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Author: [Pro Basketball] Topic: Cleveland at Boston (04/05/2013)
Covers send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#1
Posted: 4/4/2013 2:20:45 AM

Away:  Cleveland [37-36-1 ATS]
Home:  Boston [33-39-3 ATS]

Game Time: 7:30 PM
Stadium: TD Garden

Recent Meetings:
03/27/13 - BOS 93 vs. CLE 92
01/22/13 - BOS 90 vs. CLE 95
12/19/12 - CLE 91 vs. BOS 103

Team Leaders:

Cleveland:
Points: Kyrie Irving (23.0)
Assists: Kyrie Irving (5.7)
Rebounds: Anderson Varejao (14.4)

Boston:
Points: Paul Pierce (18.8)
Assists: Rajon Rondo (11.1)
Rebounds: Kevin Garnett (7.8)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

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door54 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#2
Posted: 4/5/2013 1:40:25 PM

Clev gave up in the 2nd H vs. Dal on 3/15 and have been in a free fall ever since. When I look at their worksheet the only other team I can think of that has played this poorly for this long of a stretch would be Detroit. There is so much red ink here its looks like a bloodletting. 

Games     0-10 L10

Halves      4-13-3

Qtrs          12-25-3

An injured playoff bound team like boston is savy enough to recognize the danger here yet still needs the win and to rest the old bodies whenver practical.

I see a focused and intense 1st H effort at home. Bos -3.5

 

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CallMeBruce send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 4/5/2013 4:01:17 PM
I like your analysis, but not necessarily the bet.

 L10, when CLE has lost ATS by more than double digits, they have bounced back to cover.

Last meeting (3/27) BOS -2.5 @CLE, now only -6.5. That's only 4 point and not close to the usual 9 point swing.

I am liking the over more.  

As always, GL with your bet.
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mgmprofits send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Westgate Las Vegas Superbook |
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#4
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:25:10 PM
Well that's probably why the line is the way it is...it's all rigged obviously, no denying it even if you say it's just the "Lines" they still rig the lines to try and fool you. So, you have to be on your game if you wanna profit BIG against these guys. You've gotta outsmart or exploit their weaknesses. 

Why do you like the Over? I like the under personally....two terrible teams who find it hard to score, Boston's defense is not as good lately without Garnett but I still like the Under, unless they push the tempo the entire game. They certainly might but I think the line has fooled you a bit. This to me, is a no brainer and an under. But I can a vision on a 30 to 30 Quarter so that is something to watch for...
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Tommyz3355 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#5
Posted: 4/5/2013 5:28:45 PM
I prob should have stayed away from this game but I went with Boston. I took cavs a couple games in a row they got rocked everytime my luck they will cover tonight lol
Posted using a mobile device.
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door54 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#6
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:40:19 PM
People! Now THAT is a rebuttle, point made and shared, with a follow up by MGM. THAT promotes collaboration. Enough of the monkey show that we all see too much of.
So far as the over in this one goes, my sheets show Cle o/u L10 @ 4/6  and Bos @ 5/5..Im not seeing excitement here.
Now Garnet and Pierce are expected to play tonight, so Im counting on two things. 1) Da crowd  2) Rivers keepin a short leash on em both.   I think a 2 possesion advantage 1st H for Bos has a good shot.
 
GL
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door54 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Station |
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#7
Posted: 4/5/2013 6:48:02 PM
Hey MGM could you elaborate on what you mean by "rigging". If you mean adjusting the number to balance the handle, I agree. its done daily across the board to limit their exposure, and keep from from getting sided on games that have a heavy public favorite involved. Lakers are a prime example of this.
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