Posted: 5/10/2017 12:08:21 PM
Are the Capitals finally going to get by the Penguins and advance past the second round of the playoffs in the Alex Ovechkin era? With a Game 7 on the docket against a Pittsburgh club that looks like it’s all but given up, it certainly looks that way. Bookmakers are bullish on the cardiac Caps tonight and opened them as the -175 home faves.
The Capitals have outshot the Penguins by an average of 9.67 per game in 5-on-5 play this series.
The Capitals have a 1-7-1 OVER/UNDER record in their 9 Game 7s since the 2005 lockout.
Marc-Andre Fleury has allowed 9 total goals the last 2 games on 58 shots against.
Washington has come all the way back from the brink and can finally exorcise its postseason demons tonight with a Game 7 victory over the pesky Penguins. The distinct advantage they hold over the Pens in this one is their secret weapon – Justin Williams. The second-year Capital is 7-0 in Game 7s over the course of his impressive career, amassing an incredible 14 points in those contests.
Beyond that, the Caps are just the much better team here. They’ve dominated 5-on-5 play all series and are coming off a performance in Game 6 that saw the Pens concede the first five goals. Marc-Andre Fleury was the only thing keeping the Pens in this series but the dam has finally burst and I doubt he provides much resistance tonight.
I’ll personally be backing Ovi and the Caps on the -1.5-goal puckline in this seventh and deciding game as I don’t see the Pens generating enough chances to score more than one or two on Braden Holtby. Given the Caps’ trends in Game 7s and their defensive prowess at the Verizon Center, I may also be looking at the UNDER 5.5.