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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: Are less plays per day better than more plays?
eyeball send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: betED.com |
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#1
Posted: 2/5/2010 2:52:02 PM

Since there is less juice involved?  Or do more plays even out your average number of wins to give you a better long term winning %

If you won at 55% if you could do it for more plays per day you make more money.

But one play per day would allow you to bet more

 

Any thoughts

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#2
Posted: 2/5/2010 4:34:43 PM
Same question here!
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#3
Posted: 2/5/2010 4:37:31 PM
more plays at +EV 53%+ at spreads (-110) will actually lower your win percentage but will increase your profits assuming you would be betting the same amount on each game.  If you feel you have an advantage, I say fire no matter whether you have 1 play or 500 in a day.... i mean a week, a month a year is just really an amount of time.... days are easier to work with but why limit good plays to 1 per day.  others will disagree, this is my take.
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Posted: 2/5/2010 11:47:53 PM
I have used a combination of 1 play per day in both the NHL & NBA on average per day.  I look for specific numbers of course in an effort to qualify my plays.  Some days I only have a play in one or the other sport, and there have been a few days where there have been none.

I am achieving a very realistic goal of gaining 25% per month by combining a sound money management program utilizing only 2% of my initial bankroll, and the Labouchere system, increasing my bets on a weekly basis.  So far this year, I am 29-8 (78.38% win rate), and my bankroll is up 50%.

Continuing at a compounded rate of 25% per month for the year will net me a little over $145,000 for the year on my initial $10,000 bankroll.  In two years, it would net a little over $2.1 million.  Now, of course, no sportsbook on the planet will allow me to make large enough bets to achieve this, but I plan on incorporating some Forex trading into the mix since they do not care how much money you make.

Just goes to show you that betting just a couple games a day does pay off.
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#5
Posted: 2/7/2010 11:26:34 AM
The answer to your question from a long term "profit" standpoint is no.  If you read page 14 of this ebook it explains the answer to your question in detail.  The more bets you place the higher your profits grow.

Sports Betting Systems

The key point made in that chapter is that winning 55% of 500 bets is actually more profitable than winning 65% of only 50 bets.  Good luck Bro.
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Posted: 2/12/2010 12:54:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by prof8t:

I have used a combination of 1 play per day in both the NHL & NBA on average per day.  I look for specific numbers of course in an effort to qualify my plays.  Some days I only have a play in one or the other sport, and there have been a few days where there have been none.

I am achieving a very realistic goal of gaining 25% per month by combining a sound money management program utilizing only 2% of my initial bankroll, and the Labouchere system, increasing my bets on a weekly basis.  So far this year, I am 29-8 (78.38% win rate), and my bankroll is up 50%.

Continuing at a compounded rate of 25% per month for the year will net me a little over $145,000 for the year on my initial $10,000 bankroll.  In two years, it would net a little over $2.1 million.  Now, of course, no sportsbook on the planet will allow me to make large enough bets to achieve this, but I plan on incorporating some Forex trading into the mix since they do not care how much money you make.

Just goes to show you that betting just a couple games a day does pay off.

It does sound very methodical and I wish you good luck, But, you still have to pick more winners than losers with this approach. 

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#7
Posted: 2/13/2010 1:23:50 AM
Very simple. In sports betting less is always more. Implement a good money management plan and wager only your best 1-3 plays on a given day. 
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#8
Posted: 2/13/2010 11:19:25 PM

Looking at contests, some people earn more from fewer bets with higher accuracy but others earn more from many bets with lower accuracy.  Depending on the individual, either scenario is possible.

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#9
Posted: 2/16/2010 1:36:00 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by prof8t:

I have used a combination of 1 play per day in both the NHL & NBA on average per day.  I look for specific numbers of course in an effort to qualify my plays.  Some days I only have a play in one or the other sport, and there have been a few days where there have been none.

I am achieving a very realistic goal of gaining 25% per month by combining a sound money management program utilizing only 2% of my initial bankroll, and the Labouchere system, increasing my bets on a weekly basis.  So far this year, I am 29-8 (78.38% win rate), and my bankroll is up 50%.

Continuing at a compounded rate of 25% per month for the year will net me a little over $145,000 for the year on my initial $10,000 bankroll.  In two years, it would net a little over $2.1 million.  Now, of course, no sportsbook on the planet will allow me to make large enough bets to achieve this, but I plan on incorporating some Forex trading into the mix since they do not care how much money you make.

Just goes to show you that betting just a couple games a day does pay off.


Assuming, of course, you know how to pick winners.
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#10
Posted: 2/17/2010 5:54:00 PM
In my experience, I put a lot of effort into one strike at a time- however that is totally contingent on being able to count on your method of determining a quality pick. I only do about 2 per week.The degree of certainty, the reliability of your ability to discern a a pick is what counts and thus dictates how many or often you bet. Some of the strategies out there rely on the fact that you may only win 60 >/< % so you have to play a lot to come out on top. Of course, reliability - that is the quality of the pick is king.
Pretty soon I am going make public a method and just show what I do (we do), feel free to follow or ask if you would like to.
In the last 12 wagers we hit 11 covering the points. But again, reliability is the key, weather or not you are covering points or not, over or under, what ever.
Anyway, good luck to all of us :)

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#11
Posted: 11/27/2011 9:42:09 AM
I know this is an old thread, but I searched the term "betting strategies plays per day" and stumbled here. This leads me to believe others have similar questions.

In my limited experience, everyone above is correct. Although winning 55% of 500 bets is more profitable than winning 65% of 50 bets, that's assuming you aren't sacrificing quality for quantity.

I have found that most people "over bet" even if they don't have quality plays.

My moral: betting 10 plays per day is great IF they are solid plays. But dont just bet just to bet. And that's much easier said than done. I was betting 50 per game and playing 5 or 10 games per day. And after sweating through 10 games, I would break even, or be up 100 bucks. More recently, I can feel more comfortable putting 200 per game on just one or two solid plays. Bankroll has seen a jump for sure, and I'm actually wagering less money per day.
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