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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: New England at Carolina (11/18/2013)
kalrajbains send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: bet365 |
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#76
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:35:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NEVERgo4less:


I might get offended with your statement.  I will admit, I am probably the biggest teaser in this forum and I'm winning.  Actually, I make my living out of teasing football and nba games.  Read all my posts, my wins are above 65%.  Teasing is the only way eliminate the spreads.
Teasers are great on certain teams and situations.  I can't take extra points on really bad teams.  If they are average to very good then I will.
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holtnt
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#77
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:37:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 98ITR:


Like you approach on NFL... Exactly the way I see it. Some examples this week

Saints blow out Dallas at home
49ers lose at home to Panthers at home
Public all over Saints -3.5.. for another thrashing but nope they win by 3.. If you look at the play calls in the red zone by Payton it felt like the game was set up for Saints to win by 3. Saints could've easily went up by 4 instead of a tying FG.

Chargers kept it close with Broncos
Dolphins lose to winless Bucs
Public all over Chargers...
Guess what... Fins win...

Tonight's game is tough...
Advantage Brady all the way... Belichek record coming off a bye...




Excellent points Sir, but I wouldn’t use the term “staged” or “rigged”…  I would be more apt to say there are individuals which includes players, coaches AND referees that are in position to affect the outcome of wagered sporting events that for one reason or another are “in bed” with the Wise Men in Vegas. 

 

Now with that said, Tommy “Crooked Axx” Brady in a non-divisional game with the bulk of the money (presently right at 60%) counting on him to cover is NOT a good investment IMHO.  However, with all those offensive weapons back in the New England fold now and Cam Newton facing a mediocre defensive unit that is banged up, I can see both signal callers putting on a nice show for the whole world to see on MNF so………………  put me down for Over the Total for a Nickel please.  Thanks! 


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#78
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:40:41 PM
i just dont see brady losing on monday night. i think the best play is on theOVER. every monday night contest seems to be high scoring. ne thoughts?
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#79
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:41:24 PM

What Ive learned as a Steeler fan, don't bet against Tom Brady. Brady n' bunch + Over FTW.  

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#80
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:42:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stevopa:

Your right: my guess is that Peyton Manning waited for the game to get real close and have the line in jeopardy before he decided to really get on his game.  He obviously does not care about winning and getting another ring.  Money is the only thing that drives him. 

You are not a realist; you are a dilettante so willing to see things from one side that you ignore the multiple angles at play in every situation.  if you are so enlightened, btw, which direction is the fix going tonight?  This will take all the analysis and guess work away, and we can all win money. 
 Whats Peyton Manning and the Bronco game got to do with anything?  When did I claim to be enlightened?  I did not say every game is rigged either.
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#81
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:42:50 PM
Another perfect weekend!  Probably will not see another easy-pick weekend for the rest of the season.  Hopefully everyone landed large on Bengals, Giants and Broncos!!!
This game is easy for so many people.. Toughest game for me... Brady has a week off and probably studied Panthers' defense on every aspect.  Panthers' defense is really good but I am not convinced on their wins.. especially vs Niners.  Brady is not Kaepernick.. he doesn't hold on to the ball and giving himself option to run it like Kaepernick.. I think that's where Niners were in trouble.  Panthers came in knowing Kaepernick might run the ball.  This is tough because Patriots has been doing poorly on road.. but I will give them the benefit of a doubt because of the BYE week.  I also like Brady on Monday games.

Patriots ML +130 for small
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#82
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:44:17 PM
Pats are getting points?!?! Do my eyes deceive me? No question about it. You gotta take Pats on this one!
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#83
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:44:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

I should say this is one of the best plays on the board this week.

But everytime I post a pick here it's like bad karma, so I wont be surprised if CAR wins. I am just going to stop posting here as people don't appreciate my advice anyway.

Some Ahole alien wannabe with sausage tits wished bad things upon me earlier just for stating my opinions, so I guess it's best I tuck my head between my legs and hightail it out of this biatch.

Well, I tried. Take care everyone...and please...dont give TOO much of your hard earned money to these theives. But at the very least, make sure you have fun with this business. Don't end up homeless on the streets because of it.
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#84
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:44:58 PM
i appreciate it big dog!!
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#85
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:45:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by holtnt:



Excellent points Sir, but I wouldn’t use the term “staged” or “rigged”…  I would be more apt to say there are individuals which includes players, coaches AND referees that are in position to affect the outcome of wagered sporting events that for one reason or another are “in bed” with the Wise Men in Vegas. 

 

Now with that said, Tommy “Crooked Axx” Brady in a non-divisional game with the bulk of the money (presently right at 60%) counting on him to cover is NOT a good investment IMHO.  However, with all those offensive weapons back in the New England fold now and Cam Newton facing a mediocre defensive unit that is banged up, I can see both signal callers putting on a nice show for the whole world to see on MNF so………………  put me down for Over the Total for a Nickel please.  Thanks! 


In bed HAHAH.  I'm glad someone knows what they are talking about! 
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#86
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:50:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by NEVERgo4less:

Another perfect weekend!  Probably will not see another easy-pick weekend for the rest of the season.  Hopefully everyone landed large on Bengals, Giants and Broncos!!!
This game is easy for so many people.. Toughest game for me... Brady has a week off and probably studied Panthers' defense on every aspect.  Panthers' defense is really good but I am not convinced on their wins.. especially vs Niners.  Brady is not Kaepernick.. he doesn't hold on to the ball and giving himself option to run it like Kaepernick.. I think that's where Niners were in trouble.  Panthers came in knowing Kaepernick might run the ball.  This is tough because Patriots has been doing poorly on road.. but I will give them the benefit of a doubt because of the BYE week.  I also like Brady on Monday games.

Patriots ML +130 for small

Scratch  that...
Parlay Patriots ML, OKC ML, Warriors ML, Bulls ML for  1unit = 2.9units
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#87
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:51:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kalrajbains:

 Whats Peyton Manning and the Bronco game got to do with anything?  When did I claim to be enlightened?  I did not say every game is rigged either.
"All the big time players on big money are controlled by the industry." Peyton manning is a big time player so he would have to be controlled.  And when you speak about your knowledge of the world and the way it works, then tell me to "go read a book", your arrogance suggests enlightenment. You can call it whatever you want but I call an apple and apple, not an orange. You're a fool for thinking that you know more than other people, as is MGM.  This is the point that I am trying to get at.
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#88
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:55:35 PM
I put this line at Panthers -2.5 right where it opened. I picked Panthers for the W, so based on my system take the Kittens are - .5. as of now...
 
Following the formula and I'm taking Pats +3/ hoping I get another .5 by game time.
 
GL fellas
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#89
Posted: 11/18/2013 1:58:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by prime9:


I'm not sure where you get your stats from, as the Pats have lost only 1 game coming off a bye since 2003.

Did I say the Pats typically lose the game while coming off a bye?  No sir.  You my friend, must be a rookie because there's a huge difference in a teams winning record and their ATS record.  Again, the Pats are 1-3-1 ATS the past give games out of a bye.  Carolina BIG to cover -1 at home on primetime.

P.S. I must be doing something right, considering the majority of the public disagrees with me.  Vegas wasn't built by betting with the public...
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#90
Posted: 11/18/2013 2:15:54 PM
Teas:  pats / over 4 a Nickel Str8 pats 250  .......... too much Carolina hype For a team you cannot compare to the pats over the years .in my opinion Carolina gets Beat tonight bc Belichick n the experience with Brady .But Carolina does look good as of late so I'm teasing this one and going with Pats str8 for less..
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#91
Posted: 11/18/2013 2:18:39 PM
Everybody riding Brady's wiener... I guess it's another upset for you guys. 

CAROLINA ALLL THE WAY. THANK ME LATER 

BOL ALL
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#92
Posted: 11/18/2013 2:30:31 PM
Too many pluses for the Pats tonight.. Only thing going for Panthers are their Defense and home field. I dont think they are getting enough respect than they deserve. Holding Seahawks and 49ers to 21 total points and only 1 TD.. Brady got whacked vs Bengals D Line and pushed around by the Jets in both games.
I can't see myself laying anything big on either side. Seems like total is dropping which is good because I love the over... I see turnovers generating at least 10 points. The offenses can take care of rest.

Posted using a mobile device.
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#93
Posted: 11/18/2013 2:52:40 PM
So everyone likes the Panthers in this one....... Tom brady is 14-3 career on MNF, Pats coming off a bye giving them 2 weeks to prepare. Panthers coming off a big win in san fran were the offense was very out of sync for a good 2 quarters and a half of football. Tom Brady will score points on carolina Gronkowski has worked hard in the bye with brady to get there chemistry back to were it was and add verren back for another threat in the backfield along side ridley the patriots will score. Give me the pats +3 for 5 Units also gunna parlay them in everything that i play and gunna buy.5 point in the parlays GL to the panthers backers ur gunna need it. Bellichuk 2 weeks to prepare oh my gunna be a frustrating day for cam
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#94
Posted: 11/18/2013 2:53:45 PM
Carolina Panthers has good front 7......and that's how Cinci and NYG beat Tom Brady. 

Carolina get turnt up at home. 

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#95
Posted: 11/18/2013 3:04:59 PM
Brady and Bellicheck coming off a buy playing in primetime is $$$$$.I get there not the Pats of old but there getting better every week and Brady and his young recievers are really starting to gel.Just like KC, Carolinas not as good as their record and dont win 6 in a row tonight.Pats use this game as a tune up for their SHOOTOUT with Denver next week.
Pats roll
34-17
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#96
Posted: 11/18/2013 3:05:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stevopa:

"All the big time players on big money are controlled by the industry." Peyton manning is a big time player so he would have to be controlled.  And when you speak about your knowledge of the world and the way it works, then tell me to "go read a book", your arrogance suggests enlightenment. You can call it whatever you want but I call an apple and apple, not an orange. You're a fool for thinking that you know more than other people, as is MGM.  This is the point that I am trying to get at.
 Ok I see where you coming from.  All the big players in most sports are controlled.  From PeYton, Rodgers, Brady to Lebron Kobe etc.. they all on the payroll.  You don't touch that sort of money without being controlled by the industry.
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#97
Posted: 11/18/2013 3:06:18 PM
MGM is my dawwg.  I don't personally know him but he speaks sense even if his picks lose. 
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#98
Posted: 11/18/2013 3:09:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by stevopa:

"All the big time players on big money are controlled by the industry." Peyton manning is a big time player so he would have to be controlled.  And when you speak about your knowledge of the world and the way it works, then tell me to "go read a book", your arrogance suggests enlightenment. You can call it whatever you want but I call an apple and apple, not an orange. You're a fool for thinking that you know more than other people, as is MGM.  This is the point that I am trying to get at.
I'm sorry if I come across as arrogant.  I don't mean to.  Just want people to know the way MGM thinks is not deluded at all.  
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#99
Posted: 11/18/2013 3:17:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mgmprofits:

I should say this is one of the best plays on the board this week.

But everytime I post a pick here it's like bad karma, so I wont be surprised if CAR wins. I am just going to stop posting here as people don't appreciate my advice anyway.

Some Ahole alien wannabe with sausage tits wished bad things upon me earlier just for stating my opinions, so I guess it's best I tuck my head between my legs and hightail it out of this biatch.

Well, I tried. Take care everyone...and please...dont give TOO much of your hard earned money to these theives. But at the very least, make sure you have fun with this business. Don't end up homeless on the streets because of it.
 Love your advice and insight.  Most people on here are sheeple.  They will believe anything they see on the tv and in the media. 
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#100
Posted: 11/18/2013 3:19:01 PM
This is rare that the Pats are the underdog coming off a bye week where they clobbered Pittsburgh at home and also rare that they are a dog on a Monday night game. Last time they were dogs on Monday was against the Saints @ the Superdome several years back

Historically Brady is good on Monday Night where he has gone 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS for a decade now. I think the Bye is a little less of a big deal where they have gone 7-1 SU last 8, but 5-4-2 Ats last 11. Almost half of those games were against Buffalo and theyy were almost always big favorites.

The most scary trend though is Brady is terrfic as underdogs:

20+ Ats wins vs. 9 losses 3 ties, 90% of them being on the road..

So no bet for me because if I had to pick I would take Carolina only because I'm starting to become a fan of their defense. I'm just going to enjoy the game. I think the line is right where it needs to be. 
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