usaKangy's NHL Chase system from last year...

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: usaKangy's NHL Chase system from last year...
awbasa PM awbasa
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Posted: 11/6/2009 9:11:49 AM
whoahhhhhhhhhh went 4-0 here yesterday
gasman33 PM gasman33
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Posted: 11/6/2009 9:58:11 AM

This is what I am playing on the "System C' since Oct26th...

...sooooo next plays....Chase teams are in Green

Thurs 5Nov09...LA/pit...[B].....OVER 6...

                  ...CLB/atl...[A]...OVER 6...

Fri 6Nov09....TOR/car...[A]....OVER 6

               ...DAL/van...[A]...UNDER 5.5

Sat 7Nov09...BOS/buf...[A]

                ...DET/tor...[A]

               ....OTT/nj...[A]

               ...STL/phi...[A]

[A]....1 unit play

[B]...2 unit play

[C]...4 unit play

 

SYSTEM C Series W-L Record (since starting 26Oct09)

       13-0...+13units....

....45-3 for the 2009 Season....+24units...

gasman33 PM gasman33
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Posted: 11/6/2009 10:01:17 AM

....hey Kangy...

I'm headed to Vegas for the weekend...

...can you keep this thread updated Daily?

...if not then I will update it on Monday...

gl guys......cheers.......

WillCap4Food PM WillCap4Food
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Posted: 11/6/2009 12:02:46 PM
I've got a question about this:

7)  If game is a loser, and that game also goes into OT/SO, continue playing old series as normal, but start a NEW series with that team as well.  For instance, if chasing Atlanta for UNDER 5.5 in game 2 of a chase and Atlanta beats Dallas in OT 4-3, the game is a loser.  Play Atlanta for the 3rd game of a chase and, in addition, play Atlanta and Dallas as 1st games of a new chase.

**What if game 2 is a WINNER but goes to OT or ends in a SO?  Would you still play the original [C] AND start a new series as well?  Please explain. 

Prime example - On Wednesday San Jose ended in a SO with Columbus.  So I played the under in the San Jose game last night (winner) but also ended in a SO.  How should I proceed?

Thanks in advance!
fijfi PM fijfi
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Posted: 11/6/2009 12:54:51 PM

 

thank you Gasman  for keeping up on this

 

 

Fijfi

stickbit PM stickbit
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Posted: 11/6/2009 1:29:45 PM
yes, gasman you rock!! thanks for doing this!
gasman33 PM gasman33
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Posted: 11/6/2009 3:18:15 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by WillCap4Food:

I've got a question about this:

7)  If game is a loser, and that game also goes into OT/SO, continue playing old series as normal, but start a NEW series with that team as well.  For instance, if chasing Atlanta for UNDER 5.5 in game 2 of a chase and Atlanta beats Dallas in OT 4-3, the game is a loser.  Play Atlanta for the 3rd game of a chase and, in addition, play Atlanta and Dallas as 1st games of a new chase.

**What if game 2 is a WINNER but goes to OT or ends in a SO?  Would you still play the original [C] AND start a new series as well?  Please explain. 

Prime example - On Wednesday San Jose ended in a SO with Columbus.  So I played the under in the San Jose game last night (winner) but also ended in a SO.  How should I proceed?

Thanks in advance!

...I am only playing the HOME TEAM OT/SO Chase...System C

ssssoooooooo in your example SJ would win the [A] or [B] bet and then if they were HOME team then they begin a new Chase Series...for an [A] bet...get it???

CYA... gotta get on the plane...Vegas here I come!!!!!!

 

bamboo08 PM bamboo08
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Posted: 11/6/2009 5:47:08 PM
gasman, I also have a question. You said you are only playing the HOME TEAM OT/SO Chase...System C. Great!

However, I see today game both TOR and DAL are OT but I don't see they are SO. so they are not both OT/SO. Can you help me to explain it. Thanks. Good luck all of us today.
grindtyme1 PM grindtyme1
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Posted: 11/7/2009 7:02:30 AM
Bamboo, I think OT/SO means the game has to end in either extra period. Once this happens chase the home team. So Tor/Det (B) would be a play for today. Also Col/Edm (A) will be a play on 11/08.
Good luck  
usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 8:33:33 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gasman33:

....hey Kangy...

I'm headed to Vegas for the weekend...

...can you keep this thread updated Daily?

...if not then I will update it on Monday...

gl guys......cheers.......


Sure thing Gasman!  Have fun and bring back some loot with ya!
usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 8:54:04 AM

Hey guys, taking over for the gasman while he cleans up in Vegas...


System "C" plays only....

Last night we went 1-0, winning the DAL/Van under 5.5.  We lost the TOR/Car over bet at 6.0 (Seems like they were on pace after 2 periods, then decided to play defense). 


The season record is now 46-3 +25.0 units.


Gasman's record since tracking Oct 26 is 14-0 +14.0 units.   (have to make sure I put the dancing guy in here)


The Toronto chase goes to the [B] game. 


Five plays tonight, however four games...  Detroit and Toronto are playing each other.  Toronto we are on the [B] game, Detroit is on the [A] game.  Since we are playing totals, both teams will have the same total, therefore the chases are combined.  So we will bet 3 units on the Toronto/Detroit game for tonight (two for Toronto's total chase, one for Detroit's)....  Six units up for grabs tonight, let's get 'em all!!!


Sat Nov 7...TOR/det...[B]  = over 6.0

                 ...BOS/buf...[A] = under 5.5

                ...DET/tor...[A] = over 6.0

               ....OTT/nj...[A] = under 5.5

               ...STL/phi...[A] = under 5.5

Sun Nov 8...COL/edm...[A]


[A]....1 unit play

[B]...2 unit play

[C]...4 unit play

 

Good luck to all!!! 


usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 9:11:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bamboo08:


I see today game both TOR and DAL are OT but I don't see they are SO. so they are not both OT/SO. Can you help me to explain it. Thanks. Good luck all of us today.

Bamboo,

The home team totals chase can be a little misleading, so let me explain how it works...  When a game goes into overtime, whoever is the home team playing that game will be the chase team for a three game series starting with their following game.  Overtime games can end in a tie, which then makes the game a shootout.  Bottom line is all shootouts are overtime, so the home team playing a game that is tied after three periods becomes a chase team (remember we are chasing the totals)....

If two teams like Detroit and Toronto tonight play each other, it is because Detroit was a home when they played their OT/SO game and are chasing them.  So we have "nested" series here.  If this game wins, this counts as two series wins.  If it loses, then Detroit's next game is [B] and Toronto's next game is [C]. 

Think of it as two roads crossing at an intersection.  Each team driving on its own road and then meeting up at that intersection, then going their seperate ways afterward.


[Quote: Originally Posted by WillCap4Food]
Prime example - On Wednesday San Jose ended in a SO with Columbus.  So I played the under in the San Jose game last night (winner) but also ended in a SO.  How should I proceed?

Gasman is correct, if you played SJ on 11/4 as a [C] bet (for some strange reason they should not have been a play), but if you did, and it won, then that chase is over.  Since San Jose was on the road, Columbus actually starts the chase.  Incidentally, Columbus did go over the total in their [A] game on 11/5. 

usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 9:13:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WillCap4Food:


Prime example - On Wednesday San Jose ended in a SO with Columbus.  So I played the under in the San Jose game last night (winner) but also ended in a SO.  How should I proceed?

So much for trying to cut and paste two quotes on the same post.....

Gasman is correct, if you played SJ on 11/4 as a [C] bet (for some strange reason they should not have been a play), but if you did, and it won, then that chase is over.  Since San Jose was on the road, Columbus actually starts the chase.  Incidentally, Columbus did go over the total in their [A] game on 11/5.
MoscowGomez PM MoscowGomez
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Posted: 11/7/2009 10:00:25 AM
what site did you guys use for backtracking last years results.I ask because i backtracked this system using covers information for last year and got more than 8 losses if chasing 3 games(this is for system 3-the home chase). In fact i got 15 losses so far only testing 20 teams.help appreciated.thanks much.
730champ PM 730champ
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Posted: 11/7/2009 10:20:38 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MoscowGomez:

what site did you guys use for backtracking last years results.I ask because i backtracked this system using covers information for last year and got more than 8 losses if chasing 3 games(this is for system 3-the home chase). In fact i got 15 losses so far only testing 20 teams.help appreciated.thanks much.

 

 

 

i think that record is not for the full season

ryker1 PM ryker1
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Posted: 11/7/2009 11:38:37 AM
Kangy, thanks for stepping in for gasman. this question will probably sound like an amatuer, but do we play no matter the line (for instance 5dimes has bos/buff u5.5 at -150. thanks and keep up the great work.
MontanaMax PM MontanaMax
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Posted: 11/7/2009 11:54:22 AM
....................
ASSPHALTCOWGIRL PM ASSPHALTCOWGIRL
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Posted: 11/7/2009 12:19:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ryker1:

Kangy, thanks for stepping in for gasman. this question will probably sound like an amatuer, but do we play no matter the line (for instance 5dimes has bos/buff u5.5 at -150. thanks and keep up the great work.

I increased my bet size a little and took U-6 bos/buff lowered the risk a little. I think the answer to your question is yes
usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 12:20:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MoscowGomez:

what site did you guys use for backtracking last years results.I ask because i backtracked this system using covers information for last year and got more than 8 losses if chasing 3 games(this is for system 3-the home chase). In fact i got 15 losses so far only testing 20 teams.help appreciated.thanks much.

Moscow, read post #70.  Thanks!  The info was tracked at Covers.  The homework has already been done.  But if you want to re-invent, please do.   
ryker1 PM ryker1
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Posted: 11/7/2009 12:22:04 PM
thanks Cowgirl
usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 12:29:18 PM
The system was tracked real time going forward from December 26, 2008.  Also, there were some teams last year that were just flat out awful...  Vancouver, Ottawa and Toronto come to mind.  Hmmmm!  Interesting filter possibility? 
MoscowGomez PM MoscowGomez
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Posted: 11/7/2009 12:35:37 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by usakangy:


Moscow, read post #70.  Thanks!  The info was tracked at Covers.  The homework has already been done.  But if you want to re-invent, please do.   


thanks, i apologize  for my ungratefulness,im a virgin on covers.just read the first and last page,should of read the inbetween pages.heres to financial propesperity!
usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 12:51:41 PM
No problem Moscow.  Anyway, I just did a little backtracking from last season only.  The System "C" with the three game totals chase finished 236-26.  The Canadian teams (Ottawa, Calgary, Edmonton, Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal) alone went 41-9 for negative money.

This leaves a system "C" American teams series record last season of 195-17 for an even higher profit.  I am thinking I want to track this going forward.  I did notice the system start to taper off toward the second half of the season (after December 28, 2008) somewhat.  I will do some deeper investigation and see if there is something I can find.  For now, keep playing this one as is! 
usakangy PM usakangy
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Posted: 11/7/2009 12:57:20 PM
To add strength in numbers... That 195-17 is a 92% series win rate.  My bets are in, I am gone for the rest of the day!  Good luck to all tonight!   
bamboo08 PM bamboo08
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quote#100
Posted: 11/7/2009 4:22:13 PM
THANKS, gridtyme and  usakangy.
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