was playing without starting quarterback Casey Pachall, who was suspended indefinitely by coach Gary Patterson after his arrest for driving under the influence Thursday. The Horned Frogs also had a 25-game conference winning streak snapped with the loss in its first Big 12 home game.

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#229
Posted: 9/1/2013 3:36:11 AM

Saturday results:

  • Mass/Wisconsin 54  Loss
  • C. Michigan/Michigan 53 WIN
  • Buffalo/Ohio St 55  Win
  • La tech/NC State 63  Loss
  • Florida Intl/Maryland 49.5 WIN
  • N. Illinois/Iowa 53  WIN
  • Temple/Notre Dame 53  Loss
  • BYU/Virginia 49.5  Loss
  • Alabama/Va. Tech 46.5  Loss
  • UAB/Troy 63  Win
  • Purdue/Cincy 50.5  Loss
  • Kentucky/W. Kentucky 57.5  Win
  • Miami (OH)/Marshall 68.5  Loss
  • Miss St./ Oklahoma St 63  Loss
  • La Monroe/Oklahoma 60.5  Loss
  • Texas St/Southern Miss 55 Loss
  • New Mexico State/ Texas  57.5  Win
  • Rice/Texas A&M 67.5  Win
  • Toledo/Florida 56   Loss
  • La. Lafayette/Arkansas 57 Loss
  • Washington St./Auburn 61  Loss
  • Idaho/ N. Texas 58  Loss
  • Penn St. / Syracuse 51.5  Loss
  • Wyoming/ Nebraska 66.5  Win
  • Texas SA/ New Mexico 55.5 Loss
  • Georgia/ Clemson 71  Win
  • LSU/TCU 49.5  Win
  • Boise St. /Washington 52  Loss
  • Nevada/UCLA 67  Win
  • Northwestern/California 60 Win

26 wins, 34 losses on Saturday

36 teams eliminated, 46 teams go to game, 6 teams to play Sunday/Monday, 37 teams did no play or qualify.

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#230
Posted: 9/1/2013 5:19:56 AM

My win / loss record for each game surprising matches exactly. I say this because everyone is not going to have the exact same lines available which could result in close game wins, losses or a push.

Ex. Ala/Vir Tech I had 45.5 (you 46.5) which still lost by .5pt.                                                                          Pur/Cinn I had 49.5 (you 50.5) which still lost by .5pt.         Mar/Mia(Ohio) I had 67(you 68.5) which still lost by 1 pt.

I entered my wagers late Friday early Saturday morning. It took me about 1/2 hour to put them all in. lol  some were unavailable at that time. That probably resulted in the lower lines even though it didn't affect the results in these cases.

Going by past results I was hoping for a few more game 1 wins.

Lets get those wins moving forward.

Bestof luck

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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#231
Posted: 9/1/2013 11:45:56 PM

Sunday Results:

  • Ohio/Louisville 58 Loss
  • Colorado/Colorado St 49  Win

Monday

  • Florida St./Pittsburgh 49.5

Through Sunday - 38 teams eliminated, 48 teams go to game, 2 teams to play Monday, 37 teams did not play or qualify.

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#232
Posted: 9/2/2013 9:22:03 PM
Why is this system still around? It has been proven by previous posters that this record is inflated. There is a reason that this thread stopped in 2010 after two 6th games lost
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#233
Posted: 9/2/2013 10:38:54 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by cappingmaniac:

Why is this system still around? It has been proven by previous posters that this record is inflated. There is a reason that this thread stopped in 2010 after two 6th games lost

When I tracked it last year there was one loss as documented on here. You can still make money even with one loss. You also don't have to chase all games to the end. You also don't have to follow this at all.

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#234
Posted: 9/2/2013 11:09:29 PM

Monday results

  • Florida St./Pittsburgh 49.5 Win

Through Monday - 40 teams eliminated, 48 teams go to game, 37 teams did not play or qualify.

For week 2 starting Tuesday: There are 6 teams that did not play or qualify for their game 1 last week that won't qualify again. These teams won't play their game 1 until Sept 14 - AZ State, Conneticut, Georgia State, Georgia Tech, Iowa State, Kansas.

The following teams all lost this past week and don't play/qualify  this upcoming week. They will play their game 2 on Sept 14 except where noted: Akron, Alabama, Arkansas, Louisville, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Massachusets, Miss. St., Purdue, Va. Tech, Washington, W. Michigan, Wisconsin, Louisiana Tech (9/12), Boise St (9/13), NC State (9/19), Texas State (9/21) 

 

I'll list the teams that play this week in another post.

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#235
Posted: 9/4/2013 11:03:01 PM

Going forward I will list the game number that each team is on if different. If I only show 1 team with the point spread it means the opponent has already been eliminated.

Thursday 9/5:

Florida Atlantic (game 2)/E. Carolina (gm 1) 54.5

Friday 9/6:

  • Wake Forest/Boston College (gm 1 both) - 48.5
  • Central Florida (gm 2) - 53 (subject to change)

 

 

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#236
Posted: 9/5/2013 3:53:08 PM
Dan, Are you doing the NFL version of this system?
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Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#237
Posted: 9/5/2013 3:58:36 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by breezeyo:

Dan, Are you doing the NFL version of this system?

No, just college. I've seen some other posts about NFL and betting all OVERs for the for up to 6 games or so. You might want to check those out.

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#238
Posted: 9/5/2013 4:42:22 PM

Starting tonight we have 62 teams in action this week, 23 do not play or don't qualify (see post #234).

Thursday 9/5:

Florida Atlantic (game 2)/E. Carolina (gm 1) 54.5

Friday 9/6:

  • Wake Forest/Boston College (gm 1 both) - 48.5
  • Central Florida (gm 2) - 53

Saturday 9/7:

Both (or single) teams on game 2:

  • Florida/Miami (Fl) - 48
  • Miami  (OH) 56.5
  • Oklahoma St/ Texas San Ant. - 60
  • North Texas/Ohio - 58.5
  • South Carolina - 56
  • Syracuse - 53
  • Southern Miss  - 60.5
  • BYU - 57
  • Tulsa - 53
  • Notre Dame - 51
  • Idaho - 65
  • Wash St./USC - 53

continued on next post...

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#239
Posted: 9/5/2013 4:58:36 PM
So, for example, for a $100 player...

FAU gm 1 loss -110
FAU gm 2 $220 + BC gm 1 $100 = $320 bet 

Is this right Dan ?

Thanks in advance 
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#240
Posted: 9/5/2013 5:02:10 PM

Saturday 9/7:

Both (or single) teams on game 1:

  • San Diego St - 55.5
  • Air Force - 59.5
  • S. Alabama/Tulane - 49.5
  • Duke/Memphis - 52.5
  • Navy/Indiana - 68
  • Army/Ball St. - 60.5
  • Arizona - 61
  • San Jose St/Stanford - 48.5
  • Baylor - 67
  • Tennessee - 57.5

One team game 1, one team game 2 (noted)

  • S. Florida/Michigan St (2) - 44.5
  • Houston/Temple (2) - 67
  • Mid. Tenn. St/North Carolina (2) - 66
  • Cincy (2) / Illinois - 55
  • W. Virginia/Oklahoma (2) - 58
  • Oregon/Virginia (2) - 61
  • Toledo (2) / Missouri - 65.5
  • Arkansas ST/Auburn (2) - 62
  • E. Michigan/Penn St (2) - 49
  • Bowling Green (2) / Kent St. - 45
  • LA-Lafayette (2) / Kansas St - 60.5
  • Hawaii (2) / Oregon St - 55
  • New Mexico (2) / UTEP - 51.5

 

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#241
Posted: 9/5/2013 5:06:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dallasm:

So, for example, for a $100 player...

FAU gm 1 loss -110
FAU gm 2 $220 + BC gm 1 $100 = $320 bet 

Is this right Dan ?

Thanks in advance 

I think for FAU, you'd be betting $231 to win $210 (the $110 loss from last week plus $100). Add to that the$110 to win $100 for BC and you'd be betting $341 to win $310.

Be careful if you are actually betting this much. With so many bets this week you're looking at huge numbers. More power to you if you have the bankroll!

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#242
Posted: 9/5/2013 5:16:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dallasm:

So, for example, for a $100 player...

FAU gm 1 loss -110
FAU gm 2 $220 + BC gm 1 $100 = $320 bet 

Is this right Dan ?

Thanks in advance 

In the scenario above, that would be the bet if two teams were playing and one was on game 1, the other on game 2. In your scenario, those teams aren't playing each other. FAU is on game 2 vs E. Carolina, game 1. So, the numbers are the same.

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#243
Posted: 9/7/2013 3:34:26 AM
Thanks for the insight.

Do you have a count of how many games have gone to 4,5, and 6 ?

Thanks and GL this weekend !! 

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#244
Posted: 9/7/2013 4:54:04 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dallasm:

Thanks for the insight.

Do you have a count of how many games have gone to 4,5, and 6 ?

Thanks and GL this weekend !! 

I don't have historic numbers but it seems 2-3 teams every year go to 5-6. Be prepared for that.

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#245
Posted: 9/7/2013 4:54:51 AM

Not a good start to the weekend.

Thursday 9/5:

Florida Atlantic (game 2)/E. Carolina (gm 1) 54.5 Loss

Friday 9/6:

  • Wake Forest/Boston College (gm 1 both) - 48.5  Loss
  • Central Florida (gm 2) - 53 Loss
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#246
Posted: 9/8/2013 2:18:59 AM

Saturday results:

  • Florida/Miami (Fl) - 48 Loss
  • Miami (OH) 56.5  Loss
  • Oklahoma St/ Texas San Ant. - 60 Win
  • North Texas/Ohio - 58.5 Loss
  • South Carolina - 56 Win
  • Syracuse - 53 Win
  • Southern Miss - 60.5 Win
  • BYU - 57 Win
  • Tulsa - 53 Win
  • Notre Dame - 51 Win
  • Idaho - 65 Loss
  • Wash St./USC - 53 Loss
  • San Diego St - 55.5 Loss
  • Air Force - 59.5 Win
  • S. Alabama/Tulane - 49.5 Win
  • Duke/Memphis - 52.5 Loss
  • Navy/Indiana - 68 Win
  • Army/Ball St. - 60.5 Loss
  • Arizona - 61 Win
  • San Jose St/Stanford - 48.5 Loss
  • Baylor - 67 Win
  • Tennessee - 57.5 Win
  • S. Florida/Michigan St (2) - 44.5 Loss
  • Houston/Temple (2) - 67 Loss 
  • Mid. Tenn. St/North Carolina (2) - 66 Loss
  • Cincy (2) / Illinois - 55 Win
  • W. Virginia/Oklahoma (2) - 58 Loss
  • Oregon/Virginia (2) - 61 Win
  • Toledo (2) / Missouri - 65.5 Loss
  • Arkansas ST/Auburn (2) - 62 Loss
  • E. Michigan/Penn St (2) - 49 Win
  • Bowling Green (2) / Kent St. - 45 Win
  • LA-Lafayette (2) / Kansas St - 60.5 Win
  • Hawaii (2) / Oregon St - 55 Loss
  • New Mexico (2) / UTEP - 51.5 Win
  • Week 2 results: Started with 85 teams left, 40 eliminated. 28 teams eliminated this week, we are left with 57 teams. My next post will break this down further.

     

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    Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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    #247
    Posted: 9/8/2013 2:33:06 AM

    57 teams left:

    6 teams have yet to play game 1 - AZ State, Conneticut, Georgia State, Georgia Tech, Iowa State, Kansas.

    34 teams are on game 2 - Akron, Alabama, Arkansas, Louisville, Louisiana-Monroe, Marshall, Massachusets, Miss. St., Purdue, Va. Tech, Washington, W. Michigan, Wisconsin, Louisiana Tech (9/12), Boise St (9/13), NC State (9/19), Texas State (9/21), Boston College, East Carolina, Wake Forest, Mid Tennessee, Houston, S. Florida, Army, Ball St., SD State, Missouri, Duke, Memphis, West Virginia, Arkansas St., Oregon St., San Jose St., Stanford

    17 teams go to game 3 - Central Florida, Florida Atlantic, North Carolina, Florida, Miami (Fl), Temple, Miami (OH), Michigan St., Toledo, Idaho, N. Texas, Ohio, Oklahoma, Auburn, Hawaii, Washington St., USC

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    puppetm716 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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    #248
    Posted: 9/8/2013 3:08:44 AM
    Thanks Dan    
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    #249
    Posted: 9/8/2013 9:30:27 AM
    I've been watching this...I'm just playing the teams that go to game 3:

    17 teams go to game 3 - Central Florida, Florida Atlantic, North Carolina, Florida, Miami (Fl), Temple, Miami (OH), Michigan St., Toledo, Idaho, N. Texas, Ohio, Oklahoma, Auburn, Hawaii, Washington St., USC

    Less $$$ out there in the chase, and the game 5/6 plays are cheaper.  
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    Danrules24 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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    #250
    Posted: 9/12/2013 2:57:36 PM

    Here we go, starting week 3. 68 teams eliminated, 57 to go. 15 of the 57 do not play or qualify this week, leaves us with 42 teams in play this week. I'll post the teams and note game number.

    Thursday

    • Louisiana Tech (gm 2) - 58.5
    • Arkansas St (gm 2) - 65.5

    Friday - Boise St (gm 2) 57.5

    Saturday

    • Army (2)/Stanford (2) - 52
    • Georgia St (1)/ W. Virginia (2) - 57
    • Louisville (2) - 59.5
    • Marshall (2) / Ohio (3) - 69
    • Akron (2) - 56.5
    • Virginia Tech (2) / East Carolina (2) - 51
    • Conneticut (1) - 47.5
    • La. Monroe (2) / Wake Forest (2) - 52.5
    • Georgia Tech (1) / Duke (2) - 56.5
    • Boston College (2) / USC (3) - 42.5
    • Iowa State (1) - 48.5
    • Alabama (2) - 61
    • Idaho (3) - 62.5
    • Miss. St (2) / Auburn (3) - 51
    • Washington (2) - 63
    • Central Florida (3) - 50.5
    • Ball State (2) / North Texas (3) - 63
    • Memphis (2) / Mid Tenn St (2) - 52.5
    • Arkansas (2) - 49.5
    • Oklahoma (3) - 51
    • Massachusets (2) - 54.5
    • Florida Atlantic (3) / South Florida (2) - 43.5
    • Kansas (1) - 58
    • Purdue (2) - 50
    • W. Michigan (2) - 59.5
    • Oregon St. (2) - 58
    • Wisconsin (2) / AZ State (1) - 52.5
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