| Author: |
[Systems & Strategies] Topic: Modified Morrison NHL System |
|
puppetm716 |
 View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 1323
Location: |
#776 Posted: 1/20/2010 1:47:28 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by dsimison:
Has anyone got past numbers on the morrison system like how many A bets won and how many b bets won over the past years
JM Never loses, just ask him.
|
|
quote |
|
puppetm716 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 1323
Location: |
#777 Posted: 1/20/2010 2:01:38 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by dsimison:
Has anyone got past numbers on the morrison system like how many A bets won and how many b bets won over the past years
4 months and 32 pages in, your question has been asked many times.
If you go back and start reading, you will find your answer by page 4.
Happy Reading. |
|
quote |
|
GameBoy7o2 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 814
Location: Nevada |
#778 Posted: 1/21/2010 12:14:43 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by thebird40: St louis 
Tampa Bay
Toronto
Buffalo is on 7 game road trip this is 4th game of trip depends but could be A play any thoughts?
Hopefully you guys played St.Louis B +1.5
|
|
quote |
|
BruceM5 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 58
Location: California |
#779 Posted: 1/28/2010 4:01:44 AM
In post #2 there is a link to get direct info on this system. In post # 12 there is a link to explain the Lab betting system.
This is my interpretation of how it currently stands. The quoted system is from McBain. I am new so still learning how to post here. This is my first post on covers. So here goes. Oh I am starting this from today so I have no B or C games yet. So if there is one from previously it is being left off for me today.
"It is very simple. We bet NHL road
teams when they go on road trips of at least 3 games. When the team
is the favorite, bet moneyline. When the team is the underdog, bet
puckline +1.5.
Make A bet, if it loses bet B so you
still profit, if it loses bet C so you still profit on the entire
series.
Using these filters should work for 09-10:
1.
don't play first series of season or last for any team
2.
don't play second series of 3 on any road trip
3. play +1.5
whenever available
4. eliminate teams with losing road
records once at least 25 games have been played. (At start of year,
could use road records from last season but that is iffy).
possible
5. do not play against top 2-3 RPI teams when they are at home"
Teams with losing road records:
Tampa Bay NY Islanders
Toronto
Carolina
Dallas
Minnesota
Anaheim
Columbus
Edmonton
Current top RPI teams
Detroit
Buffalo
Nashville
1/28/09 plays
Minnesota and New York Islanders start
3 game road trip. Both of them have losing records on the road which
is filter number 4.
No play today.
Betting system: Using 3 level labourche
system
Game A 5-5-5-5
Game B 5-5-5-5
Game C 5-5-5-5 Thanks for the help and input on here. I look forward to following this through. Bruce
|
|
quote |
|
PokherPlayher |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Aria | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 185
Location: New York |
#780 Posted: 1/28/2010 5:31:24 PM
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
PokherPlayher |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Aria | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 185
Location: New York |
#781 Posted: 1/28/2010 9:25:54 PM
|
|
quote |
|
nolemonasses |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jul 2009
Posts: 1944
Location: Pakistan |
#782 Posted: 1/29/2010 8:41:16 AM You could do this system just always taking the ML.
You will lose more games, but less money on those losses. And when you win, you can really get some nice odds to boost you.
There was a link posted on here weeks ago, where the dude is doing ML and PL. So far, the ML is ahead of the PL in units made.
|
|
quote |
|
BruceM5 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Jan 2010
Posts: 58
Location: California |
#783 Posted: 1/29/2010 12:57:24 PM
nolemonasses, yep ml is 31 points higher than the pl the way Tod is using this system. How are you playing it, with both pl and ml, or just one of the two?
1/29/10
No plays today
|
|
quote |
|
smitler |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 2365
Location: United States |
#784 Posted: 1/29/2010 2:16:31 PM
The Road Puck Line chase record is 155-1 so far this season.
The Road Money Line record is not as good.
|
|
quote |
|
PokherPlayher |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Aria | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 185
Location: New York |
#785 Posted: 1/29/2010 2:30:38 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by smitler:
Check out the spreadsheet in NHL Home chase thread. It has lines and outcomes for this nhl season. You can get your answer there.
The Road Puck Line chase record is 155-1 so far this season.
The Road Money Line record is not as good.
ok so thats for Home Chase. the modified morrison is about Road games. so for ROAD games, the +1.5 PL is verrryyy costly.
|
|
quote |
|
PokherPlayher |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Aria | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 185
Location: New York |
#786 Posted: 1/29/2010 2:33:04 PM
|
|
quote |
|
smdio |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1094
Location: |
#787 Posted: 10/10/2010 9:54:00 AM Wanted to give this thread a bump.
I'm following this system. Had a "B" loss to open the season with Anaheim. Unsure if I want to lay a "C" bet, since the Ducks are rather horrid.
Thoughts? |
|
quote |
|
SKiLLsSoLoN |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetJamaica.com | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 144
Location: North Carolina |
#788 Posted: 10/10/2010 10:52:37 AM
2 A's today!
Florida Panthers 8:00 pm
Boston Bruins 10:00 am
|
|
quote |
|
smdio |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1094
Location: |
#789 Posted: 10/10/2010 12:45:04 PM Bruins
Lets go Florida  |
|
quote |
|
SKiLLsSoLoN |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetJamaica.com | |
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 144
Location: North Carolina |
#790 Posted: 10/10/2010 2:32:15 PM
I hope Fla pulls it off!
|
|
quote |
|
Rainmaker626 |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 241
Location: |
#791 Posted: 10/10/2010 3:19:24 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by KongKiller:
After finding the JM NHL system I ran numerous filters to fix it. The biggest ones were of course the ones you noted in your link, but I found more. By only playing the A + B games and using a modified labouchere money management system one can easily net over 100 units a year in the NHL. I have gone back 4 seasons now to prove it. For an example by using the 08-09 season and playing every series(good or bad away team included), I found 104 A winners and 45 B winners out of 166 total series. That means you have a 90% chance of hitting an A or B game. Over the past 4 seasons that number is 88% to 91%. By using labouchere instead of Martingale, you are able to safely grow your bankroll with this. I will probably be running a thread on the plays and money managent instructions this upcoming season on Covers if I have time. Feel free to follow it guys.
I'm not knowledgeable of these systems at all.. Can someone give me a quick review.. What are A and B games?
|
|
quote |
|
smdio |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1094
Location: |
#792 Posted: 10/10/2010 5:10:07 PM If no one answers this in a couple hours, I will. Busy about to cook dinner atm
|
|
quote |
|
KongKiller |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports | |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 2529
Location: Georgia |
#793 Posted: 10/10/2010 6:41:07 PM Wow this thread is still alive???? I started it along time ago!!
|
|
quote |
|
smdio |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1094
Location: |
#794 Posted: 10/11/2010 8:46:01 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Rainmaker626:
I'm not knowledgeable of these systems at all.. Can someone give me a quick review.. What are A and B games?
Check the NHL schedule for 2010-2011. Mark down any series in which a team goes on the road for 3 straight games. For the team that's going on the road, bet on them in a 3-game chase. If they lose the first game, take them again in their second game. If they lose that, take them again in the third. If you lose the third, you lose the bet.
The "A" game would be the first game, the "B" game the second, and the "C" game the third.
ALWAYS take the +1.5 Puck Line if it's offered, which will mean your team is the underdog. Take the money line if your team is favored. Both will mean you'll be laying roughly -170 to -220 odds on a consistant basis. Sometimes less, sometimes more. Account for this when considering what your initial wagers will be. ALWAYS WAGER TO WIN, NOT TO RISK.
Never bet AGAINST the top 3 RPI rated teams, regardless if the system tells you to. Take this into consideration after about the first 10-15 games.
Never bet ON the bottom 3 road-record teams. Also take this into consideration after the first 10-15 games.
Never bet on the second road series of a 6-game trip (or more). Only do the first 3 games of that long road trip.
Some people use the Martingale style money-management system, and some use the Labourchere style money-management system. You can search the forums for a detailed explanation of each, as they're both quite easy to find here. I recommend the Labby, since it removes the risk of laying such high wagers. But the choice is yours, obviously.
Any more questions, just ask :) |
|
quote |
|
Jokeheads |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 979
Location: United States |
#795 Posted: 10/11/2010 9:55:51 AM
What was the 2009-10 record?
|
|
quote |
|
smdio |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1094
Location: |
#796 Posted: 10/11/2010 3:51:44 PM Winners on: (A) Boston, (A) Florida
Pending on: (B) Atlanta (tomorrow), (A) Colorado (tonight)
Loss on: (B) Anaheim
Anaheim is currently losing 4-1 to St Louis as well, which would have been the (C) bet. However, Anaheim really shouldnt have been wagered on anyway, considering they were bottom 3 in road record for 09-10
Even if you count that as a loss, we're quite close to even money.
Atlanta will most likely still be missing their starting goalie, so I might pass on them for the "B" bet
09-10 record was something like:
Total plays: 147
"A" winners: 98
"B" winners: 43
"C" winners: 4
Losses: 2
Close to that anyway. Can't remember the exact numbers |
|
quote |
|
bettor2win |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 2141
Location: California |
#797 Posted: 10/11/2010 8:11:01 PM SMDIO, keep this thread going. I like the A&B bet then quit idea. I've never bet on hockey, for the most part. I start tomorrow. B Bet on ATL? Maybe I will make it a C since I didn't play the A if they do not win. |
|
quote |
|
mcmister |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2006
Posts: 94
Location: |
#798 Posted: 10/12/2010 3:04:01 PM QUOTEGood day gentlemen: Is anyone going to populate an Excel spreadsheet with these and/or NBA JM games? Thanks Originally Posted by bettor2win: SMDIO, keep this thread going. I like the A&B bet then quit idea. I've never bet on hockey, for the most part. I start tomorrow. B Bet on ATL? Maybe I will make it a C since I didn't play the A if they do not win. |
|
quote |
|
smdio |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2010
Posts: 1094
Location: |
#799 Posted: 10/12/2010 6:56:15 PM mcmister - I'd love to see that, to be honest. Wish I knew how, and I'd create one. Hopefully someone helps us out 
bettor2win - GL on Atlanta. Careful though, their starting goalie is out. Usually we avoid series when there are key injuries. I still think ATL will get us a win, as I'm taking them anyway. Just saying, be careful! |
|
quote |
|
GameBoy7o2 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 814
Location: Nevada |
#800 Posted: 10/12/2010 10:33:27 PM
|
|
quote |