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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: San Francisco at Atlanta (01/20/2013)
Turbovtk send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#151
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:22:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:




here's your problem... you are worrying yourself with nonsense that has no relevance on betting...


i do not care if CK is a winner!  i do not care if he is a future hall of famer... none of that garbage gives me an edge BETTING ON THIS GAME THIS WEEKEND!  you are obsessed with whether or not we should annoint CK...

who gives a garbage?  is he good enough to cover this spread in this game?  that is all that matters... your nonsense gets you nowhere in a hurry!
What I really need to do is make this my last reply to you- it was you who started the whole CK is a GOD bul sheeet. 

I would say best of luck but only if you are on the niners and pats then pats-
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#152
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:26:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CC12:

are u sure u bet with real money ?

the spread on that game was NE-4.. SF 7 point win means they covered easily.. Even with NE scoring 24 points in the final quarter, SF +4 or SF ML was never in jeopardy.

i've noticed all u do is argue with everyone. Why do i even bother answering u since u already know everything.

Yet you still can't resist. 
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#153
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:32:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by croyal1964:

hey turbo like you thoughts on SF game on half, game and over for SF myself., but in one post you say QB needs a ring to be elete and then another u say Kap could win SB and would be good start lol, just thought was kind of strange which one is it lol

Elite and Proven are two different things- to be elite you have to match up with the greats- Some consider Elite 1-5 others 1-10 if CK wants to start getting there he needs to first be proven and that starts tomorrow with a win and then potential SB win although if the Pats win I doubt that will happen for him this year. Thats what I meant to say-
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#154
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:38:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CC12:

are u sure u bet with real money ?

the spread on that game was NE-4.. SF 7 point win means they covered easily.. Even with NE scoring 24 points in the final quarter, SF +4 or SF ML was never in jeopardy.

i've noticed all u do is argue with everyone. Why do i even bother answering u since u already know everything.

To answer some of your questions yes real money- I use this for fun and a second income source.

As for you stating they covered easily either you can't read or I can't but I think this was what the person that posted stated...


However, pass-happy teams with so-so run defense all lost to SF by a substantial margin (NE, NO, GB, Det, Chi, Ari, Mia, Buf and NYJ)
referring to lost by a substantial margin, in what world is a one score loss equal SUBSTANTIAL ? 
 using the same metrics a basketball game that ends 100-103 or 100-102 (one score) means the team was manhandled. 

Read then post. If he would have said covered easily then I would be incorrect but then again I would not have pointed this out as a false statement. 
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#155
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:52:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ewillie169:

SF -3.5 (1.5u) - Atlanta entered the brackets as a false #1 seed, confirmed by their second half melt down, SF rated #3 vs Falcon's #25 on Sagarin's SoS rating, better niner D, unique offensive threat with Kaep altho still prone to mistakes, better coach, visiting the dome which has lost it's impregnable luster this year, and being battle tested on the Road (thinking of the Patriot game)...i'm siding with the niners.


Agreed…  Atlanta nor that broad Crabtree didn’t pay for her services can stop the Harbaugh Express…  I’m sure they packed enough cloths to go straight to New Orleans.  With that said, two Dimes on the 9’ers minus the chalk Alex Trebek please…  Thanks! 

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#156
Posted: 1/20/2013 1:56:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by outkastd4eva:

49ers -3.5 ... don't think too hard about this one folks.... Kaepernick looks like an Olympic sprinter and will get lots of attention from Falcons D in the box, thus freeing up the deep ball for Crabtree, Moss, and Davis. I know Seattle had a good D, but 49ers are better all around on D.


Agree on all points except at the corners…  Those Seattle corners are big and physical… 


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#157
Posted: 1/20/2013 2:13:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Turbovtk:


Do not get your Panties in a twist.. Read my posts my money is on SF but one day not a proven QB make- CK lost me money once against the Rams where he threw away the game on his own.

Get a Ring then you are proven, simple enough?


Completely disagree…  Harbaugh called that game (play calling) very conservatively (probably was shaving points for the family and friends like he did in that game on Monday night where he declined that safety for the cover)…  


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#158
Posted: 1/20/2013 2:16:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Spytheweb:



Everybody's on 49ers because they believe Kaepernick is going to run a couple of 50 yard TD's. Packers always had a weak defense and it showed. What happens if the zazzle dazzle does not work? Homedog and points are the way to go.


If the Falcons can stop the track meet from occurring, the key word being IF, CK looks very comfortable and polished in the pocket… 


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#159
Posted: 1/20/2013 2:41:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vali31:

I wonder how the line or the self proposed final would of been if Kaep didn't have such a dominant performance VS Green Bay.  A lot of the hype and leans towards SF is all because of ONE game.  A game VS a defense that runs man coverage and is not in any top 10 ranking on defense.  ATL can be put in that same category.  The difference here is, HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE, balanced offense, and zone coverage defense.  If ATL wins, its going to be a blow out.  IF SF wins it going to be close.


Home field advantage…  LOL!  Did you see Mike Smith’s face last week after Seattle punched that go ahead score in the end zone…  They were very lucky to win that game, but Seattle/Russell Wilson looked clueless for the entire first half offensively…  I guarantee you Harbaugh and CK won’t wait until the second half to stick one in the end zone…  Then we will see if Matt Ryan’s booty hole tightens up like it did on that next to last possession when they could have run the clock out and sent their defense on to the locker room…

 

Matt Ryan is good enough to get you to the playoffs, but I saw it in that kids eyes last week after he short armed that 3rd down pass that would have moved the chains and allowed the Falcons to run the clock out, he doesn’t have it in him to win the BIG Game (much like Poison Romo)…  I’m not telling on him, I’m just saying… 


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#160
Posted: 1/20/2013 2:58:21 AM
SF wins by at least 4
Baltimore wins by at least 2
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#161
Posted: 1/20/2013 3:10:50 AM
ATL!!! OVER 48.5
I'll take points at home for ATL... Once they escaped last week and ended that 1st round playoff drought,I have complete confidence that they will rise to the occasion and move on to SB...
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#162
Posted: 1/20/2013 3:25:37 AM
Atlanta half
Atlanta game
Over

Thank me later.. If you need reasons, I'd be happy to share..

Best of luck guys
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#163
Posted: 1/20/2013 3:45:06 AM
At first glance I was leaning ATL +4.5 at home due to it being a conference championship home game and because SF has given up over 27pts a game since week 10 on the road....AND Atlanta has only given up an average of 13.5 points at home since week 10....

THEN I looked at all of Atlanta's opponents since week 10... New Orleans twice, Arizona, Tampa Bay twice, Carolina, NYG, & Detroit. 

Of those teams not one of them had a legit defense for 2012 ( except for maybe Arizona )...  They barely beat Oakland, Carolina, Dallas & Arizona at home... by a combined 16 POINTS!!

There is an absolute REASON why Vegas has not favored a road team by 4.5 points in over a decade!

SF wins by a Touchdown.... and thats after Matt Ryan comes from behind to score one late.

SF 31
ATL 24

------------------------------------------

On a side note, its proven that Flacco can play on the road in the playoffs..even against NE. I don't think it happens this time around - especially after the last overtime game on the road and now back to back road games .... too much for Balt to handle.  Buy NEW ENGLAND TO -6.5 !!!!!!!!



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#164
Posted: 1/20/2013 3:58:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ewillie169:



While he IS a 2nd year "rookie", he did just beat New England on the road a few weeks. Some say the market overreacted to the Atlanta 2nd half melt-down because a projected SF/Atlanta line was showing the niners @-1.5.  That can be seen going both ways. Most were saying that the collapse confirmed their skepticism of Atlanta because of their soft schedule.  I believe the market logically reacted (as opposed to over-reacting) confirming that the Birds are overmatched.

The Falcons can surely win, but then you'd be investing good money on a team with a lesser defense, lesser offense, poor rush defense and hoping that the inexperienced QB will be turning it over in a loud stadium (thinking of his Seattle debacle)...but for me, i think you'd be taking a team that's been exposed as a pretender in the playoffs.   IMHO.   GL
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#165
Posted: 1/20/2013 4:07:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by holtnt:



Home field advantage…  LOL!  Did you see Mike Smith’s face last week after Seattle punched that go ahead score in the end zone…  They were very lucky to win that game, but Seattle/Russell Wilson looked clueless for the entire first half offensively…  I guarantee you Harbaugh and CK won’t wait until the second half to stick one in the end zone…  Then we will see if Matt Ryan’s booty hole tightens up like it did on that next to last possession when they could have run the clock out and sent their defense on to the locker room…

 

Matt Ryan is good enough to get you to the playoffs, but I saw it in that kids eyes last week after he short armed that 3rd down pass that would have moved the chains and allowed the Falcons to run the clock out, he doesn’t have it in him to win the BIG Game (much like Poison Romo)…  I’m not telling on him, I’m just saying… 




...Last time I checked The Giants won the Super Bowl last year and then smashed the niners at Candlestick earlier in the season.  Last time I checked harbaugh is 0-2 in conference title games, once as a player and last year as a coach.  You can talk about ATL barely winning the game against Seattle, last time I checked Seattle blow a nice A-Hole in SF. Last time checked SF couldn't beat the RAMS on 2 tries.  Last time I checked the games will be decided on the field.  And its home field advantage.  IF SF wins it will be a close game and if ATL wins like I think, it will be a bowout.
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#166
Posted: 1/20/2013 4:21:32 AM

 fwiw In 12 championship round games where the home team was an underdog, the road favorite is 7-5 ATS and SU, Atlanta as the largest home underdog by any #1 seed since 1978, and the largest home underdog for any team in a championship game since 1978.

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#167
Posted: 1/20/2013 5:50:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by southpaw5:

I wish i had posted all of my picks on here each week to back up my claims but I only lost the GB/SF (orignally had the over and switched to GB and wont make that mistake again) and the HOU/CIN game so far this postseason but don't get me wrong the 20-0 halftime and 27-7 lead atl had on sea had me worried. Nobody could have predicted all unders week 1 and all overs week 2 if you did kudos to you. just my opinion

It's on record that Train69 posted:  "all unders" for week 1 and "all overs" for week 2.

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#168
Posted: 1/20/2013 7:38:54 AM

just read 7 pages looking for W8lifters play to fade but no play.

 

I thought for sure the public would be all over the 9ers but looking around Covers there is a masive amount of ATL love. I was leaning ATL but i dont see how i can bet with the Covers public. good luck today gents and go Bears!

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#169
Posted: 1/20/2013 8:19:31 AM
Atlanta is easily the most overrated team in the NFL ( followed by a close Dallas second)

Don't be fooled into thinking they are going anywhere in these playoffs. Even when they win, it's by a lucky break and less then 3 pts.  Seattle win run all over the weak D and keep it close and most likely win 

Seattle gets in done and wins outright today.  Take the points for EZ money if you want a sure thing
5-1 playoff record

Seattle +3
NE -9.5 
--------------------------------------------------

Exactly as I stated last week.  Atlanta did not deserve to win but did and we covered.  This week, it's a different game.  Not even close and thanks for coming out Atlanta, see ya next year.  The only reason this game is even 4 pts is due to the recreational betters. Thank you !!

Second game, total blowout...will be over by half time.  All my research has NE winning by 17-20 

Overall Playoff record (all posted) 
7-1 !!!

SF -4
NE -7.5

Good luck and once again, EZ money kids
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#170
Posted: 1/20/2013 10:26:46 AM
Under.....1k
San Fran

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#171
Posted: 1/20/2013 10:38:03 AM
This is a coin toss games so ill take the home team getting four points in a Championship game againts an inexperience QB on the road.....

Vegas thanks for the four points but probably wont even need them

FALCONSSSSSSS to the Super Bowl
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#172
Posted: 1/20/2013 10:43:35 AM
FOR FREE PICKS VISIT WWW.THESPORTSLOCK.COM
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#173
Posted: 1/20/2013 11:29:57 AM
Lets see.  SF lost to seattle by 29.  Going west to east coast.  Starting a rookie first time on the road playoff game.  Playing a team who is the number one seed, 8-1 at home and SF is giving 4 points.  SF gets crushed.  End of story.
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#174
Posted: 1/20/2013 11:30:17 AM
Lots of question marks in this game.How will a rookie with a game(SUPERBOWL) away from what he dreamed about as a kid in the backyard,an inconsistant niners team,will the falcons choke(they can win this game folks don't fool yourselves) if they don't choke and freeze up.For my money its the Falcons in a parley with Baltimore of 6.5 for 700.00 and a return of 650.00.NCAA basketball was very,very good to me this weekend so Im gonna use 700.00 of 2500.00 I won.GOOD LUCK TO ALL!!!
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#175
Posted: 1/20/2013 11:30:41 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by holtnt:



Completely disagree…  Harbaugh called that game (play calling) very conservatively (probably was shaving points for the family and friends like he did in that game on Monday night where he declined that safety for the cover)…  



I was referring to this play...

3:114thSF3rd & 3 at SF15Colin Kaepernick rush up the middle for no gain to the SF17. FUMBLE, recovered by StL (Janoris Jenkins) and returned for 2 yards for a TOUCHDOWN.

Read More: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/football/nfl/gameflash/2012/12/02/5072/index.html#ixzz2IXA7x7ze
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