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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Baltimore at San Francisco (02/03/2013)
BreakaBookie send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#126
Posted: 1/26/2013 11:56:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by holtnt:

 

You and others keep bringing up last year…  You base your play off what happen last year between two completely different squads, you will be better served taking that cash and buy some shares of Apple while it has been beat all to hxll…  9’ers defense is better than last year AND that offense with CK versus Alex Smith under center is a whole different “animule” my friend… 

Well last year was the last time the two teams met...

I'm not basing my play on the previous matchup, but it certainly enters into my capping strategy.... and besides the teams are very similiar from 1 year ago... the defense practically identical.... only real differences are on the 49ers, qb, Moss, and James.... otherwise both teams are bringing back most of their players....

I wouldn't buy Apple stock because I'm convinced Microsoft is making a comback with their surface to start and kinect technology to revolutionize computers.... I could be wrong and Apple could bring out another version of the Ipad and call it "minier"..... but that's for another conversation....

And I would say that the 49ers defense is better than last year.... but so is the Ravens offense.... both defenses are just as nasty as they were last year....

and by the way, when there are 2 defenses with great players on both sides of the ball, it usually ends up to be a game in the Under....

I think it will be slow in the first half, then pick up in the second, just like most superbowls that I have seen.

 

GL TO ALL!

 

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#127
Posted: 1/27/2013 2:08:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hotdamn85:


people talking about baltimore winning on PATS turf? well the niners can win on anyones turf... niners did rape the pats at NE 41-34.


I guess the 4th qtr melt down doesn't matter.  When Brady finally got it going it was too late.  24 points in the 4th qtr. and Baltimore gave up 13 all game. Did the 49ers win on SEATTLE'S turf?  NO!  They got there butts rearranged. Did they win in St Louis? No they loss in St Louis and tied them at home.  The truth is, Baltimore's road to the Super Bowl is more impressive.  San Francisco were fortunate NY didn't get in, Seattle loss it in the ending seconds, and Atlanta figured out a way to lose the game. I guess you can say the cards fell in there favor.  So who knows, SF can be that team, the team destined to win it this year.  But your stats on winning on anyone's turf is missing legs.
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#128
Posted: 1/27/2013 5:22:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by EDDIEW:

beat manning and brady on their home turf and you want to bet against them??...I'll take the points thank you


It's so crazy.  No one wants to believe in Flacco but he consistently wins postseason playoff games.  8 wins in 12 games people.

2 Unit 7 pt Teaser BAL(+10.5) and OVER (40.5)
2 Unit play on Baltimore(+3.5)
1 Unit play on the Baltimore ML

Not saying I that I think San Fran doesnt have a great football game, but I expect this to be A LOT closer than the 'experts' think.  I expect a close game where kicking could become a factor(3-5 TD's scored for each team).  David Akers is looking how he did when he left Philadelphia...Guy is broken, you SF backers better pray that he doesn't need to kick come sunday
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#129
Posted: 1/27/2013 6:01:04 AM

The key to a 49ers win will be for SF to take away the long pass plays of the Ravens. If they can do that... I believe that the 49ers will be able to limit (not completely stop) the Ravens ability to grind out long drives.

The 49ers need to FORCE Flacco into multiple checkdowns which will give precious seconds more to allow the pass rush to do its job in getting to Flacco and keeping his feet moving while throwing the ball. If they can do that... then there will be an increased probability of turnovers by the Ravens which will be huge in this game since field position will be extremely important.

I highly expect the Ravens to have multiple attempts of long pass plays on running downs in this game. Should the 49ers eliminate any successful long pass plays by the Ravens and force them to checkdown OFTEN enough... then I do not see Baltimore dinking and dunking thier way for multiple TD's scoring drive. The 49ers defense is built to blow up any dink and dunk type of offensive team. The Niners would benifit by keeping the Ravens limited to success in the running game only because if the Niners let the Ravens drives to reach thier 25 yard line with small gains only... they should have success at stalling those Ravens drives before Balt can pick up a 1st down at the 15.

Let the Ravens have all they want between the redzones... and then shut them down with no ability for long passing scores.

The Ravens have thrived off the big play... so if you stop those... then Flacco and company become a much less dangerous offensive threat.

Summary : Niners must bend between the 20's...but not break in thier defending red zone and must not allow long successful scoring passes. NOTHING GETS OVER THE TOP!!!!!!!!! Bolden will test the outsides deep while Torey Smith will test the deep middle of the Niners defense. And don't lose track of Jacoby Jones also. Stop them there and this becomes a very winnable game for the San Francisco 49ers.

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#130
Posted: 1/27/2013 11:10:27 AM
love  love love  the 49ers here  got it at -3.5   also  love the over  this game is gonna be a score fest   imo  gl fellas  may the best team win
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#131
Posted: 1/27/2013 12:37:41 PM
THESE 2 TEAMS ARE MORE ALIKE THAN YOU THINK.

2 GREAT QB'S? CHECK

2 GREAT COACHES? CHECK

2 GREAT RUNNING BACK? CHECK

2 GREAT DEFENSES? CHECK

4 GREAT RECEIVERS? ( 2 EACH ) CHECK

2 BROTHERS? CHECK

EACH BEAT 2 GREAT TEAMS TO GET HERE? CHECK

I'M SURPRISED IT'S NOT A PICK'EM

I HAVE TO TIP MY HAT TO TO THE RAVENS FOR A FEW REASONS;

EXPERIENCE; JOHN'S BEEN COACHING LONGER THAN  YOUNGER BROTHER.

RAY LEWIS AND COMPANY HAVE BEEN WAITING AWHILE
 TO GET BACK AND ARE HUNGRY.

KARMA, YES IT IS ALIVE AND WELL IN THIS SUPER BOWL AS 
IT ALWAYS IS. LOTS OF TIMES THE BETTER TEAM GOING IN DOES NOT WIN. DOES NOT MATTER WHO VEGAS LOVES, OR WHO SELLS MORE JERSEYS.
WHEN IT'S SUPER BOWL TIME, THE FOOTBALL GODS
CONFER WITH NO ONE BUT THEMSELVES.

THE EASY PLAY HERE IS RAVENS +3.5

THE BALLSY AND MORE LUCRATIVE;
RAVENS +140 STRAIGHT UP



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#132
Posted: 1/27/2013 12:57:46 PM

This seems to be one of the easier games to cap this year. I think you take the points here no matter who is getting em.  Too much similarity here all the way down to coaches.  I figure the Ravens will take away the edges and force the Niners to pass.

Same with Balty, Rice will struggle forcing Flacco to air it out.  Both sides get theirs.  Field goal probably decides it, Will be interesting if it comes down to Akers. . .

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#133
Posted: 1/27/2013 1:06:52 PM

Since there's no pro bowl thread  I'm placing my "Coin Flip Degenerate Gambler's Special"

(I actually flipped a coin, and here's what I came up with)

NFC +1 and under 80.5

pays +235

no M/L option, I had to take the +1 - - otherwise I think the payout would have been better, but oh well.....

let's see if I have a little extra something for the Superbowl.....

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#134
Posted: 1/27/2013 3:04:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ewillie169:

Stations and Mirage/MGM just went to 3.5... damn i wish i was in Vegas now


That's funny, i'am in Las Vegas now and i wish i was in Bangkok!
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#135
Posted: 1/27/2013 3:28:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by croyal1964:

Ya i give ravens props for beating Denver and New England at thier home fields but i think the difference will be the QB for SF ya this is first year as starter but Denver and NE QBs no where never Kap as far as running abillity. I believe he will have the ravens D confused with that option run and beat them on the ground as well as in the air. IMO this will be a close game but SF pulls out front in 4th quarter and dont look back. GL all


Just put a spy on CK to knock him down on every play whether he has the ball or not. 49ers should have lost that Falcons game if the Falcons had lived up to their hype.

If CK does not run for a few 50 yards TDs, he dead in the water. When he finds out that it's hard to run he's going to start forcing passes. If the Ravens can hold down Manning and Brady on their home fields they can hold CK on a away field.

This game should be Ravens -3.5.

Hey ewillie169, i plan to play a 4 team college basketball parlay Saturday and place the winnings on the Ravens Sunday.
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#136
Posted: 1/27/2013 3:57:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Spytheweb:



Just put a spy on CK to knock him down on every play whether he has the ball or not. 49ers should have lost that Falcons game if the Falcons had lived up to their hype.

If CK does not run for a few 50 yards TDs, he dead in the water. When he finds out that it's hard to run he's going to start forcing passes. If the Ravens can hold down Manning and Brady on their home fields they can hold CK on a away field.

This game should be Ravens -3.5.

Hey ewillie169, i plan to play a 4 team college basketball parlay Saturday and place the winnings on the Ravens Sunday.

"Knock him down on every play" UHHHH YOU SIR DO NOT KNOW FOOTBALL.
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#137
Posted: 1/27/2013 5:08:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah:

Since there's no pro bowl thread  I'm placing my "Coin Flip Degenerate Gambler's Special"

(I actually flipped a coin, and here's what I came up with)

NFC +1 and under 80.5

pays +235

no M/L option, I had to take the +1 - - otherwise I think the payout would have been better, but oh well.....

let's see if I have a little extra something for the Superbowl.....


Seems we aware the only degenerates  lol

I too wagered the under (79.5) due to the fact a storm is coming

11mph winds, 70% chance of rain

GL to all!

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#138
Posted: 1/27/2013 7:12:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:


Seems we aware the only degenerates  lol

I too wagered the under (79.5) due to the fact a storm is coming

11mph winds, 70% chance of rain

GL to all!

also just saw Peyton and Roger Goodell saying no "2 hand touch" tackles or the game gets permanently cancelled....

Under looks pretty good for that reason alone

Good Luck Breaka!!!!!!!!!!!!

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#139
Posted: 1/27/2013 7:33:10 PM

So, the "family oriented" NFL gets Brian McKnight to sing the National Anthem for the Pro Bowl?

too bad he didn't break into this hit!!!!!!!!!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_Sl1akAyas

 

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#140
Posted: 1/27/2013 8:03:47 PM
 under for me....... 20-13 type game what im thinkn.9-2 PLAYOFF RECORD(SIDES/TOTALS) BOL
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#141
Posted: 1/27/2013 10:26:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheQuadYeah:

Since there's no pro bowl thread  I'm placing my "Coin Flip Degenerate Gambler's Special"

(I actually flipped a coin, and here's what I came up with)

NFC +1 and under 80.5

pays +235

no M/L option, I had to take the +1 - - otherwise I think the payout would have been better, but oh well.....

let's see if I have a little extra something for the Superbowl.....

NFC -

under -

oh well.... I only bet it to give me an excuse to watch it.....

See y'all in the "HarBrawl"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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#142
Posted: 1/27/2013 11:46:17 PM
if balt. wins this game the nfl is officially fixed.  No way flucco ever wins a superbowl.  S.F too tough, played there this year. advantage all around goes to SF.  Kap too dynamic.  Balt been playing  qbs that cant move yea they are excellent passers but cant run well, but dont give them that extra weapon in running and the guy can throw too pretty damn good  .  Niners 31-17
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#143
Posted: 1/28/2013 12:39:27 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by bigrazz:

Hum where do i begin with the flacoo haters on here who in the last 2 weeks posts said flacco sucks and always will and the only reason he won the last games was do to his WR`s bailing him out? where do i begin? ok i guess we can start off with him beating brady twice this year and has outplayed luck,Eli n peyton,and again bradyTWICE this year. he led his team to a superbowl while now having the most road playoff games won by any QB in NFL history with a 6 and 9 total wins in all in his 1st 5years.OH and in his 3 platoff games this tear he had somewhere near 80 passing attempts with 8 TD`s and 0 INT`s. man thank god "for his WR`s bailing him out" lol

 

What did all those stats get Flacco? nothing, its all about rings, ya he will be alot richer but thats about it , cmon people.  Its  not like hes a rookie anymore hes had his shots to win it an always comes up short.  he will again....i promise

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#144
Posted: 1/28/2013 1:32:01 AM
Baltimore is one poor deep prevent "hail mary" blown coverage heave to Jacoby Jones from even being in the AFC championship game in the first place. Yes, I respect Ray Lewis and the Ravens run this year. And i'll give credit when it is do, but Baltimores' washed up old timer defense, although decent, is still suspect vs. a multi dimensional offense that compliments a versatile QB who avoids the rush, gains positive yardage on the run, and just flat out shows up big in pivotal games. Only a few NFL starts, yes i know,  but this kid thrives for these moments. He tossed 4 tds in Foxborough as well and all this hype about Baltimore beating Brady, well so did the Niners. Niners explosive defense will chew up Flacco and force a few huge  late  3rd qtr turnovers. 

Public is leaning Ravens which justifies my pick even more. i'm sticking with Vegas and that late money/mid to late week "sharps" in this one. 

49ERS 17

RAVENS 13
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#145
Posted: 1/28/2013 1:52:36 AM
Also, Ravens playing indoors on turf isn't the same team. Yet they only played a semi-indoor game at Houston/Reliant Stadium this year and got thumped 42-13. SF played in New Orleans once this season and looked good at the Superdome. 

Niners in a squeaker on the spread! 
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#146
Posted: 1/28/2013 1:56:55 AM
When this game is over, i hope they leave this thread open, because you Niner fans sure are delusional with your stats.
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#147
Posted: 1/28/2013 3:54:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Spytheweb:


49ers should have lost that Falcons game if the Falcons had lived up to their hype. 
And.... What hype was that?

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#148
Posted: 1/28/2013 3:55:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vali31:

When this game is over, i hope they leave this thread open, because you Niner fans sure are delusional with your stats.

I concur! 
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#149
Posted: 1/28/2013 5:58:48 AM

It is my observation over 20 some years that the team that public favored before the game day usuaully covered the spread.

The reason is because the big money usuaully came in 10 to 15minutes before the kick off time.

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#150
Posted: 1/28/2013 6:03:10 AM
Sorry about misspelling!
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