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Author: [Pro Football] Topic: Indianapolis at Baltimore (01/06/2013)
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#26
Posted: 1/4/2013 6:17:21 AM
Early lean on the Colts
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#27
Posted: 1/4/2013 12:55:11 PM
Hello all! I suppose its time to throw my hat in this "handicapping" arena. I have been lurking in the shadows throughout the season reading these comments trying to determine who knows their garbage and have come to the conclusion that I can guess too! So here it goes....

Okay this game is tricky if the spread is around 3-5, at 7 now its a no brainer in my mind. Ray Lewis's last second attempt at "inspiring" his team is a display of weakness and doubt. He knows they are in trouble. Ravens played outright horrible down the stretch and like the Texans wont be able to just turn it on when needed. I'll take the colts with anything over 3 points, 7 is just ridiculous...and perplexing? I'll stick with my gut though and say Indy covers.
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#28
Posted: 1/4/2013 8:43:19 PM
Indy has momentum and the ravens have experience. I'll take the Colts plus the points and the over
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#29
Posted: 1/4/2013 10:11:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vue21849:

     Agreeing with 2 of the best cappers,I've known for a couple of seasons (E Willie & Quad).  Sooner or later,  the Colts were bound to meet up with serious playoff competition. Congrats on a stellar season by HC Pagano, Luck, & the Colts- but IT'S OVER!  Ray Lewis just announced his retirement, but he's not going out without a fight. Week # 17, the Ravens rested several starters, in anticipation for this contest.  This is the playoffs baby! Amateur Hour is over for the pretenders. Baltimore by 12.

BALTIMORE  - 6.5   (Prime Play!)

I'm on the Ravens as well (although I don't pretend to be a serious capper lol!)

Andrew Luck's record on the road is unimpressive, and I can't see the Ravens coming out flat in this one.

That Baltimore stadium is going to be LOUUUUD

Not easy for a Rookie QB who tends to throw INT's in big games....

see @NE, @HOU, @NYJ ect.

GL TO ALL!

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#30
Posted: 1/4/2013 10:18:02 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:

looks like this thread is starting out like the usual suckers fest these threads usually are... Ravens, Ravens and more Ravens... too bad this team is a shell of what they once were...

can't believe people are foolish enough to lay even a FG with this team, let alone a TD... thanks, though!

This fool is laying 6.5 iwth the Ravens against a rookie qb on the road, in a hostile homefield advantage (i've been to that stadium it gets loud) with a hall of famer's last dance, after defense rested starters, with a new O-coordinator without alot of film on him, while the public is all over Luck/RG3 train, with Ray Rice and his historical success vs. the Ravens,  and while everyone is forgetting about the Ravens....

The Ravens could win the AFC....  If you think about it practically, why not?  They have been in the championship game the last 2 years, don't have to worry about losing to Big Ben in a big game, and they are the only team to not get blown out by the Pats, in fact they beat the Pats.....  The only team in my opinion standing in the way vs. Balt is Manning and the Broncos.....

The AFC is wide open this year.... I just don't see the Bengals or Colts fitting in with the elite teams.... I feel the same about Houston althought I do believe they advnace this week...

 

GL TO ALL!

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#31
Posted: 1/4/2013 11:49:18 PM
Balt. Ravens All Day
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#32
Posted: 1/5/2013 6:02:41 AM
To all the people on here thinking colts have a chance in winning this game are smoking some good $hittt... let's be real here now... ravens @home and rested w/ ray ray back... easy W! RAVENS ALL DAYYY!!!
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#33
Posted: 1/5/2013 6:16:14 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

This fool is laying 6.5 iwth the Ravens against a rookie qb on the road, in a hostile homefield advantage (i've been to that stadium it gets loud) with a hall of famer's last dance, after defense rested starters, with a new O-coordinator without alot of film on him, while the public is all over Luck/RG3 train, with Ray Rice and his historical success vs. the Ravens,  and while everyone is forgetting about the Ravens....

The Ravens could win the AFC....  If you think about it practically, why not?  They have been in the championship game the last 2 years, don't have to worry about losing to Big Ben in a big game, and they are the only team to not get blown out by the Pats, in fact they beat the Pats.....  The only team in my opinion standing in the way vs. Balt is Manning and the Broncos.....

The AFC is wide open this year.... I just don't see the Bengals or Colts fitting in with the elite teams.... I feel the same about Houston althought I do believe they advnace this week...

 

GL TO ALL!


This is the best thing I heard all week! Well written!
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#34
Posted: 1/5/2013 12:20:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Vegasonacid:

The Ravens are a completely different team at home then on the road.
Joe plays alot better at home then on the road.
Ray Lewis has come out and said this is his last go. meaning this could be his last home game. I think they will be motivated and the defence will play inspired for Ray. I think they will lose next week against either Tom or Peyton.
But this week get this game early before the line jumps.
The Colts have been a great story this year, however their Luck runs out, no pun intended.
Ed Reed has 16 games of film to scout Luck, and he will pick him off at least once in this game.
Luck has thrown 10 interceptions on passes 15 or more yards downfield this season, tied with Mark Sanchez and Drew Brees for most in the league. Seven of Luck’s interceptions on such throws have come on the road, most in the NFL.
Look for REED to read his eyes and pick him off, and Terrell Suggs has a nack to show up in big games, 2.5 sacks this game for him.


Ravens -6.5 Up up and out




Exactly, Ravens are going to be inspired and at home. They are going to break the Colts and send them packing.
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#35
Posted: 1/5/2013 1:24:40 PM

Luck has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns on the road. Plus the Colts are the only team in NFL history to go 11-5 & be out scored on the season. Colts are a much better home team. Ravens -7 & the over

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#36
Posted: 1/5/2013 8:53:03 PM

Hey siterbun,go darn your self,cause nobody knows what the darn you

are saying,nor do we care.

And shove the fish tank up your behind

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#37
Posted: 1/5/2013 9:18:16 PM

Guys,I have to be honest here.

I know the Colts don't play in the Toughest division in the AFC,but

I am shocked the the Colts ended the season at 11-5

Even more stunning,is they were 11-5 ATS.

They have a non-existent run game,and are ranked 26th defensively

in the league.

There offense is based solely on a rookie QB

It is just amazing what they have accomplished this season.

The Ravens started out there first 11 games 9-2,and have slumped

bigtime in their last 5 games,winning once.

If you handicap this games soley on who has the hot hand,you would

have to take the Colts with the points.

I mean they have come this far after 16 games,so I see no reason

why they couldn't win 1 more under the circumstances.

Taking the Colts plus the points. 

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#38
Posted: 1/5/2013 9:24:07 PM
I'm not seeing the Ravens as much of a power house.Of their last 10 they've lost 5 while beating the NYG,San Diego,Oakland,Cleveland,and a Ben-less Pittsburgh.This doesn't seem like a team that should be laying 7 in a playoff game.
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#39
Posted: 1/5/2013 10:21:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

This fool is laying 6.5 iwth the Ravens against a rookie qb on the road, in a hostile homefield advantage (i've been to that stadium it gets loud) with a hall of famer's last dance, after defense rested starters, with a new O-coordinator without alot of film on him, while the public is all over Luck/RG3 train, with Ray Rice and his historical success vs. the Ravens,  and while everyone is forgetting about the Ravens....

The Ravens could win the AFC....  If you think about it practically, why not?  They have been in the championship game the last 2 years, don't have to worry about losing to Big Ben in a big game, and they are the only team to not get blown out by the Pats, in fact they beat the Pats.....  The only team in my opinion standing in the way vs. Balt is Manning and the Broncos.....

The AFC is wide open this year.... I just don't see the Bengals or Colts fitting in with the elite teams.... I feel the same about Houston althought I do believe they advnace this week...

 

GL TO ALL!

Why won't the Ravens win the AFC???? Because their defense is a weak shell of its former self, and they have lost 4 of the last five: two of those games to current AFC playoff teams.  They got beat down by Denver at home, and will have to win two road games if they get by the Colts. 
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#40
Posted: 1/5/2013 10:50:49 PM
just sayin the experts here picked Vikings 68%

Baltimore beat the pats early in the year but that was during the ref controversy I think... fluko at home and the rays will dominate.
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#41
Posted: 1/5/2013 11:04:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Mr_E:

just sayin the experts here picked Vikings 68%

Baltimore beat the pats early in the year but that was during the ref controversy I think... fluko at home and the rays will dominate.

EXACTLY!
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#42
Posted: 1/5/2013 11:30:22 PM
Ravens half and game.. Early lean..
Posted using a mobile device.
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#43
Posted: 1/5/2013 11:35:04 PM

Bowl Games & NFL Playoff games posted as of Jan. 3rd:

OREGON - Win

OKLAHOMA - Lose

MISSISSIPPI - Win

CINCINNATI BENGALS - Lose

GREEN BAY PACKERS - Win

BALTIMORE RAVENS

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (Game time decision - may switch)

ARKANSAS ST. (Game time decision - may switch)

New post:

NOTRE DAME (Game time decision - may switch)

Good luck everyone!

 

 

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#44
Posted: 1/5/2013 11:42:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by oahuboy808:

Ravens half and game.. Early lean..

 Clear and to the point.  I like that.  

Ravens are a better team at home.  Ray Rice will run and catch all over the Colts.  

Only thing I'm worried about is how good Luck has become (as a rookie) and the inspiration they play with whether their coach was in the hospital or now on the sidelines.  

Again, when majority of the public jumps all over the team with big points on the road...they are usually wrong.  Just a theory of mine.

Still thinking on this as I like to see the line movement till kickoff, but I would think this is a similar situation as the packers game. 

 
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#45
Posted: 1/6/2013 12:48:42 AM
Indy
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#46
Posted: 1/6/2013 12:52:38 AM
First of all, the folks who keep talking about how great the Ravens are at home must have missed the thumping Denver gave them last month and the one they lost to Charlie Batch two weeks earlier. Can the Colts win this game? Absolutely. It is the National Fixed League after all and stranger things have happened. The Colts traveling to Denver would certainly make for a better story than the replay of that Denver/Baltimore beat down. And if Batch can win in Baltimore, a sharp Luck could do it as well. However don't expect a very sharp Andrew Luck here...

As a fan of Indy since they snuck out of Baltimore in 1984 allow me to give my take on this.

 First, the Colts and Luck have overachieved this year much to my delight. Luck has impressed me and shows great potential, but is a rookie who makes a lot of rookie mistakes. After 13 games he was leading the league in turnovers. He really struggled on the road as did the Colts as a team. They won 4 games on the road against 2-14 KC, 2-14 Jax, 4-12 Det and 6 -10 Ten. That was 4 wins against teams with a combined 14-50 record. They needed OT to beat the Titans. They gave up a ton of points on the road, not just to the mighty Pats,  but 41 to the Bears, 33 to the Lions and 35 to the Jets. The Colts 'D' is horrendous, especially on the road and will be a shot in the arm to the Ravens. If you can play over 26.5 on the Ravens team total, snag it up. Expect the Ravens to score 35-40 points. 

Even after all these years, the Colts are still despised in Baltimore. Andrew Luck will find himself in a very hostile environment and will almost certainly choke under this pressure of a fired up defense combined with a very loud crowd. Look for at least 3 turnovers leading to some easy Ravens points. 

I know the Colts are the trendy pick and I'd love to see them win but I'll bet with my head instead of my heart. 

Ravens -7
Over 47
Ravens team total over 26.5

Prediction Colts 20 Ravens 37
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#47
Posted: 1/6/2013 1:37:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

The AFC is wide open this year....



you are going to be surprised to see how wrong this statement is... it's a two-horse race, and only barely a two-horse race...

NFC is much more wide-open than the AFC... 49ers, Seahawks, Packers, Redskins... all viable reps for the NFC in the Super Bowl...

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#48
Posted: 1/6/2013 1:40:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mak104:

I'm not seeing the Ravens as much of a power house.Of their last 10 they've lost 5 while beating the NYG,San Diego,Oakland,Cleveland,and a Ben-less Pittsburgh.This doesn't seem like a team that should be laying 7 in a playoff game.



there's your handicapping post of the day...


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#49
Posted: 1/6/2013 2:36:52 AM

Liking a 7 pt teaser min +16.5 , wash +10 cinci +11.5 &  Indy + 14

 

BOL!!!

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#50
Posted: 1/6/2013 2:48:34 AM
Indy might lose by 20
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