JM NFL System

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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: JM NFL System
cadneyair22 PM cadneyair22
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quote#101
Posted: 11/9/2009 3:13:19 PM

Has anyone used the sports betting professor? Does anyone have or know where to get his picks?

Thanks

kevin2565 PM kevin2565
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quote#102
Posted: 11/11/2009 10:41:38 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rm2673:


what if i were illiterate? then you rant for nothing. luckily thats not the case lol


I don't think illiteracy is your only problem.
ASSPHALTCOWGIRL PM ASSPHALTCOWGIRL
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quote#103
Posted: 11/12/2009 4:42:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by on3:

solid win today with the Titans. also picked up a win SU and ATS for the Bears with my modified system. the Giants lost today, but now they will fall under the JM system too next week.

week 9 plays:
NY Giants
Tampa Bay

week 10 potentials:
Detroit
Washington

week 11 potentials:
Cleveland

modified system plays for week 9:
NY Giants (B bet)
Atlanta Falcons (potential)

modified system plays for week 10 potentials:
Green Bay
Arizona
Denver

Is everything a go for these week 10 potentials?
kevin2565 PM kevin2565
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quote#104
Posted: 11/12/2009 4:52:29 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ASSPHALTCOWGIRL:


Is everything a go for these week 10 potentials?


Yep both have lost 3 time ATS and SU
JSqd25 PM JSqd25
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quote#105
Posted: 11/12/2009 7:40:01 PM

on3,

Not to confuse the peanut gallery, but isn't Dener a modified by? There are playing a JM play, so maybe you just filtered it?

Thanks for your work,

Jsqd

JSqd25 PM JSqd25
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quote#106
Posted: 11/12/2009 7:41:21 PM

*modified play

 

on3 PM on3
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quote#107
Posted: 11/13/2009 10:54:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JSqd25:

on3,

Not to confuse the peanut gallery, but isn't Dener a modified by? There are playing a JM play, so maybe you just filtered it?

Thanks for your work,

Jsqd



to be honest, i didnt know what to do with denver this week since they were going up against a team that fell into the JM system. id like to ask you guys what do you think we should do?

a. play washington under JM system (the line is tricky, 3 seems too easy for denver, and whenever it is too easy you know vegas has something up its sleeve)
b. play denver ML and play washington +3.5 and hope for a middle?
c. play denver ML and save the washington play for next week

im leaning towards option b., but im going to keep my units small for the modified system since it is going against the JM system this week.
kevin2565 PM kevin2565
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quote#108
Posted: 11/13/2009 11:25:19 AM
B sounds like the best of both worlds.
KMang PM KMang
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quote#109
Posted: 11/13/2009 3:06:21 PM

Arizona is NOT a Modified system play for week 10...they won and covered last weekend vs. Chicago.  Denver and GB are Modified system plays....

For the record, I like Option B from On3 on the Denver/Washington game....Then we can just follow up with the loser for next week if it generates another play.....

JSqd25 PM JSqd25
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quote#110
Posted: 11/14/2009 2:36:49 PM
I'm using a lab mm, so i'll be going with option B. Probably won't get the middle, but you never know...
kevin2565 PM kevin2565
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quote#111
Posted: 11/15/2009 4:37:01 PM
2-0
smitler PM smitler
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quote#112
Posted: 11/15/2009 5:09:25 PM
I'm thinkin more like 1-1.  had lions 16.5.  too stupid to buy a half or one.
KissAPistol PM KissAPistol
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quote#113
Posted: 11/15/2009 5:35:56 PM
I bought 1 point for Detroit from +16.5 to +17.5 thinking 17 could be a possibility.  Worked out quite well.
kevin2565 PM kevin2565
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quote#114
Posted: 11/15/2009 5:46:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by smitler:

I'm thinkin more like 1-1.  had lions 16.5.  too stupid to buy a half or one.


That sucks but for the system it was a winner because the closing line was 17 and the system says to buy a point or a half point on key numbers.
MikeyFingers PM MikeyFingers
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quote#115
Posted: 11/16/2009 2:08:54 PM

I wouldn't consider 17 a key number. This is exactly from the morrison pdf file:

I also recommend that you buy half a point (.5) onto the point spread if your team happens to be an underdog with an exact spread of either +2.5, +3, +6.5, or +7.

By your reasoning; would 27 would be a key number as well?

My understanding is for spreads that are common week to week like those he lists above (+2.5, +3, +6.5, or +7).

730champ PM 730champ
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quote#116
Posted: 11/16/2009 6:27:46 PM
some people use key numbers like 10 17 and 21 also.. 10.5 17.5 and 21.5
kevin2565 PM kevin2565
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quote#117
Posted: 11/16/2009 7:18:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MikeyFingers:

I wouldn't consider 17 a key number. This is exactly from the morrison pdf file:

I also recommend that you buy half a point (.5) onto the point spread if your team happens to be an underdog with an exact spread of either +2.5, +3, +6.5, or +7.

By your reasoning; would 27 would be a key number as well?

My understanding is for spreads that are common week to week like those he lists above (+2.5, +3, +6.5, or +7).



Yes I know JM says only to 7 but can you honestly tell me that 14, 17, or 21 are not key numbers? A lot of games end with these key numbers. So yes I do consider it a key number.
on3 PM on3
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quote#118
Posted: 11/17/2009 1:16:00 AM
another two wins today (with detroit @ +17.5) and washington winning SU. for anyone who plays the JM system, please buy half points on ALL key numbers (10, 13, 14, 17, 20, 21). the juice wont kill you at -130, so why not do it??

also, picked up a win with the modified system with Green Bay. i probably wouldnt have played GB against that agressive Dallas if it didnt fall into the system, so I am glad it worked out and some of you followed.
 
JM System so far: 14-0

Week 11 plays:
NY Giants (B bet, C bet for modified)
Cleveland

Modified Week 11 plays:
Philadelphia ML
Denver Broncos (B bet)

KMang PM KMang
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quote#119
Posted: 11/17/2009 9:05:56 AM
Isn't Denver a 'A' Play under the JM System after 3 straight ATS and SU losses.?  So that would make them an A play under JM and also a B play on the Modified side. 
kevin2565 PM kevin2565
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quote#120
Posted: 11/17/2009 11:18:12 AM
Yeah Denver should be an A bet this weekend for JM
flash021 PM flash021
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quote#121
Posted: 11/17/2009 10:45:47 PM
Yeah Denver is an A bet but for some reason ppl are posting modified versions of the JM NFL system on the JM NFL system and ppl are getting confused. They should start a modified JM NFL system post.
on3 PM on3
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quote#122
Posted: 11/19/2009 10:16:51 PM
just a note, kyle orton is out for the broncos. JM has a habit of eliminating a loss if a star is out for the team. make sure you play denver with caution this week.
ramper71 PM ramper71
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quote#123
Posted: 11/20/2009 1:35:14 PM
Been following the forum (with success), but never posted...just wanted pass on another note I came across...A supposed JM filter update is recommending that for UD's only double digit NFL UD's should be played on from this point...That would eliminate the DEN (a) and Cle (a)???...It leaves the NYG (b) and the mod on PHI (a)...thoughts...I can paste for review... 
on3 PM on3
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quote#124
Posted: 11/21/2009 1:43:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ramper71:

Been following the forum (with success), but never posted...just wanted pass on another note I came across...A supposed JM filter update is recommending that for UD's only double digit NFL UD's should be played on from this point...That would eliminate the DEN (a) and Cle (a)???...It leaves the NYG (b) and the mod on PHI (a)...thoughts...I can paste for review... 


can someone else verify this??
pdg893 PM pdg893
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quote#125
Posted: 11/21/2009 1:48:15 PM
that's only for his playing surface system
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