New Strategy

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: New Strategy
dj_destroyer PM dj_destroyer
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Posted: 6/22/2010 11:45:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

Its so stupid and simple...I absolutely love it.


It's funny that you say this because I whole-heartedly agree in almost every case that the simple/stupid methods work better. Hell, if reason and logic ruled all then we would have A LOT more successful cappers. The thing is that there are way more losers than winners... so take a couple 'losing' plays and see how you do.
nolemonasses PM nolemonasses
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Posted: 6/22/2010 1:06:02 PM

So, at my book I got:

705: Toronto game +125

710: Mets game +120

805: SF game +135

810: Atl game +105

1005: Cinci game +110

1010: Cubs game: +130

I locked in the first 4 start times and will see how they go. I will then move on to the 1005 and 1010 accordingly.

smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/22/2010 1:11:33 PM
Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets.  Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts.
Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.

I will take a look at my betus lines.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/22/2010 1:49:52 PM
Game 1 DET/NYM Yes +135 Betus
Game 2 SFG/HOU Yes +160
No Play BOS/COL. Both are at "-" money
Game 3 CUB/SEA Yes +145

3 game chase tonight.
nolemonasses PM nolemonasses
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Posted: 6/22/2010 7:06:56 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by smitler:

Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets.  Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts.
Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.

I will take a look at my betus lines.

I am doing both. I am hoping for a wash or winning both. If both lose, I will step up the bet for the next start time accordingly. I'm doing it with peanuts anyway. No, really, my book accepts planters money...

nolemonasses PM nolemonasses
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Posted: 6/22/2010 7:08:27 PM

And, like Austin Powers, I too, like to live dangerously. I see Toronto hitting a HR on the first pitch. Done deal before the Mets game even starts...

smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/22/2010 7:27:48 PM
Ho Hum looks like another Game 1 winner.
GMSI PM GMSI
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Posted: 6/23/2010 9:33:23 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by LasVegasSystems:



I have a question. What is the record this season chase and without chase? Also, I assume you do not know how this has performed in past years- is that correct?

As to the books adjusting, they can to some extent, but there also can be arbitrage opportunities for professionals if the line gets too skewed by the books. That should limit the extent to which they can adjust.

 

FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.

Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.

Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.

Just so everyone knows...

 

smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 12:19:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GMSI:

 

FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.

Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.

Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.

Just so everyone knows...

 



That guy is a real person then.

We should get some people together and sell our own great systems.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 2:09:53 PM
WTF Betus is usually the first book with yes/no lines and they are still not posted and other books are. Hmm. Interesting.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 2:12:34 PM
Game_1_Cin/Oak_Yes_+100_
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 3:32:13 PM
Big chase card today.

Game_1_CIN/OAK_Yes_+100_
Game_2_KAN/WAS_Yes_+135_
Game_3_STL/TOR_Yes_+135_
Game_4_SFO/HOU_Yes_+130_
Game_5_BOS/COL_Yes_+110_
Game_6_NYY/ARZ_No_+120_
Game_7_CUB/SEA_Yes+160_
neilsy25 PM neilsy25
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Posted: 6/23/2010 3:36:31 PM

I don't see these yes/no lines on Pinnacle..do they not offer them or am I just missing it ?

smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 3:53:59 PM
Hey guys guess what.  GAME ONE WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Gonna play again for 1/2 unit.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 4:03:26 PM
Big variance in lines. Bookmaker has KAN/WAS -105.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 5:45:33 PM
On to game 3
nolemonasses PM nolemonasses
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Posted: 6/23/2010 6:36:12 PM
I see u have the NYY game for a no. I did not realize you did no runs also if it was + money...
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 7:29:29 PM
Uh oh, that one lost too. Might have pushed over done it.

On to game 4.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 7:30:00 PM
I mean might have over done it.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/23/2010 8:22:53 PM
Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That will do pig.
sabia PM sabia
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Posted: 6/24/2010 1:27:48 AM
this system depends the day that the teams send his best pitchers today 10 games not runs only 5 games with runs in 1 .......
the best days to this sistem are friday to sunday there are more games with runs in 1......

smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/24/2010 1:36:11 AM
Only 2-5 straight up today but the 2 chases were winners.
smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/24/2010 9:48:15 AM
Another 7 game chase today.  Possible guy in the armor exposed yesterday with 6 of 7 "Yes" plays.  SDG and SFO need to keep scoring in the first.

Game_1_SDG/TAM_Yes_+105
Game_2_CLE/PHI__No_+100
Game_3_SFO/HOU_Yes_+135
Game_4_CUB/SEA_Yes_+160
Game_5_STL/TOR_Yes_+130
Game_6_PIT/TEX__No_+125
Game_7_LAD/LAA__No_+100
nolemonasses PM nolemonasses
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Posted: 6/24/2010 10:45:32 AM

Damn, my odds are different. i got phi as -105 and LAA -110.

That, and my cubs/sea is only +130.

smitler PM smitler
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Posted: 6/24/2010 11:16:16 AM
Betus lines.
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